2/1/2015
A response to Ernest Simeon Odior
By
Sampson Onwuka
Journal of Emerging Issues in Economics, Finance and Banking (JEIEFB) an Online International Monthly
Journal (ISSN: 2306 367X) Volume: 1 No.5 May 2013. Citation from Ernest Simeon Odior – Dept. of
Economics; University of Lagos, Akoka, Lagos NIGERIA ‘Macro-economic variable and the
productivity of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria; A static analysis approach’
A broad stroke of the content of his analysis of Nigerian manufacturing sector from 1975-2011 reveal
expectations in his writings, which in spite of the econometric used and the dummy variables,
emphasizes the professor’s lithe academic particularly his use of manufacturing numbers from eras
(9yrs) comparable to other nations and from the list of interesting examples exposed by others who
made similar strophe’ argument about Nigeria and its failed industrial transition over the years. The
above statement can be called an executive summary of his essay, “….the central opinion of this study is
that manufacturing sector in Nigeria has been declining over the years and this is now reflecting in the
poor rate of growth and development of the nation. The conclusion however, is that the interest rate
policy of Nigeria has not been successful as expected, thus there is a need for a review of the Structural
Adjusted Programme and all its policies. From the previous arguments in this study and from the
empirical results, it is clear that some of the macroeconomic factors interest policy have large positive
and large negative impact on the productivity of manufacturing sub sector in Nigeria.”
The athletic compulsion of the author, Ernest Simeon Odior in his essay exposes why he leans towards an explicating of Dickey Fuller econometrics and adept to regression, but the author even from a face
level argument removed the transition from production to labor without breaks clearly dovetails on
manufacturing as more important element in hemming the lack of development in Nigeria as opposed
to production which is based on Jobs, whereas production is important manufacturing is relative to
prices or prices on top of final products differ hence a question of market and market conditions than
development with respect to credit is central to regression and exogenous shocks. If we can use some of
the assumptions of psycho-mathematical econometric models like those of Carlos Michelacci – no less
different or dissimilar from those of a Dickey Fuller, there is a consternation to assumption that changes
in any political economy is entirely based on the health of credit to manufacturing (?), that the
composition between the technological innovation and effective credit lines and investment procedures
are necessarily for changes to take place in any economy. In this case, he is particularly interested in a
case study of Nigerian economy from the 1975-2011, which has little industries to boost the condition and the impediment such as the lack of electricity and its short supply.
Although this aspect of the argument is not from any school of economics or from any school of
economics, we might kind enough to look at the comparative analogy by Daniel J. Boorstin of the rise of
automobile industries - the Chicago History of American Industries. A study of U.S industries and Car
manufacturing companies in the age of Henry Ford may allow us to visit the point by the author with
emphasis on Henry Ford attempts and failure to obtain a credit for his cars and T-Models production in
1909 and 1910 – a condition may more sinister by the problems of over-production of Cars by General
motors in 1908 and its collapse under William Durant. We may look at the example of Hiram Percy
Maxim (1869 – 1936) and the Horseless Carriage Days, that the “…reason why we did not build road
vehicles….We thought the rail roads was good enough. The bicycle created a new demand which it was
beyond the ability of the railroad to supply. Then it came about that the bicycle could not satisfy the
demand which it had created. A mechanically propelled vehicle was wanted instead of a foot-propelled
one, and we know now that the automobile was the answer.” The author, Ernest Simeon Odior, did not
mention that the very of most industries in the world is that it experiences all levels of economic
growth, that the growth is equal to a form of transition which require healthy sums of credit. Maxim
responding to curious questions of manufacturing also pointed out that the American Industry could
have “…could have built steam vehicles in 1880, or indeed in 1870. We did not” – part of the reason he
supplied was the lack of necessity or emergency in addressing some of the consumptive behaviors of the
population.
The demoted argument on the lax of interest rate correlations between disequilibrium and personal
consumptive behavior CPI – which he did not separate – to macro-economic consequences of Exchange
Rates and Foreign Direct Investment - which he did not separate - pliable to both short term and long
term indexing regarding the extension of credit to manufacturing and industries which had a tendency
to neglect the roles of ‘origination of loans’. The return rate of any market and its economy may be tied
to manufacturing and segmented in specific industrial areas and therefore useful in life of every
manufacturing business. You are tempted to look at the power of information system and the
arguments about world markets from with CPI and understand why it matters in helping a critical aspect
of world market which is investment.
We shall argue that the return of investment in any area struggling against older and senior (s-level)
cooperation creates the necessity to invest in key and specific areas of innovation, which for Nigeria
1930 – 1960, and 1960 – 1975, and 1975 through 2011, and unlike many parts of the global business did
not have enough home based innovation saving in rail roads inherited from colonial years. The author
would have added that following the problems of coal mining workers in Enugu which foreign
companies - so called – at a time, were hardly interested in local business or interested in compulsory
work options for local residents, created the problems and issues of instability. Besides these problems
of inheriting some industries from Britain, the author would have scored better to highlight that Nigeria
had political problems of instability and poverty did not arise to compete with other tensions in the
world manufacturing. Any form of index based accounting prior to 1975 experienced shortfalls in
narrating a measure of investment, for instance in manufacturing and industrial numbers after 1975 –
especially in the age of military leadership. The whole basis of his essays seems to serve one example,
that indexing and market code from any era and another, from one industry and specific manufacturing
group and another make the complete assessment of the economic possibilities in Nigeria and other
places. As such the critical tipping point in the survey is how credit reflects growth of business in Nigeria
and the extent several points he raised about external shocks to a system matters to economist and
rational investment advisement. If the credit line is useful, it is up to the external shocks experienced in
a given demand and supply to consider exogenous potentials and salvage any real market situation from
makes unforeseen events in manufacturing, credit or production, which compose the material cases of
endogenous shocks to any system – the repay rate.
One such definitive case and examples is a question of actions from a different industry and why the
impact on a wholly different situation of Nigerian food and drink Industry such as the Golden Guinea
Breweries, which could be impacted by the problems of (1) Transportation, Rail Road and road
construction in terms are considered exogenous factors since it has a tendency to affect distribution
capacity of any company or have a direct to affect production capacity. We should not assume that
energy as factor is a necessity for economic growth, but it offers alternative that the use and abuse of
energy in manufacturing is a growth factor that may likely influence the consideration of the credit line
and quality. Forex plays a different part – to the extent that electric power from NEPA (Nigerian
Electrical Power Authority) that mitigates on Nigerian productive industries and the number of
industries requiring energy – even nuclear energy may be expected to perform X, Y, Z of export
dependent economic vintage, does not in essence equals, A, B, C of credit line, and the rest of the
argument on why interest rate ahead of exchange rate is more important is a currency of worth.
We can presume that from 1975 – perhaps at the eve of the crude oil boom and five years following the
restitution from the East and unpaid civil workers, Nigeria as a country went through this period and
was experiencing new attitude from its convenient leisure class psychology but relied of new economic
compass to pose for the industries and enable production capacity required for reconstruction. The
production possibility frontiers were destined to differ, it mattered to the North that some of the more
trying transformations in the country required specific land mass – above all, the new found crude oil
energy and a currency tallied below the dollars proved a frontiers reason to impose new definitions and
measures for Nigeria and for West Africa. Whereas the tendency to reconciliation was not honored by
international press given civilian assault but it rested on how the roads in the reconstructions and the
broken rail road could help engineer a new spirit of production for local consumption and for
international market. There is energy that mitigates production for instance Crude oil production, as a
major source of income and alternate source of energy at the same time, the command interest of
crude oil and the locus standii of new industries heralded a new era and encouraged foreign investment
in Nigeria. Its importance we can suggest placed too much weight on the country as it divided between
new manufacturing complex debt repay and international hold on forex basket in an era of the West
African Economic Community and the reality of national survival.
Put it clearly, that at no point did Odior make any useful arguments about the role of Crude oil in
attracting companies in Nigeria and the rate at which this occurred played a major role in his essay – not
that matters so much but as from facts as from acts, the question of long running business interest and
issue of crude oil coincide to divide the whole meaning of International market and trade fair. It may be
common sense that crude oil as an entity could be argued to have ended the role of Brent Wood given
the rise of IMF in the 70’s, that instead of the transfer of international market to U.S central currency –
there was an international respite through crude oil which challenged the primacy of gold standards and
engineered a retinue of coupling with International economies – with the coming forth of Worth Trade
organization in Uruguay and the beginning of convergence which Europe was humping to play a part.
Here and perhaps elsewhere, it is natural argument that the roles of Industries in transforming the
better versions of world markets and economy would deepen with the energy amassed in part if not in
all through the cosmetic quality of the green back and the U.S dollars. Of course the prestige that Britain
offered the rest of world as a buying alternative to the dollars was central to the culture of economic
alternative that never before in the history of the Country was Britain to defend the balance of trade –
an argument forced through the pipes by Margaret Thatcher. None of these episodes in the history of
moratorium would have mattered if a correlation between investment and energy papered out easily to
manufacturing and employment. How well therefore the economic incentive of the buying took a
definitive look from 1971 is an item that cannot be missed in narrating the limits of industrial application
of process or the problems of local economy upon the narrow wit of forex exchange – not the intrinsic
value.
This historical enactment are very correct to offload the buying assumptions of the given demand and
supply or system’s complex, else, there are other reasons why dummy variables in major econometric in
the world do easily yield the answers of market planning. We cannot in this situation reconvene that the
transfer of this ideology of trade –balance of trade with the inventive psychology of industrial might are
high standards for problems in a third world scenario, no less repressing – no more repressed than a
continua of Nigerian crude oil even in time of demand and in time of quality funds rate and useful
economic currency. I doubt as oneiric, that energy is a serving capacity doubt in transforming any
economy in the world, and we can point out that the role of OPEC in diversifying the currency basket of
the most countries given the international nature of competitive prices and the role of Banks from
international currency. We may therefore reduce our evaluation of the essay to Odior’s focus on
Nigerian Industries from 1975 through 2011- that (1) did not point to Crude oil as incentive - not that it
mattered – but a failure to indicate the number of industries in Nigeria at the specific periods of the
country and the role of the captains of industries in geopolitical areas of Nigeria. From 1975 these
conditions were already set and to very recent times the argument about efficient energy system,
enhanced with new realities such as crude oil, nuclear energy and water supplies – including roads led
through narrow gates of cultural transformation but were not guarantee for industrial revolutions.
With that in mind the general theme of dummy variable and econometric measure – with or without the
incentive of shocks and vector quantities – are in this case or similar cases – part or center of human
consumptive energy – and has the wherewithal of energy in all classes of respect to show a measure of
transformation in specific period longer than 3 years and perhaps shorter than 6 years. We will also
consider some versions of Austrian schools in dummy variables and credit crunch in detailing the
premise of the spending as opposed to management or physical policies. In this case as perhaps in all
cases, the presence of foreign currencies, the poor balance of trade between Nigerian and the rest of
world is also important. The need to couple these behaviors to buying and spending diminishes the
exchange rate and this in turn places a stress the necessity of CPI. Although the essay show lines of
technical impresario, there are other matters such as cultural and technological development which is
the chief crux of economic improves in order of Schumpeter – for Schumpeter’s economic theories to be
based on his cultural philosophy are no disguise in studying a specific period of world markets and
business. If debt as an item is so to speak, Mr. Odior did not vitiate this Chief concern by stating the
impact of Rho, perhaps affecting the discount values on top of existing mezzanine.
Whereas most economist will look at the corresponding relationship between energy to interest rate,
the use of these informed sources are regarded as external factors or exogenous factors; meaning that
these resources could contribute to sharp declines in production capacity in any environment in spite of
human element and in spite of the irrational swaps of political problems that surround problems of
human energy. As such you can apply the dummy variables ad infinito – and in terms of curious
application of his papers, his systems analysis as no different from the bait that is placed on a formula
with risk adjusted bait, for instance a x and y, against the final product of a company and the balance
sheet issue of natural GNP. It is the long list of possibilities and use of variable items in year to year
market narrative that determine the likely possibility of price range, sustainability and levels of strain
and impact of price on any given society and investment consideration. These final products may have
started elsewhere and for Nigeria - reached Nigeria for other reasons than profit through exchange or
supply routes, but then an aggressive opposition against the structural force perhaps an academic
consensus parallel to rate of economic growth, dodges the question on benefit as opposed to the
exercise of meeting efficient market scenario. Here, we can add to these factors the use of x and y, for
instance a tendency to x is established by a tendency to y, that in my personal theory as exercised
elsewhere – the Riemann integral – itself a variable upon x, y dummy, shift from x to y on a compose of
available information, that in history so missed and perhaps stated by Milton Friedman – there are
middle grounds in between price and credit line, between bonds and stock market just as x goes from Y
– y yields to x – maintaining a momentum that hardly ever meet.
Use of two models increasing variable with respect to resistance, consensus and final outcomes as a
measure of real development or future development places the form, displacement, resistance,
performance at a relative correlation – perhaps in a separate graph where displacement or diffusion
force indexing and industrial numbers out of any period in world markets, for instance the periods that
meets other parts of the world, like a dummy variable and its application in Korea between say 1975
through 2001, in respect to Nigeria and in context influences from all classes of world markets hence a
regional hence a decoupling with say dollars. Consumption once more play a role and the role is unique
for it does to the rest of economic environment, and the separation between the operating conditions
of world markets and political economies take central stage. Although the author narrates the
distinction in market society and study – there are more promising delicacy of production capacity along
with consumptive behavior and PPF, in terms of manufacturing which reverts to price and the prevailing
economic market. These two aspects of relativity in strained economic condition is a consideration for
efficient market portfolios or a difference between junk bonds and Aaa rated Bonds. The short put for
risk in junk bonds is a risk advantage that is determined only by profit and variables are items to interest
and defend investor confidence in common economic disequilibrium.
We obviate on the theme that history explains the market conditions, that as much price has no history
(one my enduring personal corvette), it plays a central or partial role in common to terms with the
prevailing circumstance of profit drive-in – no less no different from a Haveler on third world as on Okun
1%. We narrate that in Nigeria – at least since 1975 Nigerian industries have stayed the course for some
time - that international deals signed by Nigeria and most Asian countries survived only a few years,
survived differently with the reflection that Nigerian production factors preeminent in Nigeria, declined
due to the problems of OPEC and Crude Oil, may or may not have mattered if the debts were well
managed. Having separate production numbers or having meaning that govern means and ways of
defining the production quality of an African State such as Nigerian or the Nigerian Cultural and
economic development programs, may require a contentious relationship between the use of variables
in describing a rate of interference (bumps – not huddle rate) in the economic environment and how the
banks perceive these rates in any singular economy. It is not wrong to suggest that part of the problems
associated with the feasibility study on Nigerian industries is the time factor and duration which is
hardly borrowed from the future or recovered in this present case from that past.
As such, consumption and the rate of manufacturing do always chime with the credit line but only to a
certain degree that we look at the glut material and regional economies, to a point that manufacturing
requiring additional saving rate does always chime with credit and risk, but to meet the obligation
considering credit lines of International Banks and International Institutions such as IMF, there are
perhaps issues of risk and credit value. The details of Odior’s essay would have worth the time if it was
spent distributing the blame to the government failure to act between the instability which most
countries of the world suffers from and pony issues of the destruction or replacement which
overzealous investors create in such a country adding the short forms of technology.
In extensor and perhaps in reality, the blame game on the failure of third world economies to meet the
expectations on any economy is an expectation; there is a question of Credit to consider for instance in
Africa, there are problems of political economies which for instance separates the BRIC from the rest of
world, to a point, that these BRIC nations - Brazil, Russia, India and China are no common political
economies similar to United States and Europe – but only lately struggling to meet the demand of World
Trade Organization. Credit as we have argued is not a manufacturing factor, credit is production, that
Nigeria was running at 1.00 dollar to 0.84 Naira, is suggestive that industries at the level in Nigeria were
not primarily total to development of the economy, informs that the development hardly saves from
poor market strategy – that is a quest for uniform market correlation fails in consideration – that
markets are sometime saturated – that above all overproduction in any specific environment may
present the problems of stagflation. It rewarding to therefore demarcate between the production
possibilities so stated from the issues of importation and balance of trade – that at some point the role
of government in devising the policies for these economic behaviors may also be considered as both
exogenous and endogenous market in a semi-colon dummy variable.
Nigerian crude oil created a revenue base and the revenue it generated that made the difference, but
excessive reliance on the one crop dash with upper handed other factors. In short introductory summary
of the essay before the long prosecution, we can indicate that important dispatch from this period is too
important because Odior did not mention the price of building industries in a Third World economy such
as Nigeria. That a rate of debt to presence of multi-national variable and product. We look at the cost
building of Refineries in Nigeria by Shell and Oil Companies to price of crude oil; we become answerable
external forces in the world and market information. It is this scenario that explains the impact of the
fall of Shah in Iran in 1979 and why the actions in River areas if Nigeria affected oil prices. If corruption is
not the bane of Nigeria or third world it is the expectations from crude oil and its cost that forced the
crude oil price to enhance a noticed spank in world markets. There were higher and higher demands of
crude oil and countries such as Nigeria, Venezuela, Mexico, Indonesia, Philippines and some Asia Tigers
such as Azerbaijan, UAE, Dubai, are wanted new facilities and new operation capacity. These new
refineries required money and when built from credit awarded to them by Nigeria, a lot of these
companies entered into questionable deals with the Government and when these Governments such as
Nigeria did not perform their wish, they sponsored their persons of interest in the military took over the
country.
With Nigeria for instance, the military entered into office in 1983 under very spurious and questionable
circumstances, but their stay in office and consequent switch from Buhari to Babangida created the
beginning of the end of Nigerian economic correlation to its chief source of export – Crude oil – which
reverted to debt servicing over their own crude oil compromised by the shortfalls in crude oil, made
more difficult by idiots from all and asunder who refuse to acknowledge the danger of military tyranny
or accept some of the blames for the attitude of the government to democracy . If the author would
have mentioned that the success and failure of the military era may be reduced to the chief economic
importance – the credit and crude oil – then it would be easily to form a better drive-in for Odior who is
not exactly misleading in his assessment but failed almost gingerly to connect military government in
those apian years to mismanagement or poor resource allocation. What are the Chief points of the age
of Crude oil boom and later, we may suggest that it deals with the minister for finance and economy,
Ngozi Okonjo – Iweala (2012), who mentioned that “In 1985-1985, when oil prices plunged to US $8-10
per barrel and Nigeria could no longer pay its bills, there was a brief attempt to reform the economy and
change its direction.”
II
In the second part of the consideration for Ernest Simeon Odior’s essays, we may consider the problems
of Nigerian petroleum in terms of credit lines and comfiture and may relate some of the basic analysis of
this period to specific economic theories of Unemployment and Job creation, or the terms of
consideration for Edmund Phelps in the earliest NAIRU consideration to the land of income tax and
national revenue for the general world markets. We would also consider the progenitor of world
markets in terms of Robert Solow, George Akerlof, Frank Knight and some of the early histories of West
Africa and Nigerian following the end of Civil Wars in 1970, and how the commentary on stagflation and
credit redeems and condemns some of the problems of econometric values and citations raised by
Ernest Simeon Odior…..
It is not an isolated case despite the claims of refinery producing companies such as SHELL masturbating
of new rigs in Nigeria, that in spite of the amount of crude oil resources in Nigeria, the debt the host
owed them the refineries and their coming to Nigeria, the debt Nigeria owed the world, measures the
rate of returns on the credit given to these operational groups in Nigeria, the debt given to the
operational capacity of these oil rich countries which relied on the sale of crude oil to repay these loans,
and the shortfalls in payment driven by crude oil prices falling below estimate which is another matter.
These shortfalls affected other industries in Nigeria which were falling behind because of this principal
reasons, and Nigerians failure to capitalize on the new and sensitive cash crop through training and
maintaining an elite engineering group, forced them to shrink in attracting investment from oversea, to
the point that Nigerians were defaulting on their debt on a permanent basis and when the price on
crude oil dropped – they couldn’t simply maintain the gaps.
According to Ngozi Okonjo Iweala short falls in Nigeria investment options began with the National
Owned corporations, especially a third tier corporation that forced the prices to hit the high levels, that
for instance, “NEPA, the Nigerian Electric Power Authority – also said in Nigeria to stand for Never
EXPECT Power Always – was a giant public utility responsible for generating, transmitting, and
distributing electricity. It consistently delivered one of the lowest levels of average per capita electricity
production in the world.” This could not mean implementing IMF programs in Nigeria was the right
course of procedure, or entertains its plausibility that IMF encourages development of personal
industries and so on, but the argument will be inappropriate if we shift from the immediate concerns of
administration of industries to something else less specific such as style of management. A measure of a
company’s specific development in Nigeria or in any industry was not treated in Odior’s essay, at least a
company to company comparison under the same environment would have enabled the rest of to judge
the impact of Nigerian economic and political tension more carefully, separating why some companies
failed and why others like survive.
A stone throw to Europe may even widen on the argument, that following the end of WWII – the
acquisition of steel for some of the material based industries endured as an advantage over others, to a
point that the Marshall plans that transformed Europe may be seen as systemic and specific, successful
because of the terms limit. It will divide on the dissent why the issues of credit and funding took central
place in the history of Europe and transformation. A Europe now coalesced may explain why
Government intervention is necessary and may add why there are transformations that can only reach
the market through Multi-national Corporation. A free market prairie argument is the extent of GNP
growth that small, mid-cap and large corporation can offer, without reaching the land of monopoly. As
opposed to U.S laws and interstate commerce borne from monopoly, the Interstate laws of United
States and inquest for MAPS – with or without respect to housing – are items that defend and defame
the industrial bandwidth that is called United States. It mirrors what anyone could have expected from
Nigeria and why some activities of these United States can mitigate the relationship between fiscal
planning and the role of government ensuring a fair and legal disabused attitude to investment –even
from savings only.
We use the case of Europe in re-arranging some of the short falls in Odior’s essay, that a contentious
separation between empire making multi-national corporation presents a separate evaluation
procedure from the total impact of industrial investment over a specific duration which allows the rest
of the world to participate in risk averse situation, with a plus on a government credibility and the bonds
- junk bonds with higher ETF marginal operational consideration, different perhaps from a static AAA
rated treasury with sufficient return rate – at least in lending than in spending. It is this connection that
brings the curtain to separate the extent of advantage that despite a theme and industry in any national
economy doing very well such as film industries, there are groups that either fail in meeting a national
standard or should demarcate from others of similar and other economic advantage. That point is also
careful for other reasons that a steel and industrial plant may successfully create a decade of economic
boom in Europe but there are degrees of success and failures which the individual companies may
probable speak off.
In essence, a question of irrational attitude to world market and economic behavior is a critical example
on how to measure the success of industries, or how Europe as a whole could simply stand or fail on
Steel Corporation during its unification or how well West Africa react to the issues of crude oil is
another. Having the ability to compare a Ghana in Crude in the last 10 years to Nigeria in the last 10
years, narrows down the debate over the success and failure of crude oil and the preeminent ascension
to industrialization which the third world economies looks forward to, does not include the barring
extent of specific national corporation and industries that are doing their best to do well in Europe
saturated with Banks and in Africa struggling with cheap debt maneuver. Although the emphasis is
Ernest Simeon Odior and his essay, we may continue that Dr. Ngozi oknojo Iweala indictment answers
the questions. In her words proclaimed for reasons to clarify that sectors review was constant, we learn
from her, that “In 1999, when President Obasanjo took office, a review of the sector showed that no
new plants had been built and no major overhauls of existing plants had taken place for a decade that
only 19 of 79 generating units were in operation and that that no transmission lines had been built since
in 1987. One fourth of the average start-up cost for a business was for private power generation and
virtually all Nigerian manufacturing firms and small and medium size enterprises had back-up
generator.”
In short, if the essay explicated the reasons why Korea and Taiwan pulled apart and aware from Nigeria
despite comparative economic vintage in 1975, the essay would earn additional merit for showing that
inestimable economic measures such as management style and active international guarantee of
participation may struggle and may not. Identifying a chief ingredient in why any of these companies
succeed and why is a proper motivation in showing to proof that lack of credit or exchange rates for
more general points of discretionary economic attitude and quantity proved detrimental for a specific
area of the total economy. If the Marshall Plans did not prove any more than regional reallocation of
profit in all economic respect, we may indicate that the total amount of remaining information, stress
test, momentum strategy for every trading, balance of trade in ETF populated and IPO, may be
discovered in Europe in the later part of the 50’s and perhaps elsewhere as Europe moved from
spending and reconstruction to unity franchise and to a large extent to free trade where United States
was generating nearly half of the total economic output of the world.
Transferred to co-investment, public offer, and concession 10-25 years of investment, Asset Sales and
liquidity commercialization are usually rounded to the last 9 years of era existence, it may seem that the
real question of period in the other of the investment in Nigeria, should begin from 1975 through 1981,
beginning perhaps 1982 through 1988, and from 1988 through to 1994, from 1994 through 2000, from
2000 through 2006, from 2006 through 2011 or 2012, etc. The reasons why we place 1975 as a period of
embarkation in studying Industrial development in Nigeria is because of the discovery of Crude oil in
very large quantities in the former Eastern Nigeria, which places it at the end of repatriation from
Eastern Nigeria following the end of the civil war, at the end of Gowon’s administration as the Head of
States and commander in Chief of Armed forces, and the first installment would be oil backed military
juntas in Nigeria beginning with Muritala Muhammad, to his assassination sometimes later, till a new
round of deals with refinery builders under Obasanjo which was viewed as a continuation of Muritala
Muhammad, as such speak for the same era till the handover to civilians in 1979. These conspicuous
political and military departures may not have influenced monetary policy saving that credit from
international baskets and Paris club which is perhaps earned from rates.
The failure of Nigeria to service its debt may have started from resulted sudden short falls in crude oil
prices, may be an example of the reasons why foreign investment tanked in the area of manufacturing
in Nigeria, the locals couldn’t keep up with the debt and the rate of returns so tied to fixed income did
not keep up with these defaults leading to a spike in forex exchange and the balkanization of Nigerian
Naira. Yet some of the principal captains of the industries were doing their best to keep fit, and for
short, even the studies on labor and employment – away from unemployment rate – can be seen to
prosper with greater measure and vistas if authors and complainers (economist) emphasis for the
benefit of the general asunder – what area and sector is mitigating against others and why these sectors
are doing well aghast the backdrop of others. I assume that an unraveling in economic community is a
theme that leads from y to x and not necessarily x to y, to a point that if the throes of determination is
breached for the interest of budget and planning, the factors compares histories of the alphabets to test
their puns in the pools and weather which of the letters assume a higher priority than others – perhaps.
Although the Lagrange officialdom on transmitting the limits of linearity of economic models to
disequilibrium, that from Jevon to the left sided materialist such as Alfred Whitehead, some of the
examples in the history of mathematics and reduction of intelligence to basic and adulterated formulas,
explains the age of the cultural history, the size of the industries and the persons on interest who we call
the intellectual ancestors.
A proof to show course is a legal as well mathematical indicia of prosecution that a Roase as open to
Coarse would divide to alter that in law in art, the rule of logics is reduced to numbers – each an items of
process explaining perhaps a period. We look at the decision of most economists to use dummy
variables to widen the scope of tables as a form of pathology that entails as much problems as the first
men and perhaps women used pebbles to organize house management. It does not appeal that a
poverty in Gaussian mathematically models diminishes a Movier (?) over Paschal on the limits of
probability, or does it shy from the weak arguments on recent market hypothesis in
names of Fama and in deeds of Black. In a sense, understanding a tendency to abbreviate or gauge what
happens to a specific interest item or study – gives us a hint of one’s pathology – does not mean that an
emphasis on history is prove that an expert is looking what happens to fundamental changes in the
market and why or does obviate that the ancestors were chartist or bond’s men perhaps. Perhaps – it
may seem to show the age of the brain involved, a gap approaching the summation or reduction
defends the assumptions that a process or strategy needs to be defended to a point of apathy – show
signs of sentiments or overall strategy.
It is not a motivation in the case to call this uniform theories of disequilibrium or a pressure to respond
to the dynamics of a bear market shifting to a General Equilibrium or macro over micro. It will not also
defend the idea that opposite which is momentum has bullish tendencies, or interacts between idea of
changes in the market in real time or a flow, without a modality as pathology is the opposite of the
fundamental or optimality requiring graphs and variables. Each stage has its redeeming definitions –
price and advantage and has losses and disadvantages, but disequilibrium is ultimately a personal
pursuit of the remote sense of happiness and satisfaction and the market like most trading places
determines the movement and not the companies. There are stages of these development and
generational pathology and it applies not to the companies in a sector – age of the sector but also the
political age of the economic community whose instability is usually a false justification for actions
primitive to accounting and corruption which is the bane of most societies. Showing the duration of
some companies operation in any industries may be important information in determining what may or
may not be a controlling factor in broking a study in specific industrial sector of any demand and supply.
Levels of productivity from initial success to the height of improved S-mature class for great companies
are psychological descendants of inquiry – but exactly to navigate the flow charts is the root of all
is Riemann, Newton and Leibniz, between motivation or inertia and modality. These points too is
missing from Odior’s essays.
Friedman-Phelps analysis maintains that the stage of Philip Curve is at the level of unemployment that
can be described as natural and non-accelerating unemployment, which Johan Van Overtveldt (2007)
elegantly showed that “This natural rate is not an eternally constant number, but instead it refers to that
rate of employment.” He refused to toe the line of thinking available from Friedman-Phelps analysis by
citing Milton Friedman (1976a, 228), “…is constant with existing real conditions in the labor market. It
can lower by removing obstacles in the labor market by reducing friction. It can be raised by introducing
additional obstacles. The purpose of the concept is to separate monetary from nonmonetary aspects of
the employed situation.”
The man who mostly reckon with Samuelson is Robert Solow and in so far as the recent run of interest
from employment through investment which are claimed to be less sufficient without innovation as
these men argued, we can add that short falls in the essays of Odior includes the mathematics that
credit and monetary policies were instrumental to manufacturing, whereas the citation in the accounts
that he presented points to Samuelson who made the chief arguments about the endogenous responses
of the dynamic system to external shocks and the regression relating to augmented ability of the system
to auto-repair per piece is important here, largely for names such as George Akerlof, and Robert Solow
who should be given the credit for suggesting that investment and credit alone could not fundamentally
any economy in the world. As such Credit from the beginning would never serve as the best informed
process of determining the performances of the industries and manufacturing. It leaves us with the hook
on exchange rate, and in this case, exchange rate allows the best of us to try our hands with turnkey
investments. A turnkey investment is investment in industries that begins elsewhere but finds its way in
an entirely different environment. For instance the issue of factories and their production capacities can
be moved from a dilapidated economic environment with lesser return rate to a lucrative labor driven
environment like crossing over to Mexico from United States.
The chief motivation is the cost of final products, largely due to labor but ultimately based on price
either on the final products or the final destination of these products. Here, the total success that can be
achieved in any environment is what price can do and how it does or does not, transfer from one
technological advance including the instances of assembly plant and supply chain saving a question of
execution, time or the duration of these loans if so granted for a process. A study that might in real
corner the market on specific product line in the material issue of cars – from large models and Tmodels
to lean cars which Toyota emphasized, is important for the essence of lean cars to lean and
streamlined personal computers and for the false bias and uncertain conclusion about the consumptive
and dependent product such as crude oil in rearing and manufacturing large and big trucks. Supply
penetrations enhances products, but more than anything is the facility question of accounting and sales
never in the considerations of the industries than the profit which a manufacturing base other than
production capacity may likely explain and help.
It is this temptation to expel the need for credit from the need for manufacture that we find the author
almost entirely perchance on a school not to familiar – those of money supply and questions of inflation.
The only reason why company or any financial institute or system dynamic such as the Central Banks
would be willing to release money is there are more than adequate reasons to respond to the
Government original call for money. If that call for money is considered expansion, it is only expansion
without jobs when it travels through credit, then some of Odior’s use of Samuelson’s adjustment
theorem and applications may hold water when transferred to Dudley Fuller. At least we have a recent
example in the US recovery process which is considered job-less recovery, largely based on the intent on
credit but may intentionally mean that the system after a period of depression can automatically repair
with annualized injection of money which gives some weight to credit facilities but does not always
transfer to manufacturing. This does not mean that the credit awarded to captains of industries such as
GM and GE, were requisite for overall growth of the economy, or could it said that the success of these
of the large conglomerate narrowed the gaps in trade deficit.
A different consideration of his concerns with the government improvement along with the
considerations of labor away from production is simply faulty, consideration of supply of money without
mention of the event horizon is equally wrong, that the Government from debt through investment may
decide to reach for money or ask the seating officials and delegates to authorize a borrowing – usually
from Banks or central Banks, means that these bodies of interest who do not run the Government or the
economy are given the wherewithal to buy all the Government securities which are redeemed facially
through notes. This call for money is seen through the nostrils of Fed Reserve as Money Supply (Milton
Friedman), but in terms of the relationship of debt to investment, debt to earn as torching final prices on
products is a form of debt by the federal government under the names of Hicks as of tearing price ceiling
or those of tax-payers such as the tax-payers cartel; the treasury. In my view, final products resulting
from deficit is an incremental shift to right of manufactured products, hence its definition, it is also a
definition of a period perhaps less than 6 years in agreement with Bawerk and need to be specific with
specific attitude. The other is like it, introduction of any credit lines diffused from the cost to benefit
ratio of crude oil or any similar exchange item to rate of money or funds rate can be specific – that is the
irrational aspect of human financial behavior with chief factor as Welfare and government and rational
with its specific investment assessment of risk and redemption – two different thing – must have a time
– no less different from housing programs – dies with the expectations and goals from day and an end,
that allows a recovery process – a case study perhaps.
Robert E. Lucas, Jr. Prize Lecture, December 7, 1995, MONETARY NEUTRALITY, University of Chicago,
USA, “The central predictions of the quantity theory are that, in the long run, money growth should be
neutral in its effects on the growth rate of production and should affect the inflation rate on a one-for
one basis. The modifier “long run” is not free of ambiguity, but by any definition the use of data that are
heavily averaged over time should isolate only long run effects. Figure 1, taken from McCandless and
Weber (1995), plots 30 year (19601990) average annual inflation rates against average annual growth
rates of M2 over the same 30 year period, for a total of 110 countries. One can see that the points lie
roughly on the 45-degree line, as predicted by the quantity theory. The simple correlation between
inflation and money growth is .95. The monetary aggregate used in constructing Figure 1 is M2, but
nothing important depends on this choice. McCandless and Weber report a simple correlation of .96 if
Ml is used, and .92 with M0 (the monetary base). They also report correlations for subsets of their 110
country data set: .96 (with M2) with only OECD countries; .99 with 14 Latin American Country.”
This neutrality of money of argument shows a kind in economic that directly influenced by the quantity
of money people, Friedman and Company, for a gentleman Lucas, Jr. who argued that maintaining
Welfare society is much more expensive than sponsoring free trade and industries, it looks like the
emphasis on 30 year was referencing a VAR housing numbers which does take into account the negative
bias of inflation numbers, a smart argument and sensible, perhaps a correlation between Stanley Fisher,
Ben Bernanke, Lawrence Summers, quantity without the endogenous and self-repairing economic
factors which is free from resistance such as long term housing numbers affected by APR’s current rate,
whereas Bank’s interest rate is not useful denominator and what was a better interpretation of
Friedman.
This stagflation or stagnation are not economic items that defames industrial expansion – or a fact that
more disequilibrium factor is involved and people can still make money in spite of the attitude which
stress induced or stress free market can invoke. Judging from behind the issue of stagnation in a product
industrial complex usually defer in attitude as one product defends another –a play perhaps to defend
Schumpeter but a reality that is not without even the laws of gravity or second laws of thermodynamics.
In principal, the premise of spending continues even when the companies die out, suggest that the
prosperity of market place may or may not sponsor the austerity of a second market, it means however
that product lines differ according to want and necessity – the shift in purpose is usually an item – but
according to very purpose of a specific product, there is a more common issue of employment and
unemployment to consider in understanding depression economy. I for one might contend that
stagflation is not an item entirely deputed by inflationary price raft but impels its interpretation that
such raft can achieve as much struggles with economic growth when prices are falling as well. A
relationship between employment and depression is a clearer litmus test than recession which may
general begin and end with market behaviors and stress test of premier institutions – financial
institution to be right.
From decline in prices or prepositional deflationary pressure in real time is not without controlling
influences of price history, to the extent of that a market situation such as depression is not an
overnight situation - it is a gradually unrelenting condition. There is a supply issue when aggregate
demand practice is usually the solution that is when supply networks meet the demands of the markets.
It will be important to note that both money types such as Friedman and other principal actors of
quantity of money who the author used to tip toe on money to other experts that guarantee forms in
any market condition, who would probably but totally transform enough attention and ‘wow’ missed, or
see the situation of aggregate demands purely from the ‘propensity of marginal growth’ which John
Keynes favored over the lasting issues of community growth or re-investment or other issues of
spending that it is close to provision of credit.
Although the late argument that we discover in his essays point to some knowledge of critical economic
solution like those of Keynes – he is not a major on Keynes, but his invocation in the piece is prove that a
solution in the stagnation of price mainly leading to depreciating of some world economic conditions
and over time like we have the great depression, the issue of duration takes comes into focus. Another
point of focus in the duration of credit is a sum of all economic risk and vintage which is the Vega for
accounting reasons, that it is possible to show that risk in economic situation due in part and at large to
time or return of debt is essentially outside a Rho argument – closer to delta or Vega than perhaps a
transition coefficient from stock market to bonds and to housing.
Although the general implication of money – rent or shift to housing is based primarily on expectations
and hedge against the turbulence in the market or what happens during currency fluctuation, it is the
shift from private to mutual funds than the rush to metals that engineers bumps in the market and its
friction, extending the decision on how the market is studied and defined over a lasting periods of time
is a second consideration based on the new realities of more powerful central banks such as EURO
Banks to member state Central Banks. The excuse to put Frank Knight and Bawerk in the contest of
viable market alternatives and solution does not appear in his writing but we can draw from it a chance
to transform some of the assumptions in the piece to a large and careful extent, and these two of largely
European weight, looks at Credit and monetary reforms, all of which are correct if we put in that a shift
from Rational economies faulted from disequilibrium can be demonstrated as a shift to Irrationality, it is
mainly a question of human behavior and momentum in of itself.
III
Between Friedman money supply (demand cave-in) and Keynes aggregate demand solution (supply
chain or burst) and there is a question of investment and growth, which is both from a manufacturing
perspective and production perspective. In respect to supply side economics which is not exactly the
theory of Surplus, we may see that investment from surplus as a sign of growth only triggers or
converges to CPI behavior which champions the family and household economies or Margaret Reid and
balances the recession from shortfalls in houses and near to long term results in the economy. Unlike for
instance the 2008, the housing numbers were outside the balancing comfort of CPI, and the short views
were so catastrophic that it created a panic requiring the Feds to deal both the long term market
structure and short term. We may indicate that Friedman’s idea of investment from debt – which I think
it’s the actual future of money from negative barriers, in favor of supply side economics trumps on
Hyman Minsky’s shadow boxing and demand curve than the idea of investment from debt which
receives less favor in terms of the duration and a specific period of time when quantity and return on
investment is given a local treatment, or in short essayist theorist when money shift from the central
banks to local banks – perhaps at the early stages of a general and situational creation of money.
The gain to surplus asunder is what happens in a presence of cash factor or the irrational unfound
attitude to spending when there is availability of cash, which happens when signs of surpluses inspire
irrational reaction from the worker or the private struggles with choice in plenty. Present value we easily
forget suffer discount to a benefit fit from a diffusion based acceptance of national rates, and here the
temptation to judge the performance in any economy following a spending by the M3 progenitor of
institutional supply rate, or dealing with unaccustomed attitude to spending – we are dealing with
quantity of money and not a matter of value – we are dealing with personal attitude or government
behavior than duration and duration is lacking – short in maturation. It is the same as premature but the
attitude that the ease of government spending even half the way is a false destiny of the money
movement, it requires the action not so much from central banks to local banks hence an emphasis on
interest rate or rates as funds rate which is slightly depended on the over-night lending.
Here, attention on exchange rate is missing from the corner stone of the author’s argument, although it
is listed as a deviation or a measure redeemed from deviation of less 0.5 capable of hurting the
consumer, that is, it has impact on the disequilibrium or individual and house hold management largely
on the poverty of the transition strategy involved in industrial businesses which long term assures the
success of policies given how many new economic groups and individuals are entering the market and
how well that stands against established corporation. Exchange rate considered from manufactured is
obviously a giveaway that some markets are better placed to mitigate on each over the issue of
comparative advantage, that in so far as Nigeria is concerned, Nigerian up to 2011, this comparative
advantage especially the primary citizen’s consumptive behavior is largely responsible for any useful
advancement that has been scored through manufacturing, some of which are assembly plants with
indexing based elsewhere and therefore outside the accounting in a country like Nigeria from 1975
through 2011.
Here’s are some examples, a Toyota Japanese automobile plant is found all over North American,
especially the United States, and a Samsung assembly plant is found allover United States and North
America but the receipts of transaction, quotes, and profit margins, are not quoted in Nasdaq for
Samsung, Toshiba, and variety of Sony products, but are quoted elsewhere. Although some pairing is
done through NASDAQ via the Vanguard but the primary quotes are done through Tokyo. In U.S, the
Spider Index 500 or S&P 500 is primary established for companies and business based in United States.
But we compare the US manufacturing since NAFTA and CAFTA, some of the Assembly plants and mills
in Mexico are now present in United States. There are still relied on the transfer of notes through
exchange commission to score in their respective registry of origins. Here the loans may also result from
these registry of origins and not necessarily Nigeria, that the final destinations of the products may
become equal to exchange rate plus the price as final retail offer for instance products entering into
Nigeria or turn investment which cannot take into account the credit that reaches from the
Government. Hence the case of credit in spite of the shocks to the system – that is if prepared from
national budget and planning.
Put it clearly, when Odior mentions that “The coefficient of determination (R2) show that only 99% of
variations in manufacturing productivity (MAP) are accounted for by the changes in Exchange Rate
(EXR), Consumer Price Index (CPI), Interest Rate (INT), Credit to the Manufacturing Sector (CMS), Broad
Money Supply...” he is referencing price which are final products of a functional market or simply the
function of any market and would be reasons why CPI tapers off on Interest Rate. In essence, the rate at
which products are finalized are driven by “(M2) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), while the F-Stat is
995.02 with a probability distribution of 0.000% of the F-Stat, it passed the significant test at the 5% as
the observed F- Statistic of 995.02estimated was greater than 4.458 (critical) at that level of significance.
It implies that or the result tends to suggest that the regression equation and the overall fitness are not
too good.” Nigerian does not have enough credit line and resources to access levels of penetration of
Foreign Direct Investment, saving perhaps through Central Banks.
It is the manufacture of any product largely for reasons of profit that the exchange rate assumes a
different form, and for exchange rate assuming from the title is derived from debt, which are forms of
investment and not necessarily credit. Here the damage to exchange rate is determined from debt and
are injuries from repayment of loans or rate of repay of loans like Nigeria owning the Paris club, and
Nigerian owning Shell and Crude oil companies tied to Dutch System and foreign littoral of Bank
currency. We state that the damage from the debt with or without respect to investment can either
transform the buying power of a local currency hence widen on its ability to create money without the
Government – that is allowing the general public to be part of the system - or exchange rate can
degrade the local production or by market definition manufacturing, by creating or becoming financial
nuisance in the names of long term investment whereas the system however exogenous suffers in
quality of currency rotation.
We might future push the argument that the exchange at the receding ends of a culture or a nation
without exchange banter for instance a crude oil banter such as Nigeria whose interest rate is not
scalable due to other West Africa countries, or equal to those who mismanage this cash crop or one
cash crop given events horizons within the endogenous events in the system dynamic may be
considered shocks, may seek the presence of the government to further create money through a call for
cash (M2) or through breaking new price ceiling (final effects) that the existing market and financial
institutions such as the Banks would have to release more money in forms of expansion – as if in
depression or recession – and would in the end, create a balance sheet problem for disequilibrium
individuals who may be struggling against the convulsion of a new velocity rendered through private
corporations and industries.
In essence, the release of credit in this case as unopposed to the author’s intent is an after effect, not a
prolegomena to manufacturing indexing, or based on the concept of receipt of interesting information
provided through macroeconomics that the laudable practice of structural reforms as elsewhere argued
by Paul Krugman can be achieved through national budget as part of a general stimulus. This does not
call for additional credit through Banks or special concession saving for profit or advertised interest or
gains, in so far that the expansion of the Government and its willingness to structural reform is
concerned, or in so far as the transformation of any economy can be measured – not necessarily
achieved – estimates through industries and their manufacturing indexes are largely dissociable from
numbers. For other reasons other money policy, there are reasons why the budget from the beginning
and these may be achieved through budget planning and fiscal policy, “The co- integration term for a
single model is known as the “error correction term” since the deviation from long-run equilibrium is
corrected gradually through a series of partial short-run adjustments. Since the variables are
nonstationary at levels but cointegrated, then their dynamic relationships must be specified by an error
correction model (ECM) in order to capture both the short-run and long-run relationships. VEC includes
both the long run and ECM. The Error Correction for the long run MAP equation is explained below:
D(LOGMAP) = - 0.039( LOGMAP(-1) - 0.0085EXR(-1) + 0.399CPI(-1) + 0.650INT(-1) + 6.705LOGCMS(-1) -
7.222LOGM2(-1) - 2.758LOGFDI(-1) + 13.099 “
(3)
In limelight, we might consider that speaking about manufacturing with the kurtosis of 0.5 or 0.05, is
reasonably ambitious, that the manufacturing is not the same as production is not small misplacement
of Economics, that the initially position of the manufacturer or manufacturer index could indicate its
origins by the levels of free trade between separate Nations of interest and perhaps nothing else. The
professor looks to show that CPI and interest rate may adequately help disequilibrium of private
interest, but we are certain that this point is either too general to the land of reasonable point of view
with bearing that the total view from the main point assayed by the author but missing from his piece is
that all financial products, all behavioral activity of the consumer are final products duct-tape to demand
and hence price from disequilibrium, and not supply which is industries which is advantage from supply
/pricing towards equilibrium. It is common sense that CPI cannot easily beset interest rate in spite of
frisson effect, that the ends of rates is to perform the buying functions of demand equations, ends if not
the whole essence of rates is therefore averse for offload unwanted momentum (propensity) from a
stock real interest and not through the classic variable on aggregate demands.
“This implies that, the adjustment coefficient (ECM) or the speed of adjustment of MAP if deviated from
its long run equilibrium is 0.04, while the intercept term still is positively related in the long run (13.10).
Also the error correction estimate equation shows that the long run behavior of Exchange Rate (EXR),
road Money Supply (M2) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) appear to have negative relationship in
adjusting to long-run disequilibrium given the ECM value and that the long run behavior of Consumer
Price Index (CPI), Interest Rate (INT), Credit to the Manufacturing Sector (CMS) appear to have positively
relationship to the adjust to long-run disequilibrium given the ECM value. Since the magnitudes of some
coefficients are large, these…..”
This fact is excessive and the figures only highlights the seemingly obvious, that excessive presence of
foreign denominator easily mitigates on any local market, and it looks to arrive its final impact on the
buying power of any private (individual) or in disequilibrium, since it can only be the case from a
negative balance sheet, that the final impact of social decision is depended on budget, perhaps meeting
a rational economics which makes and breaks exogenous mode lines and endogenous exposition or
shocks. For debt is generated endogenous from a system, but returns on investment is an exogenous
shock. Between the essential variable of shocks and auto-repair regression or VAR which does not apply
to housing. The debt as investment becomes a different matter when it travels through a fiscal policy.
The main is the execution of the process which is the cog in wheels of progress for many economic
communities and Nigeria as well. A transformation of the infrastructure can be achieved through a
yearly budget especially when the demand on cash crops in the International Market does not create….
Part of Krugman’s Great Unraveling is how the interruption of classic expansion through budget was
mitigated by the exceptional aggregate propensity best informed from the arguments of Keynes
concerning the very knack of US struggles for New Deal away from Walter Bagehot of the 1870’s.
By premise if not by total recall, we are looking to advertise that the whole measure of regression used
by the Odoir as from the original intent at marginal utility (‘Macro-economic variable and the
productivity of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria; A static analysis approach’) measured or metered
from any standard deviation of any industrial market(?), in this case Nigerian Industrial 1975 – 2011,
looks to impose that a tipping point is visible through this period, where the behavior dynamics of
consumption or consumptive behavior differs sharply enough ….Therefore speaking of credit to
industries or credit to industries as a way to enhance manufacturing (?) we are not so general and
comprehensible that individual interest in transform is easily incorporated into a general interest to
national and overall interest by way of Banks, “Credit to the manufacturing sector has the potential to
increase the level of manufacturing output as long as the demand is targeted towards Nigerian
manufactured goods as more money is made available to the industries to produce more. The policy
implications is that there are basic structures that must be put in place for Nigerian manufacturing
sector to obtain higher productivity, loans and advances has the capacity to sharply increase the level of
production if only credit lines.”
Electric Car California example, Retro is based on a 6 year annualized measure of credit performance
from A 6 Year window, we shall also make the same mistake in Odior’s essay but failing in this case you
use one specific manufacturing index reflecting an inception of new company and the performance of
the company in bad economic times, sorely mandated by debt and foreign exchange, but ultimately a
question of mismanagement which is really the bane of most countries in the world.
EV incremental operating cost
evt = mt (elec/eveff + gvrm* evrmfac) + battery t
gvt + mt (gas/gveff + gvrm)
where.,
(1) Elec = cost of electricity in $/kWh
(2) Eveff = Ev efficiency (wall to wheels) in mi/kwh
(3) evrmfac = Ev repair and maintenance costs as a fraction of ICEV repair and maintenance costs
(4) Gas = gasoline cost in miles per gallon
(5) (5) Gverm = ICEV efficiency in miles per gallon
(6) Gvrm = ICEV repair and maintenance costs ($0.029 per mile)
So,
Mt = miles traveled in year t
B = discount factor (1/CI + .04)
Battery t = battery purchase cost in year t.
The calculations done with due respect to cost of production including ICEV repairs as minority to other
automobile is meant to create the analysis of ‘Present value’ of ICEV repair and to cost derived from the
Rand and from CARB. The composite usually carry the graph model showing dollar term differentials
models from some cycle or a new model with respect to an old model. The emphasis on GAS for
instance, is set to compare with the total amount of work put into a vehicle and the difference to the
dollar per each vehicle. This model may have started with Ford before RAND, but the cost analysis of
‘Present Value’ is set to meet Periodic lending is closer to parameter Toyota Models, which does not
include the EV versus Gas gosling Automobile comparative, but newer model associated with ICEV which
are produced by non-popular companies and the EV by the more popular 7 leading EV plus battery
companies.
The years covered were 1998 – 2002, it measures the ratio of new Electric Vehicles including production
time and distribution network not counting taxes and the ratio of the automobiles manufactured with
the constant or set time of production, distribution, and sale, or market triangle involving the
production of gasoline dependent vehicles and EV. These processes involved are factored into the
equation and in many ways than one, represent, the total expectation or demands for the product with
a given time and once more, and the percentile value was not based on the productive chain on the
biggest 7 conglomerates rather on the new EV companies with new margins.
Their statement mentions that “For uniform and triangular distributions, one can approximate
percentile values farther out in the tails by linearly interpolating between the function values at the 5th
(95TH) percentile and the value of the function when all parameters are set at the lower end (upper
end) of their ranges.” That is a failure rate at 5% or 95% perfection not unlike Tesla for good and bad
ratings, but general high standard with due respect to the emission of gas, narrow cost complementing a
5% percent initial write down with a view of perhaps a further write down given the success rate over a
presumed lifetime emission. There is also the issue of repeat performance which expected to meet
target with increment of resources (supply of money) for 2010, 2020, showing the plunge from 5% gap
to less than one with the 10 period. The short duration is best fitting for a region that has expansion on
one hand and has the issue of liquidity which new companies face – especially in umpteenth competitive
environment. In reality, production possibilities of any industries is subject to rigorous process but for
the wealth of expected turn overs from a period of expansion, there is always the issue of innovation.
My argument that in spite of ‘creative destruction’ of any one city with some degree of capacitance or
any one environment facing the stress of new plant and production house; blast furnace and assemble
plant, the phase of expansion is important since innovation leads to new ground, for the size of that
expansion and the staying power of the expansion is subordinate to innovations during this period.
But in respect to the estimate of the production ability and the meeting the target, the California Group
and the Rand Corporation compared the operating cost of EVs to ICEVs and from the comparison there
was the speculation that THE Big 7 companies dealing on EVs would to lower the price of their cars, in
other to retain their competitive advantage, especially when there are not under a lot of Credit pressure
to deliver on the cars. This means that the Present Value of new innovations from new cars in old
economy is not compelling as measured from price, that therefore expectations going forward would
most little be derived from total performance over a period of time. To reverse this trend, the
suggestion is that the cost for these cars by companies other than conglomerates is further reduced and
this will entail, the attempt to match or beat estimates of EV by large companies, and during face off,
these new companies will be expected to significantly reduce the price of a vehicle.
If we borrow from the sample, we discover that the challenges that several American Manufacturing
Sectors face is not dissimilar from what new companies in old markets face in California. There is an
understanding that the herding which is a competitive advantage we face in a business environment
permeates the initial phase of innovations. For instance, the appearing on new businesses are usually
poached by big corporations with long standing traditions, in fact one of the two reasons why several
giant companies remain in business for so long, is because of this kidnapping of new frontiers. This is not
always the case but when we compare the rise of a new industry in context of existing once, for instance
the Automobile Industry in Detroit emerging from the rust of carriages and the rail road carts,
experienced difficulties at the beginning and where in fact attacked by these companies until it was
more than obvious that the fabricated parts from steels and brass industries, may cut the cost of
production and revise the emphasis on trains and horse carriage, it gradually but eventually won the
day. The Ford Corporation introducing its new brass and copper allow car with steam engine
attachment, suffered losses at the beginning, but when he nearly gave he received a boost from
nowhere and the invitation of car companies operating elsewhere such as Europe, made the day for
smaller vehicles which was quite expensive but less of hassle to what it eventually became at the turn of
the 20th century.
Manufacturing is really stock and price domain, and when there is a separation between Investment
(price) and Commercial papers (Bonds, mortgages), Banks can’t perform credit lines for industries on
behalf of the Government, in essence, it must look at the performance of its local industries and
interest, its investment is generally a question of equity and equity is marginally 8-10% of receipt and
customer deposits. But as part of a general budget, the terms of expansion could have been failed by
budgetary requirement saving for new facilities of sudden interest rate changes forced by sharp declines
of forex exchange or sharp delineation of foreign exchange banter., (P.375) “The establishment of
Microfinance Banks (former Community Banks), Small and Medium Industries Equity Investment
Scheme (SMIEIS), Small and Medium Enterprises Development Agencies of Nigeria (SMEDAN), Bank of
Industry (BOI) should be overhauled for development and improvement in the local production. Also,
efforts should be made to achieve a more realistic and stable trade balance through liberalization
(through FDI) that will guarantee output growth in the both short and long run.”
This confirms beyond reasonable doubts that the author place faith in Banks as the money engines for
liquidity and for credit or even too much faith. He contradicts on his élan that “trade balance through
liberalization (through FDI) that will guarantee output growth”, where the same FDI in author’s previous
incarnation is argued as detrimental to disequilibrium or individual propensity, therefore dislocates the
roles of stock market and the investment which both the Banks and any institution could make on a
product for the future profit. He speaks of monetary policies as a better instrument in managing the
threshold of investment, but it would have done better through fiscal policies which are the major
platform for all government based reforms. Banks do not create credit - the Government does, Banks do
not create money - the Government does, and in respect to credit lines or grant of credit, it is based on
outstanding equities of the Banks and partial repository with the Central Banks., (P.378)“In the long run
as predicted and forecasted, the credit to the manufacturing sector remained the highest determinant
of manufacturing productivity in the long run in Nigeria, while the monetary factors; the broad money
supply and exchange rate would have a negative impact on the sector’s output in the long run.”
“The implication of excess money supply is inflation, which can be attributed to an excess of the supply
of money relative to the demand. Excess money supply causes the value of money to drop, which
manifests itself as higher prices, causing each unit of money to buy less.” Spurious….Excess money is
generally expansionary and the main product of price which is inflation is inflationary pressure which job
creation does not necessarily help. For that, excess money happens when there are spreads between
the money markets which Commercial Banks have little or no defenses.
As a consequence of the flaw of his argument, Banks are private owned corporation with license to
operate publicly may lead us to the part that changes that occur in any society are product of its market
and prices which is not directly interest rate than inflation, is primary reasons why debts are serviced
and why there are trade deficits and gaps, and why there are poor exchange rate which Banks unless so
determined for interest rate, do not have much to offer. Manufacturing is within the definitions of the
banks stocks, which is equal to investment where investment in this case is equal to gains from previous
underlying securities. Credit quality of Nigerian government and their Banks as too tar for consumption,
it withered on the heavy brows on international standards with the country moving from Aa to crisis,
there was hardly any guarantee of profit saving Government which in Nigeria did not exactly happen,
which is the whole reasons for the labeling on Corruption, “Higher price levels, however, will eventually
increase the demand for money, as money is needed to finance more costly transactions. Inflation
reduces the demand for money at first, but when the inflation ceases, the demand for money will level
out at higher level than existed before the inflation started.” Spurious
Bohm Bawerk (1911) ‘Handworterbuch der Staatwissen Schaffer’ (3rd Edition) “The level of the interest
rate prevailing in a country does not in the long run depend on whether that country has a large volume
of coins or other types of money, taking this term literally, does exert a certain influence on the
movements of the interest rate – an influence which, although not profound, is very conspicuous and
therefore often over-estimated, especially by the layman.” That “…then the excess quantity of money,
to the extent that it pours into the channels of the commodity markets, will in a well-known fashion
reduce the purchasing power of money.”
“This however needs to be reverse because as the rate of inflation rises, the value of the Naira reduces
and this affects the quantity of inputs (raw materials) that can be purchased, wage rate, cost of
machinery and also increases the price of the final product, which if it is too high, could push demand
from locally produced goods to chapter foreign goods which is not the best for the growth of the
manufacturing sector in particular and the whole economy at large.” This statement is spurious.
The estimate for lines of Credit which the Government does not covet on its score is based in part of the
underlying securities, facilities of the individuals or reliable expectations of the business thrust, and to
some extent new changes that could take place in any economy. “The study has therefore brought out
in clear terms the reason for the poor performances of manufacturing sub sector in Nigeria. For
example, monetary policy can account for moderate change price levels, which can cause the reduction.
Monetary policy positively impact is maximal and partially significant when compared to fiscal policy.
This shows that expansionary policies are vital for the growth of the manufacturing sector in Nigeria
which in turn would lead to economic growth. (References Adebiyi, M. A., (2001), “Can High Real
Interest Promote Economic Growth without Fuelling Inflation in Nigeria. Journal of Economic and Social
Studies)”
It’s correct only if we compare it to increasing interest rate when the economy is doing badly or less
than a 4% growth----.“Our interpretation of the result is that improvements in some of these factors
would account much for higher productivity in the manufacturing sector.” In essence it is an
employment argument explaining the production side of it. It is not manufacturing argument; a shift
from unemployment to product shows what side of NAIRU graphs or Philips curve you are proceeding
from. For all intent, manufacturing does not encourage credit, production does, whereas manufacturing
is ridden to price and estimate, it is not bound by any levels of Banks activity or State activity saving for
special cases of ‘unemployment’?
IV
Extra-curriculum
Ernest Simeon Odior and the dollarization of Nigerian naira look forward to role of foreign denominator
in a local economy and how it promulgates inflationary pressure. Some of his outstanding examples can
be said to have defined the premise that facts from examples as the examples between arguments
made about the use of dollars or foreign currency such as the British pounds makes the formidable case
that their presence in any and under any exercises of trade exchange, only led the buyer from the
centrality of its unit of exchange to other market forces dictated by price and currency, enhancing the
departures from currency or encouraging lack of confidence in major domains often create additional
gaps in the money market spreads hence incur real inflation rate on the buyer and the economic
disequilibrium.
We follow his argument from the last page into this second departure in Odior treating of Digital
Currency, that his position on the merits of a digital currency in country such as Nigeria, which is he
assumed by many Nigerians and by others as a solution that will check the floatation of capital and
inflationary pressure. The point that quantity of currency or quantity of money in expansionary market
policy seems to show that there is a deficiency gap in considering a digital money, slightly different from
Credits cards and Debit cards, to psychologically discourage the tendency to spend or expenditures with
respect to Robert Mundel and Harry Johnson, who see the relationship between purchase and balance
sheet economic unraveling as similar to expenditure or study of expenditures, which are necessary for
improving aggregate demands but do not have to toe the lines John Keynes even though he should be
absorbed of the comparison and shadowing in of his monetary policies by Harry Johnson who see
Keynes as fatal example of old forms of economic theories. But in the context of quantity of money
given the mindset of Fisher and his MV = PY, Friedman’s MV (f.) (Money velocity, compared to
Friedman’s money supply, may show that the two angles on both equations should emphasis quantity of
money where price theory is reversion to what we have.
The trick of this process is that a poor execution procedure in narrating Harry Johnson’s account from
the new reality of Mundel regional currencies, give and take on one critical aspect of all these schools
and perhaps why the systematic argument of the quantity theorist may not fully apply unless as I
mentioned from Western Union and Currency wars, that the a single in all its measure of economic
value is also a market quantity. For if this is true, we can see the difference between Friedman and
Fisher, since Velocity argued from its impact on interest rate can be considered money, where interest
rate which as Bernanke mentioned is price, therefore interest rate and funds rate is rate of money and
its velocity is concomitant to the argument about the supply of money – my demand cave – and
probably attributable to the early levels or stage of the rates and flows of money in action, the M1, that
at end of flow, there is a new level of quantity of money theory that straddle between M1 and M2,
which is the path created by the expansion or contraction as the underlining securities and how well it
stays with the return of money; the derivative, that the end of flow of rate of money, there is a
diminishing of the correlation between the rate of money and velocity to the money in circulation which
is not exactly knowable.
Therefore one function which is the rate of money performs it’s in the price at the receiving end of the
flow and velocity, for if consider that the scalar and vector quantity is added to the first rate and in the
upside of inflation, there is a tendency to mitigate inflation through a fund’s rate that can be achieved
from interest rate preceding a future money actions by Federal Reserves or Central Bank, that the
conditions of money to expire its flow is flow measured from the price of product or manufacturing than
the quantity of money redeemed by inflation or inflationary pressure, although by price theory, these
paths cross each other only if we explain it through M2 as equal to the supply of money, and by nominal
interpretation will create a bad receipt for expansionary path of a final product increasing a central
bank, and the propensity to leverage a system ; that a such propensity increases derivatives and options
as opposed to the path suffered from M2 in explicating velocity where sharp difference exist, which will
argue that sensitive inflationary conditions nominally decreases a propensity to leverage an underlying
security or cave a derivative. What we may argue also is that the conception is only good on paper, since
in real life, people tend to take more risk when there is little chance of profit and not the other way
round. The only explanation to this is what I tend to offer, that as much fixed rates are in US linked to US
Government bonds perhaps the case in Europe and housing numbers and mortgage linked to fixed
income without necessarily torching permanent money.
A permanent money, is best explicated through the social security and savings theories of pension,
championed by Martin Feldstein and Franco Modigliani, and James Tobin, which not only argues for
continues injection of money into the system dynamic such a permanent income of distributive income;
Social Security and Pension, gives on a bright side some incentive into the rate of renting, purchase and
housing numbers. The only way we can understand that the market rate of houses is through
permanent income which I relocate to distributive income from social and government pause. This rate
is the rate of actual money since the new income bracket do not flight in the face of new real estate
which is half the life of presenting a new building or real estate, whose measure is started in the
discount of the future money through underlying credit of a first acquired, which is based on current
return rate with APR abiding from any lender even the ‘last resort’ of it, that a rate of rate abated on
FICO estimate as from fixed income showing current jobs, does not incorporate the opportunity cost of
losing the job in nearest future, does not include the price of the future market in 30 year bell weather
and mortgage rate, that at 30th year for instance, a house acquired and lived through incorporate new
measures which the original owners may no longer afford.
As such the estimate from permanent money which exists mostly from Europe example is how much
any real estate could cost when there is payout from a government cost measured in market rate of real
estate. All of these processes is the thirty year sickness or mortgage that cannot fit into economic
systems but borrowed without physical cash but on the understanding that the owner must to live, then
until the money exhausted, the issue of digital money is therefore future money and has no meaning or
participation in the current shocks in the system saving for serious cases of final flow or end of flow, a
bad argument that can only be understood from quantity away from M2.
The tendency to percolate the currency of the life of mortgage is no only the exponential growth rate of
the APR over the same house, which leaves you paying more than required, that there is a reserve of the
original price which is sold at discount from the beginning and was therefore intended not to serve a
profit in short term for the house owner. This is going by the interpretation that is equally possible when
we but when there is flipping of houses, selling and buying new houses, multiple acquisition of houses
by a single entity, the expenditure issue becomes a problem, money will not be called a single entity but
a credit of entities, as such the physical quantity of money, even for a digital process has little to offer
when there are activities in an industry that is outside the propensities of available money. Saving is an
investment when there is digital currency, savings like we find in China, is an advantage there return of
rates that has nothing to offer to activity of the economy.
If Mundel theory is granted additional meaning and drastic economic measures, it is only in the aspect
of digital currency since the money velocity (Fisher), supply (Friedman) and propensity (Keynes) may no
longer apply, what we therefore experience and consider is the final measure is a reversion to savings,
saving by private with or without hints of further rewards in any demand and supply. The estimate of
risk involved in lending can be carried over to the propensity to spend when there is quantity of money.
The main reasons why the ‘Project Cure’ was slated for Nigeria is to demote the fast pace of the
balkanization of Nigerian Naira, a currency I for one is arguing needs to be re-evaluated to salvage the
currency from the current precipice on which it stands.
Ijeoma Nwogwugwu, The Battered Nigerian Naira and Project Cure, “If the naira is stable and can serve
as a store value, there will be no need for people to convert the naira to the greenback. It is irrelevant if
the CBN prints the N5, 000, N10, 000 or N20, 000 banknote; insofar as a banknote cannot guarantee
value, people will always convert it to currencies that do so. The primary reason individuals or
institutions resort to dollarization is because, as the reserve currency of the world, it offers the greatest
store of value, not for ease of carriage or portability.” Sept 12, 2012. We derive from her argument that
bank notes cannot guarantee value which is not necessarily hers, but used appropriately here and for
that some issue regarding the quantity of money is best observed. The propensity argument is slightly
aged but necessary makes and break on the need to have less money or digital cash-less money
transaction, although the physical quantity argument will no longer be in effect, “Lastly, from a cost
perspective, it remains to be seen if the CBN will be reducing the cost of cash by restructuring the
currency. The central bank, last week, in paid advertorials, showed that the cost of printing and minting
currency notes and coins had fallen between 2009 and 2011 from N47.141 billion to N32.627 billion.”
In a Brief overview on the Central Bank of Nigeria’s proposed currency restructuring exercise Speech by
Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, at the press “Project Cure”, Lagos, 23 August 2012, Mr Sanusi
Lamido Sanusi ; “I am delighted to brief you today on the CBN’s proposed currency restructuring
exercise, which we have code-named “PROJECT CURE”. As you all know, one of the core mandates of
the CBN, like monetary authorities across the world, is the issuance and management of the legal tender
currency. This implies that the CBN is responsible for the entire process of currency production and it
includes the following elements: design, production, storage, distribution and the disposal of unfit
banknotes.” His citations make it into the essay going at the root of his reasons for the action that he
took, although Nigerians inveighed against it especially the instigation bearing quantity of money clause,
there are some academic reasons to hint that Nigeria needs an administration institution for Bank and
Banking and inaugurate a similar Bureau for Economic Research like US NBER. When these operative
associations are available, it becomes much easier to test the waters with interest and other fund rates
before proceeding.
Where a lot more argument on there is need for Nigerian market to expose its diorama weights, it looks
permanent to measure out that the lows perceived by many others of a South Africa removed from the
top by Nigeria, would or perhaps may not last, that in so far as the markets are concerned the majority
of the advances in Nigeria through the internet resources and through the sequestered banking
resources like those available in Nigeria arrived there easily through South Africa. In pivotal inferences of
the range of possibilities that is meeting for a connection from Europe to South Africa as opposed to
Europe via Portugal which is the preferred logistics route instead of South Africa, that domain market in
a West Africa may in fact hasten the Atlantic Crossing and their bids for and against the only whole
internet company Tata, the latter is believed to be in league with Nigerian cell phone industries hence
more position to look at the Cogent and South African companies including the SEAMAN which needed
to expansive co-operation of South Africans to line East of Africa, whereas Nigeria and West Africa was
ahead of the curve and was by 2001, already the main event in the Industry.
According to Sanusi (2012) “An important component of our responsibility is ensuring an optimal
currency structure in terms of efficiency, cost effectiveness and balanced mix of various denominations.
It entails the CBN being responsive to the changing needs of the economy and keeping pace with
evolving trends in contemporary currency technology-world. In addition, in line with international best
practices, monetary authorities are required to review their nations’ currencies at intervals of between
five (5) and eight (8) years: S/N Denomination Date Restructured No. of years 1. N 10 December 1999 1
2. N20 November 2000 1 3. N50 April 2001 1 4. N1, 00 October 2005 7”, WE…..
I tallied this event to what happened to the investment of a Nigerian Bank byname First Bank, which
expanded at the same as other Bank, enjoyed profits with a share of losses like others, but for reasons
of their own, First bank suffered the most. Apparently, the width of expansion of FIRST Bank in Nigeria
was wider than the rest, the age of their investment was older than the rest and their penetration was
more legendary in terms of Market Nigeria that with events horizons of 2008 and already incurred
inflation, the total losses were a result not so much from expansion of the credit due to crude oil prices
but a deeper mezzanine debt tranches that were either out of money in the course of life (duration) or
buried in the circumstances of the financial kamikaze in spite of the automatic self-repair.
A re-domination of that currency may avail these Nigerians the highly prized inception of foreign
interest with immediate and direct acceding to West Africa and Bay of Fish where the Naira would more
than likely play its ultimate cards.
Technologically, Nigeria may meet the requirement of digital money and surpass South Africa as much
of the world would accept, but the demand for co-operation between South Africa and the rest of the
world, open and closes on this same issue that when Nigeria wakes up from its current slumber, the East
and West Atlantic Crossing and Internet bubs and ports will forever operate outside the reach of these
Nigeria. Looking to feature the lines of production such as Project Cure from the rear-view of the
businesses that attributed this rounds of 'dollarization' which is bad – even for the Americans – for
American dollars is only useful and can be said to be useful when it is used as banter for currency
exchange, for only the can it mitigate against a local market exposing its weakness on one hand,
promoting the American dollar statuesque. I coined a new splitting of the process ‘Currency Wars’, a
coinage that some have mentioned existed separated, but when meshed with the price corruption
which was self-defined from the weight of analysis into the Europe and its Bank savings, and how
European savings and investment were all wasted in less than a decade sure common applause of
inflation which were naturally occurring.
This is what I described in kindly light as price corruption, which is the square root for currency wars,
that the presence of future currency (currency progressing with its markets such as the Euro and the
dollars) should not be allowed to enter the Nigerian welter weight market bare and naked or simply
unaccompanied with the sale of crude oil or denominated and originated foreign direct investment
(FDI), that sending for instance U.S dollars or Chinese Renmibi to Africa without the land of exchange
and exchange rate, that is sending dollars from new York to Africa to be picked in dollar term, was a
mitigation against the currency and a polar tug for its local market. For every US dollar redeemed
through Western Union or any Bank of interest in Nigeria, or in Africa, or in Mexico or similar such
countries of the world, to be picked in dollars, the currency being a commodity no different than food or
manufacturing products, suffers a trade deficit which widens without their knowing it, leading to
Balkanization of the currency and inflation edging away from the axis of the exchange rated piece such
as Naira.
Here as the deal, if 20 billion dollars move from Nigerians and Africans anywhere in the world to Nigeria
or Ghana, it is considered a form of investment by these receiving ends of the business. But this is a
trade which the inability of Nigeria and Ghana or any other West Africa or South Africa to send their
own currency to United States to be picked up in Naira (Nigeria) or Cedis (Ghana), or any nation that
that have their nationality physically and fiscally active in the United States, send or engages in
transactions with US dollars to their countries of origin, stands to widen the wealth and power of the
dollars, but when the dollar acts like it does in Nigeria, it becomes a predicate for that economy, forcing
a first world market and standards to apply in a Third or International markets such as Lagos, what we
experience is an undesirable damage to the local unit of exchange and a depreciation of the local return
rate of products manufactured in these countries.
US as a Super power in the world, not unlike English or Britain and with Chinese relaxing their business
and immigration policy, these currencies like the French and the Swiss, will always have a future market
in its currency niche and may future return rate – hence a positive economy or investment. It’s Nigerian
capable to granting a stasis for the economic bandwidth of West Africa and Africa which they champion?
The answer is yes, that in spite of the absence of the Canary Wharf in Nigeria, in spite of the absence of
New York and Chicago International mercantile currency basket, in spite of the fewer number of foreign
currencies other than the dollars trading in Nigeria and freely, that its perform based expectation of
future market through forex or other exchange bias, can be usefully realized from a re-denominated
local currency. Secondly, by emphasizing local currency ticked to the Naira in spite of all argument these
Banks are making, that all currencies are by exchange careening equal to a final products, and like
canned beans, rice and tomatoes, a specific foreign denominated currency is simply and ultimately a
product similar than the once mentioned but marketed separately. There is no doubt that a liberal
attitude towards foreign denominators may undermine the weight of currency price index. From Forex
perspective, Nigeria as an International market, rank through the third tier, characterized by local
frontier and by conversion rate which does not the need the Bank. But the wealth of resources which
are possible through this range of businesses may confine some of the more endearing composition on
the subject to Forex in relation to other parts of the local West African Market.
The re-evaluation as part of the attempt at dollarization would by condition of its existence consign the
new attempt at digital monetary rotation of Nigerian currency into oblivion, for if the re-denomination
of the Naira is achieved, quickly and on time, the new and nearly responsible attempt at buying back the
Naira with stated crude oil and cash row currency such as the dollars and the Europe may not be
necessary. It is natural that Nigerians object to the physical presence of dollars or any other currency
saving where they belong – the Banks. It is common sense to mention that the use or abuse of dollars in
Nigeria by Nigerians from USA or from elsewhere, or by Americans visiting Nigeria or others can be
better met with a greater appeal if the currency rate – at least for now is offloaded from military
problems and credits panache – to a less than 00 re-denomination. Of course the papers for the
prospects and oppositions to the statuesque are not yet fertile or the government shown a kindly
affiliation to such research as 'dollarization' and Project Cure, or sample opinions on the merits of a
re-denominator in West Africa and in Nigeria removing as Charles Soludo suggested, the 00s from the
current mark to paper Nigerian Naira. As opposed to Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala and her refutation of the
Nigerian Naira re-denomination or her ameliorating examples of ‘Reforming The Unreformable’ (2012)’
lessons from Nigeria mainly administrative, management based history of the transformations going on
Nigeria.
Essay II
Feb 3 2015 (September 21st 2015)---Buhari For President.
Edited September 21st, 2015
By
Sampson I.M Onwuka
The aim of presenting APC’s candidate Mohammadu Buhari in the light of current national discourses is
to show that he is serious about his Presidency that he is a capable man as much perhaps as anyone
running for the office of Nigerian President. He is running for the office of Nigerian President along the
Professor at Law, Yemi Osibajo. The financial weight lifting has come from several places, but in terms of
the intent of the man in office and the aspirations of the North in what may be considered an unfinished
business of the 85’ coup, there is a question of Buhari and what he really is.
There are lots of issues at stake in Nigerian elections and one of which is the issue of security which
under Buhari as Military Head of State of Nigeria from 1983 – 1985 was performed to the point of
denying people’s rights to free existence. This freedom from the perspective of a soldier has limits of
application, especially when Buhari is involved. It is correct to mention that Buhari more than any active
Nigerian politician and perhaps IBB, has been involved in all classes of Nigerian military and political
Transformation and is perhaps baying for a legitimate opportunity to be president from the wealth of
his experiences.
Was it Buhari’s luck to advance against a PDP political machine, perhaps it was, most perhaps it was
not? How then shall we begin to present an argument on Buhari as a political force whose gravitas can
fetch the presidency or fail in efforts for trying for so long? Perhaps Buhari is not political in career sense
of it; perhaps he was part of encyclical that determines the dimension of revolutions in any society and
not necessarily the political round table. Played backward, Buhari would not suffer his career to be
understood in the light of a people that see him different, for if the calls of Sarduana of Sokoto for the
new and young co-operative cadre to improve the new look of Muslims affected him, he was not alone
in his expectations for the North.
BUHARI may be argued to have made more public condemnation of militant group ‘Boko Haram’ and is
said to have officially condemned some of the assumptions about the State of Northern leadership and
the interpretations of Islam. Buhari has not done himself any good since his 1985 ousting from office by
Ibrahim Babangida who was his minister for defense. Since the incident he does however appear to be
politically anti-social, or has been known to lack personal audacity to indulge the rest of the society. But
in the years of isolation from office and from Nigerian military apparatuses, he is credited to have taken
himself and his family away from politics, whereas feeding his family would be considered a national
item, there are less and less evidence that he has benefit from office than others or could it have
mattered.
Nigerians have not has not taken his political view too seriously for how else could they have accepted
that if Buhari was only recently publicly inveigh extreme militancy or Islamic tyrannical groups following
the adoptions of the Nigerian Girls at Chibok by Boko Haram. It must be clearly stated as well that
Nigeria in terms of the resources available to it and the sensitivity to power deserves all kinds of
considerations on who is really working in their interest of Nigeria and where such a person can be
trusted with such powers. With or without invoking the past which taints Buhari in association, the
military years during the Nigerian Coups and counter-coups in Nigeria are no product of personal
consideration, they are facts of life.
Boko Haram cannot serve as the mantra to gauge the limits of a Buhari in office, yet it is a Vernier
caliper in breaking to rest some of the problems encountered by these Nigerians in dealing with Islamic
Insurgency. For Buhari, who may or may not have known about the incident of the Boko-Haram since
2001, that the group remained a sect for their right, seeking to emasculate the popularity of new Islamic
conformist and pushing to transform the North into a political anti-party to a currency available
anywhere in the Country, described by some as religious institutions in forms and names of revolution.
The failure of Buhari to have taken the mantle of leadership in suppressing the dicta of Boko Haram
exposed him to daggers of being a sympathizer, a claim which remains ominous of his religious
impresario, that from all acts performs during and after his 2 year in office still exorcises the apparitions
of the terror even it was not nearly the case.
Since independence, Nigeria is still grappling with its image and play with straw trying to forge images of
a nation grappling with itself. It needs not be mentioned that Nigerians and indeed many Africans are
looking to forget some of the names that made it to the office of the President. Among the names
Nigerians need to forget; Sani Abacha, Ibrahim B. Babangida, Theophilus Danjuma, includes now and
perhaps for other reasons, Mohammed Buhari. History is fortune to those who remember and those
who observe, but no eye witnessing of exfoliating of the political years of Buhari would have prepared
any Nigeria for the problems of Boko Haram, an insurgency that rings through the fears of the intifada
between the North and the South, though the sea has thawed and day breaks for Nigerians and their
politics, historians struggle and will perhaps struggle to vindicate Buhari on his excellent services.
=-=-
His lack of publicity deserves a special consideration at least to me, that at least in writing – his lack of
published writing and publicity appearance and engagements, is what GEJ has discovered long ago to be
a cog in his wheels of political progress. For sure, a dispassionate observer will tell you that Buhari has
no reason to expect votes from a population he is not willing to indulge in any class of discourse or
socially engage in spite or for spite of his image and self-respect which does not in action amount to
self-preservation.
Lack of personal confidence and the problem of Northern leadership may have given new
and perhaps psychology restrictions on Buhari, that Nigerians far from North or Nigerians in the North if
may have problems deciding their political loyalty. No one in the last 30 years in Lagos and Abuja could
be said to have toed the discipleship of Buhari, or his political views in West Africa proved uncertain.
If history is politics, we can all agree that one man that understood the circumstances surrounding
human power and its ability was Obasanjo, an ex-President of Nigeria, who in spite of the mud and foot
of clay in rational political decisions of the country, can still win votes in the Northern Nigeria and in the
East. That he is occasionally involved in one show of support for Yorubas is a consequence of uniting a
new Government and a new republic from an old.
The consciousness is not only political, it is also religious. Perhaps and only perhaps when these facts
and religious rights are placed within the definitions of property places more faith on wealth, personal
wealth above the property of national interest becomes primary. This is a systemic problem made more
sinister with the age of military powerhouses (Dinka, Murtala Mohammed, Gowon, IBB, Abacha, Buhari)
baying the loss and death by murder of their leader by Amadu Bello who was the Sudauna of Sokoto.
To some extent that many Nigerians are no longer willing to accommodate the past – even for the best
of us that still write back to the empire on the merits of a new society and the rewards from experiences
which Buhari could bring to the Country. We were wrong about Obasanjo and his military and
intellectual reserves for Nigeria, his suppressed personalities during persecution eventually showed up
and we have inherited some of the problems on his administration which brought the new age of
militancy in the North and the renegade self-defenses in Riverine Areas of Nigeria. In South East and
ever so slightly, the victim of these years and Obasanjo unleashed his pejorative behaviors towards
Nigerians who were fooled into consolidation and Aba for the fun suffered in quality and in business and
inherited the issue of kidnapping and reparation which was never part of its existence.
It is this fear of who and how Nigerians preserve of this Buhari, whether or not he seem to have been
cleaner and fairer than his compeers that motivates them towards a fear which then as well now is not
unfounded. Perhaps this is not the case in many parts of the Nigeria especially in the South East, but
little has been done to earn the rights of GEJ re-election in many South East let alone South-South, does
not mean that other parts of the Country is not working hard and less demanding than they, but there
are long standing issues that has not died and need to be handled as a way to bridge the gaps between
the problems of governmental gangsters and the issue of the self-defense which MEND brought itself to
bear.
Amadu Bello presents a motivation for personal motivations of Buhari, for in terms of the man, the
meaning and age of corruption, some argument may be made against the long and intermediate lines of
Amadu Bello, who was Sarduana of Sokoto. The problems between him and Nnamdi Azikiwe and the
contentious issues of power and failure of the North to recognize a leader from the South or the East on
the premise of religious devotion of a Muslim and Infidel others should not dictate to the Muslims on
how to manage their country. This cannot be argued as the total reason for Nigerian Military
intervention in Nigeria, or explain why Nzeogwu’s commitment to the coup was not without the sacking
of rail road workers under the orders a young Northern Nigerian leader, Sarduana of Sokoto. It could not
be aid that the rail incident prolonged unemployment and eased an early death of his father.
This story is confirmed elsewhere ‘Hot money’ (82), but concerning these men as we come understand it
who includes IBB, Buhari, Abacha, Mohammed, and the rest, produce a long picture of why corruption in
Nigeria remained a foreign legacy and the deep penetration of Lebanese in Nigeria, especially their roles
in exploiting the Niger-Delta and Foreign Federal Accounts, is evident in the death of Ken Saro Wiwa
during the era of Sani Abacha.
We can now supply the answer to some of the issue of Nigeria and corruption during its oil boom,
between the Persons of Buhari and IBB, that it was part of the problems constituted systemically from
the early political years of Nigeria which many still harbor suspicions that it is still in many ways than one
very visible in the life and existence of Buhari who is a last trace of older regime. The Country may have
gotten over these early beginnings but the language of peace and comradery between the North and
South, especially the old East has no produced nothing but unprovoked aggression that the Northern
Nigeria has never understood a society that is ruled by force is a virus that Amadu Bello should have
buried and killed, and he didn’t any more or less than perhaps Buhari who is not Amadu Bello.
There are approaches to power and when given the total and more demanding interpretation; there are
very little gaps between gangs and hoodlums, between the Military Cadre of most auspicious type and
problems of Boko Haram and in limelight, the examples of Riverine reactionary group who took the
amnesty from past Nigerian President. Digging from recent insurgencies in the North which has no merit
towards disposing political transformations from the North as from the aspirations of these Northerners,
such military excesses means harm to the chances of winning the Country for the North as part of the
negotiated interest of Islamic Insurgencies in Northern Nigeria. But if we place the onus on this act from
incidence involving Buhari and the Northern Nigerians, we are victims of our imagination and hopeless
in so far as the wish for a better Nigeria is considered. Yet this disposing of the second meaning of
electing a APC candidate tainted by the past, leads closer to the temptation and judgment of considering
a possible future from personal and individual complexes in Nigeria and the complex of self-defense.
Charles Soludo recently defended himself, “I note that when I assumed office as Governor of CBN, the
stock of foreign reserves was $10 billion. The average monthly oil price during my 60 months in office
was $59, but foreign reserve reached the all-time peak of $62 billion (and despite paying $12 billion for
external debt, and losing over $15 billion during the unprecedented global financial and economic crisis)
I left behind $45 billion….My calculation is that if the economy was better managed, our foreign
reserves should have been between $102 –$118 billion and exchange rate around N112 before the fall
in oil prices. As of now, the reserves should be around $90 billion and exchange rate no higher than
N125 per dollar. Third, the rate of public debt accumulation at a time of unprecedented boom had no
parallel in the world. While the Obasanjo administration bought and enlarged the policy space for
Nigeria, the current government has sold and constricted it. What debt relief did for Nigeria was to
liberate Nigerian policymakers from the intrusive conditionalities of the creditors and thereby truly
allowing Nigeria independence in its public policy”
We may also cite the story about Wole Soyinka and his interview in 2014 comparing Buhari to Shagari -
as re-iterated in a January 2015 interview, that “Shagari’s NPN had already run out of steam and was
near universally detested except of course by the handful that still benefited from that regime of
profligacy and rabid fascism. Responsibility for the national condition lay squarely at the door of the
ruling party, obviously, but against whom was Buharis coup staged? Judging by the conduct of that
regime, it was not against Shagaris government but against the opposition. The head of government, on
whom primary responsibility lay, was Shehu Shagari. Yet that individual was kept in cozy house
detention in Ikoyi while his powerless deputy, Alex Ekwueme, was locked up in Kiri-kiri prisons. Such was
the Buhari notion of equitable apportionment of guilt and/or responsibility.”
Did Wole Soyinka mention some of the atrocities against the political interest of proclaimers of Biafra
Republic, even if it was a motivation (movie) for something interesting, some of the leaders of the Biafra
Republic were killed and maimed during their meeting, and Professor was cast into a long spell of
Uwechue detention? It is understandable that people should not call for a different nation if that’s they
did, rather having a form of reasonableness of administrative of office is still a conditional process that is
perhaps still questionable but does not call for lethal actions. Under Buhari we could speak of welfare
state or its origins, and like the Americans they was “war of poverty” “war against indiscipline”,
propagandist education for all between 1983 – 1985 which are the highlights of Buhari administration.
80 | P a g e
There was a form of reconnection to Gowon with a measure of authority but it looks as if the plan to
transform into a Socialist or Communist economy somehow lingered in his administration. For strong
leadership it is impossible to deny that Mohammad Buhari is not a preferred choice over Jonathan, and
for economic prosperity and the issue of discipline, Buhari will go down as one better Nigerians to have
managed the Country. Does that mean President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan it’s any weak. He’s NOT; his
strength however shows up in different forms and less interesting places such as Campaign for office. If
half of the energy is applied to the problems Nigeria is facing, he would emerge the best president of
the Country yet.
At least, the dictatorial leaders of Buhari is not so much a factor as the issue of actual military coup in
Nigeria where he placed the President and his vice in jail and for indefinite period of time. In some
measure of academic reassessment of Buhari during his period office, there are hints of remonstrations
among the Nigerians on corruption. As such we could be tempted to separate facts from process, that
the gaming of Soyinka, who categorized Buhari’s sympathizers as, “Those who are intellectually Blind,
(2) those who are blinded by ethnicity (3) those who are blinded by corruption and therefore afraid of
the unknown; should power change hands, and finally, (4) those who are suffering from a combination
of the above terminal sickness.” While those who are reading from this attack will not fail to recognize
the persuasion from parsimony or the politics of the late 70’s and early 80’s we suggest that historical
re-enactment of this era, cannot show how the injuries of the Civil War impregnated the understanding
of Soyinka or how the whitening of his hair by age and its phenomenon has labored his reasons.
But he is usually right, for how could anyone forfeit a two year incarceration for his opposition against
the activities of the Nigerian Army in the Eastern Nigeria. If as the saying goes that ‘the man died’, it was
not for the freedom that Democratic freedom brings to Nigeria but perhaps for his two years of
incarceration by mostly Northern Nigerian Army. Elsewhere, the question on who really put him in jail
and why it’s still a hung jury, but of course these forces parade the remaining days of his active life,
perhaps like someone’s favorite quote from Soyinka’s book, that “The man dies in him who keeps quiet
in the face of injustice.”, Soyinka, speaks perhap his mind on Buhari, vaunting against his political
campaigning and Buhari’s voting chances. Perhaps, now unlike then, we consider the dispatch from his
youth as an essential canon, no more relevant than the person who becomes president since ‘the ends’
in office justifies ‘the means’, therefore the history of the persons of authority may assume a new and
fatal meaning when placed in that office and not the other way around it.
Politics away from power is a nuisance of a great unraveling which is no different Nigeria than anywhere
else, it is fitting to demarcate between grandiose intellectual pursuits that ends with no advances for or
against the interest of a motion than the politics of history. It is political to argue for Buhari, political to
argue against Buhari, much more political to vote for either Buhari or against Buhari, perhaps voting
against the opponent is one way to widen the broad stroke of voting landscape. It is not enough to vote
for any man or woman interest of choice, it looks plain enough, that a vote one direction is equal to a
vote not in favor of another.
Such a position can actually change anyone and power explains its origins in the vessels that wills it and
not by appearance like David and the seven sons of Jesse in nominations by Samuel. To be Frank, what is
going in the Country at this point it’s beyond the badge that we should place on Buhari? It does not
mean that he is a right choice or on the right, it does not explain why President Jonathan is the right
choice either, and it gives meaning to the Buhari year’s 1983-1985 and GEJ’s of 2000 – 2015 and why
there is election in 2015.
Chinua Achebe ‘Once There was A Country’ (2012) did not emphasize the total damage Sarduana’s
ideology brought to Nigeria. The book levitates on the influences of Amadu Bello among the Ijaws where
they were split between the loyalty to Nigeria and the first Coup of 1966 which saw the death of Amadu
Bello and on the other Northern reactionary tendencies that mitigated the power complex of the mostly
but consequentially Igbo-led military coup and administration in Nigeria.
We are looking at the edge of the deciding political force whose sun has no being let to shine, for yet a
consideration of the nearly acquired meaning is given to this man and his office so far, we would have
not failed to whispers of a struggle to exert himself if a career that was no meant for him. Politics like
engagement it’s a career, and pursuant to the meaning and reward and fulfilling of those is the lack of
debility of the sun. Was his light to shine in politics perhaps it would make some sense when compared
from the premise of his years in office?
It may suggest a kind of faith in a system or in people who can exercise wisdom or so expected to do the
right thing even it means losing the elections. If we have no faith in others or no form of connection to
their request we created a hole without knowing it, and at inquest as for voting, we have lost the fans
and general citizen. Images of loyalty and common sense would gradually worth nothing and in the end,
such persons as Buhari can be excused in the altar of presidential elections or given his chance to try.
It will impossible to deny that for nearly half of a century, these names mentioned above have not more
than occupied the central position of Nigerian politics, for better management and not lack of goodwill,
their administrative comradery nearly sunk Nigeria into abyss of incompetency and confusion, riddled
piece by States with confusion and poverty. Instability is the root of all confusion and more than
confusion is the issue of uncertainty, uncertainty welcomes the move to secure a future through a past,
perhaps through wealth already stored or through public funds and embezzlement. If the military
intervention was set to sponsor the culture of stability in Nigeria, this primary duty of the Nigerian
military could not be said to have worked its magic in the military years or could be said to have
engineered a future that puts Nigerians first.
We write therefore with regard that if perhaps, conscientious participation is the ire of responsibility,
within its garment of humility may swell the hints of pride which perhaps die without oxygen
Essay III
Pure Play I & II
Sampson I.M Onwuka
Define Pure play, it could mean certain things to certain people, it is however an oneiric interest in
choosing to use the cyber space to deal with any available information based chiefly on trust than the
face to face contact or similar contact under an avenue of transaction. Pure play could to refer to the act
of doing business for business sake and solely on understanding between the players or trust between
the teamsters, that a level of trust and degree of peculiarity of the indulgent need no prima facie or
recognition whatsoever. A good example of a pure play it’s the use Turbo Taxes, which prepares your
taxes without being responsible for compromise of information and without being responsible for other
problems that could be associated with it. In deciding to use Turbo Taxes, the choice is between you –
the first person and Turbo tax, and it is mainly the responsibility of the individual to effectively
transform the system for own private use.
A pure play could work for poker games or even video games when you game between you and the
computer program and there are definitions which are similar to a niche market but different for
different reasons, since a particular emphasis on product type in particular industries sometimes
necessarily involve see-eye contact. Whatever definition is given to the idea of ‘Pure Play' cannot truly
apply in New York, the whole game of selling and dealing through the internet and doing business
through social network has taken on added weight. There are several problems associated with Pure
Play – especially when several other products are used at the same time such as ADOBE on some other
parallel product or recent IGPs (2). The grammar of error is with the translation of one product line on
another that gives it some control without a face to face contact with the other side of the structure.
The informed status recently enjoyed by the prevailing cultures in the state and sources for information
may have taken on a whole new attitude in New York and in US in general, but it really a question of the
attitude and the not the intention. It is become more expensive in terms of security network that it
provides. But you are not blame them, for how could anyone It is not just the Banks that operate in the
dark that should concern the best of us, or companies that provide security information and apparatus
while at this same time participate in public market that is should concern us. In the past, empires and
kingdoms, peoples and languages were known for the buildings they mounted and houses they built,
but these days, we can suggest that the sophistry of most economic societies can be reduced to pure
play.
This process should indicate a security process and with it comes a renewed avowal on the security of
both private individuals and institutions and the cost of failing to educate citizens on why and what is
wrong with certain actions in society, and above all, the limits of certain applicability of process. It is a
lame trust that came with familiar instruments which applied to the process but ultimately it came down
to penetration of a system from familiar and not enemy sources. U.S information network is several
decades ahead of what is currently available but such soft penetration is the reason why surveillance is
important and why it is the only thing wrong with it. In so or far as the Security discharges from the 9/11
and use and failure to issue Q-tell which took added meaning after, there is a false and misleading
interpretative process by people so severe on their own less driven and less exposed experiences that
direct information is not possible.
The Patriot Act is supposedly to put an end to this inherit danger associated with being an enemy of the
state, an error that is not so much a Government Issue as it is a public excess of duly prescribed power
and vices of a well described delegation of authority. It is a point of Pure play to reconsider that some of
the assumptions with software and the deals about business gives direct and indirect consultative
approach to personal business. The Mobs in New York were particularly effective because of their access
to IBM information and Department of motor vehicles. So also the Nazi Party. The circumstances
surrounding the use of public or private information in navigating private business and interest group, is
one the thorniest aspects of security pure play which includes whore houses and a pure play away from
Wall Street even with the coming of Archipelago. An end of Wall Street is not relocation to the privy
discretion of your kitchen, it is a different estimate that a pure play from institutional traders will
increase in order to forestall the error and the poaching of new comers to Wall Street, new and
individual traders.
We can discuss some of the advantages of Pure Play and some of the benefits of online application of
process and transformation of business tools, but the particular nature of local world street and the
drive towards a transformation, sometimes stop short of the failure of the net to provide serious
information leads for business and for social contact. One of such cases is the LinkedIn resources with
fewer leads than other software based access. This does not combine to any extent with the psychology
of changing some of computer software with new ones, which ensures equal access to the internet and
for all asunder. I take that the information technology of Wall Street and private betting has o
sufficiently taken hold of the business in day to day operation, but to secure a foot in the business of
everyday life at the Wall Street, the old LOTS system was put to secure easy access to new information
system. The application of vendors and gadgets used for currency trades and so on may be
manufactured by seating institutions or in terms of Wall Street, we can speak of proud and well
determined trade families and investment banks who reel on this pure play. The temptation to go it
alone is based not without damage to one’s sense of respectability.
Perpetual surveillance is the basic theme of the Cold war, far removed from what happens in local and
primitive situations, it’s the penetration of a Government by foreign and local elements that are
enemies of the state. The Patriot Act in US is not limited to government and cannot be the only reason
why some contracting based individuals migrate to someplace. It leads to new development in the Sony
incident where allegation of local and internal job has surfaced several times. Suspicious behaviors are
behaviors that do not correspond to a norm, much effective others are usually part of the norm, operate
the norm and the system and only from earning public and institutional trust can they be viewed above
suspicion. These are the most dangerous others and said to be interest in protecting private interest, for
sure, the temptation of having a U.S security apparatus monitored by a select school and their groups of
interest groups is to respond to questionable behavior and use and abuse of process. Whereas the SONY
and information agency is no serious issue and can reduced to elementary navigation system, placing
too much faith on the inquiry is actually a serious setback.
For all intent, the limit of the application of process places no limits in hacking down a suspect with the
information from a general and acquired resource pool could actually generate, to a point that many
people were perhaps aware of the weaknesses in Sony defenses and therefore leads away from the
sophistry required in hacking and erasing specific data by the corporation. It could be done from North
Korea even with half their competency level, could be done from Sony headquarters even with half
competence, that attacks at even the Treasury and US defenses may re-originated from Sony suggest
that vulnerability of several account securities with US special information technology outfits. In
essence, Sony was perhaps a pivot hole for other damages and the sources couldn’t have come from any
other place saving from Sony. It leads here to one critical question which FBI has supplied the answer
that the attacks originated from North Korea, means that Sony may or may not have been privy to
sensitive US information and security apparatuses.
Last two years, it can as a surprise that Bernanke and the Feds were hacked by a special lantern
introduced perhaps through a system which the Feds recognized such as those which we cannot
mention for now. From these letters or information email code well known resources above or within
suspicion, a good lantern can be attached to an email and when opened by Feds Operational bypass
code easily docks on the main frames and lays the system. In some sense, docking the Federal Reserve
System and Bernanke information portfolio was for the perpetrators an easy thing to do and an act of
aggressive cloud computing, but it was espionage no different from the outcomes that finds us looking
at SONY and the source of the damages.
The End of Wall Street is a title of a book by Roger Lowenstein but the book was not so much deserving
of the average four star it garnered from reviewers, who played into the dubious accounts of the 2008
incidents perhaps with sparing from Long Term Capital Management used by its principal architects;
Robert Merton and Myron Scholes, who are also associated with efficient market hypothesis. But the
major hand in this theory was missing, Fisher Black, who may not have saved the problems of crude oil
and the collapse of business of opportunities in Russia which has many things to do Putin and capture of
Russian oil companies. The book which tantalized on the end of sub-prime in 2008 missed several key
points which may have paved the way for Alan Blinder’s (2013) more comprehensive and very late
delivery on the problems of 2008.
It is not here that we measure the stories on 2008 for the main focus is the principal interest and focus
of the lessons from this period, which are hard to articulate, which these authors may or may not have
achieved, achieved with some measure of comparative in Blinder’s (2013) but only to the point of
summary from other points and not the originality which is equally hard to achieve. But Lowenstein’s
(2000) ‘When Genius failed’ showed a thriller at work, did not give us something that was not there
including the indirect impact of the new Government in Russia and why there was an error in rushing to
old Soviet Union when there was a serious issue of attendant balance of power in Soviet Union and
Russia.
We look at Pure Play as something that was not taken seriously, for instance the shift from business on
the ground to the internet, promotes an argument that having control over quantity money has become
as challenging as the rate which could damn personal consumption. There is a reason why for instance
UPS, FedEx, Amazon, eBay, Bailu, Alibaba, are pushing the boundaries of wealth management and
returns of investment, whereas Walmart which avoided a split in June 2014 and HEB who are useful in
regional markets are approaching their limits, that pure play which is not sucking occasion and in spite
of the niche markets, has gradually returned the end of the big transaction arena into clearing houses.
There are too many problems associated with Pure play and information system such as Google (a chief
prototypes pure play) is how Americans and others with access to the internet usually prefer ordering
shift from the backyard and have it delivered to them at the backyard than stepping out into the cold or
traveling has threatened store houses for a start, threatened elite businesses as we know it, and has put
out the smoke in the hen house.
Black Fridays for instance do not attract as much people as it usually does, does not mean there is a
diminishing of buying and selling going by the most recent year in question. When there is a slash in
prizes, there is always sometime to take chance to take advantage off. It leads us to consider that
business in one location has now shifted to business in our private houses, that emphasis on packaging
and delivery service may have future lasting till a new event in management and transaction. Pure play
is what happens when there are Job applications through the internet than showing up at the location.
It is easier to distinctive reproduce the evil from the past and presorts who will likely get a job with
online application than a face to face application which Baltimore still do.
Such vendors as Monster.com, Career.com, Job gallery.com, Indeed.com, are ideas of vendors who are
primarily interest in pure play; you don’t the employer, you don’t hear from the employer, you don’t see
the vendor don’t speak with them or what they look like even through a telephone conversations. When
we no longer need to travel to the bank and financial institutions to combine our resources for business
and engage in transaction, deposit, select comptroller and financial plan including REIT, that all these
transactions could be done through the internet and online through a recommended system or
encrypted network, you are involved in some kind of pure play.
The same is within the definition of security system, network alarm, house alarm, people’s network of
invisible camera watching you and so on, you no longer require human direct contact of eye to eye
investigation, you are watching or being watched, it gives the one with the end of a knife a power of
central authority a little below the power of God over other people. There are hundreds of such
examples of pure play from unmanned vehicles who selectively employ their choice of candidacy to
institutions that are mainly concerned with online registration and accounting and with other informed
processing of the certificate such as University level certificate.
In the past, an institution such as Harvard or Oxford will prefer students from the entire world to have a
study stay at the school and help to complete their institutional study leading to a certification. But
these days they are not hindered by such process and have reserved reasons why this is not for the
institution and as for their process in selecting students from all of over the country. University of
Phoenix with its promise of deferring academic tuition cost with a small width of success has made it
impossible to criticize the process of playing out academic resources through the internet with virtual
life advisers and virtual life professors.
These forms of pure play are usual unless there are cases of direct and indirect interest between the
school and the body of advisers doing the good work. You are not who you are paying to and how safe
you numbers on the air is and or how well the informed apparatuses can protect your identity. You are
looking at an open opportunity with a requirement as rigid as classroom process but then there are
cases of secret stalking and lantern which the procurators of the engines may employ towards objects of
their own interest. Whereas Russia and China are considered prime examples of secret police reducing
government opposition in communist nations, there are more serious cases of infringement of Citizens’
right or what in America we may call crimes against humanity.
Given the formal nature of capitalist society as prone to taking advantage of others, the paradox of
netting cash through information has taken on a whole meaning, becoming a vise in common markets
than official social access. In this we mean that the way front process of letting competitors participate
on certain necessary 'Pure Play' information where only a group has useful access to information might
be challenging, especially when it involves the smaller companies who are likely to compete with bigger
companies in any given world market for security contracts and market opportunity. There is a problem
of legitimacy involved in marketing under the wire, but none of immediate practice is set in such as to
oppose any thing we find in FDIC rules and regulation, and more than anything too much regulation
could just kill the Market.
If private investors as well huge financial institutions can be taken seriously, they are likely to participate
in an open source automated quote lines, but for IPOs arriving on the board with venerable software
and little primary source, there is a case to be made that 'filling orders' and quotes on line which brokers
nowadays do, can be intercepted by much primary sources from higher levels and then then mantra of
rerouting basic IP routes. This measure so to speak is gauged in such a way that online primary
interceptors or level III and IV trading institution much of it is NASDAQ will likely file a forward ahead of
intercepted filling orders, and by merely pressing on a button leading to the sale or hold level I and II
position. In such circumstances, the bigger coverage will now set up their calls based on information
that is available to them via direct access, and can hold until volume builds within seconds of trading
window before the 10-15 automated quote lines. The Feds Wire can hacked since it loads for clearing
houses given experts some field excess to amount and rate of return.
Lately in New York, the whole fear of that what happened in New York with the fall of Lehman might
repeat itself in years to come, yet the problem with Lehman like many other derivative financial
companies and institution is that people who were supposed to monitor them were also involved in
making the rounds of expectation. The question one need to ask is why Madoff succeeded so easily, the
fact remains that he could not succeeded without others and more than anything, he could have only
succeed in a system that is in his own hands. The other issues which take the front line is the one
concerning election and electioneering campaigns. For instance in New York, there is nothing any
opponent can do to raise awareness on the shortfalls of the current incumbent of New York without first
encountering the obstacles of public view, fed on by local news and television with primary attachment
to primary sources and prodded by primary information source and the restriction to general access.
After the visit of the President to New York, it has been my personal concern that Americans sense of
security, especially its bend towards private security is signaling a process that could get out of hand.
The security groups are going whole sale of whatever inspire fear and the more they calm, but this is
getting very negative coverage. Beginning with the President Barrack Obama whose visit on 14th of
September, a day supposedly intended to co-inside with fall of Lehman brothers to his visit to Albany
yesterday, it is likely that the new apparatuses of surveillance and internet security run by private
organization may create more problems in future than solve.
Above all, if the issue of perpetual surveillance is to be taken literary, then a gap or hole in information
exist for what happened with Madoff and his scandal, since we know that until he was discovered and
charged, he was called the Chairman of NASDAQ. NASDAQ is the head-chief of information technology
and security pure play, there is further gap to be explored on the movement of National Intelligence
investment on private security companies, some of which were forged and what swelled the portfolio of
Bernard Madoff. His accomplish ought to European who dominated that market at some point and
'motley', English who weaved in and out of US intelligence market. Further holes can be dug into the
impact of connecting American stock market and British in 2004/5.
It is possible to assert that produce from farming and Manufacturing in general cannot replaced by
Information Systems which is not edible and ultimately only gratifies when a service is done, does not
mean that Information System is anything but the future. Information Age and the consequent issue of
Security associated with it draws blood on the possibilities of a comprehensive Artificial Intelligence in
future and the rise of the third person singular, that is, the other you that was never there, that is the
Matrix evolving from a complex of your phone calls and your reaction to specific questions during
conversation, your reaction to other personal and as well emotional experiences and from other
immateriality such as range of products that you buy at any of your local stores.
A record of your past is an estimate of your probable future, all of which is already in use by the time
you add another 10 years to your life that by old age, you are so well programmed that it is estimable to
know when you are likely to die and from what. The alteration to the Internet especially the intrusion
from outside is part of the reasons, why there is a constant fear of obsessing with information, leading
to behavioral tendencies and entitlement, all of which might sound justifiable. Therefore network
warrants a larger security framework.
There are other possibilities that arise through the use of software in narrowing down the lifestyle on all
individual. For instance the use of Camera’s these day attached to cell phones, could easily help us keep
an eye on anyone 24 hours 7 days a week. If we have problems of crime and scene of accident, the role
cars and companies carrying cameras could help people engage it’s each through automated share point
and through social networks out there. These days a group of friends and even members of any unit can
keep their on you for as long that need, which means that you probably at a disadvantage when you are
stranger.
But that future is the cause of recent nightmare, and in that nightmare there is a day breaking that
books which we read before and a product print and paper may now be read through a Kindle and other
Note Books. In future, there will other forms of maintaining and reproducing information without the
big hardware that come with it. What we are dealing with is the issue of faceless communications,
whereas people in the past had building and human beings who signed in and out of business contracts,
Pure Play involves people you don't see, buildings you don't see, and there is no where you can account
for any transactions only through the so called voice on the phone.
There is no argument that Pure Play does not have its limitations or that these limitations cannot be
overcome, but we dealing with accountable in a world of business people and busy businesses, where
anyone working for the government or in the guise of similar outfits may likely convert sensitive
information for very personal gains. The whole process may be argued from the point of Security, that
internet and other safe-net spaces may be the answer. Yet anyone who has dealt with Debt collectors
and big companies such as Verizon where faceless operators respond to you through your own portfolio,
will enjoin this experience that your personal security or other forms of personal information can be
used against you by persons.
That price of security is much more useful these days than the opportunity cost of not doing much.
However, the emphasis on virtual confirmation and the express exploitation process need to be
reconvened. It is not how the world works and operate, if it is the instances of Boko Haram in Nigeria
and those of criminal or non-governmental bodies who find Nigerian security system friendly and easy,
easy and amusing to confuse terrorism with view of achieving and it is very useful to a large extent in
New York to invest in areas of private security that saw the last evolution of security services leading
away from the 9/11. The facts of paying too much to sponsor internet business has also suffocated
security businesses done on the ground in New York.
The possibility that a place like Empire State Building in New York or New York library is seriously under
surveillance, does not mean we have total control over the building at any time, as such attention
cannot be placed entirely on Internet security and security services that provide them. Yet attention
seems nowadays to dwell on businesses involving internet as if these terrorist will communicate through
the net and through automated signals. But that is just one major advantage. The advantage of doing
business through the internet carries the greater danger of compromise in terms of security. In many
ways, there is a necessity to let privates handle sensitive information but such access to information can
at times prove disastrous especially when Information only passes through One major source and such
sources decides the left and right of businesses or profits that connect with it.
Most people in New York who trade or who play in any major markets by any single stretch, are perhaps
aware of General dynamics, some may have signed a few papers with Home land Security or other
security based groups in NYC. In the light of the wire's fraud and the complication of automated quote
lines leading to the 65 billion dollars scandal involving Bernie Madoff, there has been an increased
tendency from the US to police the network of wire business. For people who tract 'new economy' this
is essentially a difficult executive procedure since Global markets have shifted base from a down where
the operational cost are likely covered by banks and their representative, to the people and including
children who can make money right of the internet. Yet in New York City has taken on a whole new
meaning and in fact attitude. We are beginning to hear the deep throat of too much policing from
everything including Cameras in subways to whole run.
Conclusion….
This theme of being under perpetual surveillance and the consequences of it all is well treated in a new
Book 'The Secret World of outsourcing intelligence; Spies for Hire' by Tim Shorrock, published in 2008.
The book not only highlighted the difficulty involved in coping with the new age information technology,
it goes the distance in letting us see the contagious necessity of making deals with private security
experts in United States.
In New York following the debacle of the business and in his remonstrance, he scored on the fact that
QTel (an alpha source by forge as in Q for Quelle as it is German for 'source') of George Tenet era,
intended as venture Capital Fund for CIA, had done better than most in telling off the direction of
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Government spending in military information technology and as such denied others the opportunity of
running on even keel with open market and common market funding. Q-Tel may have yielded the
beauty of 3-D Google Earth as part of the deal with Google and Keyhole inc. based in California.
The problem with such venture capital funds like Q-Tel is that it involves investment bankers which raise
eyebrows concerning the 'no risk' business incentive in a Capital market industry where 'Talent' for risk
management is an instrument for praise. But then there are companies that have done their own bit in
signing up with the government of such matters as bid-on information technology. These groups will
wholly include BAE systems, L-3/Titan, EDS, General Dynamics, Man Tech, Lockheed Martin, Microsoft,
Nortel, Northrop Grumman/Essex, Raytheon, and NCI.
Concerning of the state on what happened and why it happened during 9/11 may been complicated by
the wholesale failure of once popular prototype for wiretapping called SIGINT, which at some point the
superior tapping and wiring endeavor. SIGINT was believed to have failed in 24th of January' 2000 and
after the incident of 9/11, it was the CIA who began to push the move for a change with Fiber Optics.
Tom Shorrock highlighted the compromising structure of the wholesale intelligence society of USA,
especially data mining, which he vaguely but did not fully demonstrate could predicate on who wins in
many business circles and who rules the war of financial market place. Those data miners were selling
information based on fear seem relatively common knowledge, but much less known is the area were
outsourcing was a big deal such as the ones that follow SIGINT debacle in 2000, the relationship
between buying information gadgets and making one, moved from 17-20% to 80/83% within a matter of
years. Shorrock mentioned that a time it was a conscionable compromise on military Intel which had to
be tolerated, but deeper still, the whole deal has become a tool for private ends since public freedom
was essentially denied.
The issue concerning the 9/11/01 and other security failures and failures of integrated systems in New
York leading to the two recent air plane crashes, lead us to understand that as far matters of security,
interns of integrated systems are concerned, the solutions for it is still pressing. Yet, the matter involving
security in New York is no longer so much the show of power and stability as it is now, the fear of being
under perpetual vigilance as new provisions are signed into law permitting Cameras to overhang in NY
subways. There are all kinds of internet and security based businesses in New York, especially security
driven which has taken on the added muscle of charter, following the incident of 9/11/01 in New York.
In the '9/11 Commission' initiated at the behest of the last president, George Bush, revealed lapses in
judgment of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) under George Tenet, the whole survey tended to
suggest that CIA was not always in charge of the situation, sort faulted the leadership community for the
poverty of information and all else.
Whether or not the man in charge at the time of the incident had principal hand in determining the
shortfalls of information data is not noted, but what seem clear was the rise of security information
outfits and surveillance technology much of which were privately owned and operated and gradually
yielded grounds to the state beginning with the incidents of 9/11. From Q-Tel initiated by George Tenet
himself following the debacle of SIGINT, to Donald Rumsfeld's insisting on incorporating privately owned
internet security systems into the US military, a whole new world of security information 'Pure Play' was
born and since then Google, Yahoo, Aol, the Apollo, the flag Atlantic, and Global Crossing, have signed a
useful parity in security surveillance with more Government security intelligence. Spying on your
neighbor may be a world we only hear about, but under these signatories, it is impossible to deny that
spying on your fellow traders with the advantage of invisible cameras as large as the Armory pole has
become much closer and much more compromising in nature. The problem is not with those who ask
for the information, the problem is with those who wind up with direct non-public access to information
that can make or mar competition in any industry.
That a social network like Facebook, Twitter, Linked, Inter-business, might face technical problems does
not necessarily mean it has weaknesses in the information technology, rather it could mean that
competitors with some degree of leverage of relevant information and access might seek extortion from
the said group or face a technical glitch. The rest of the world would never know what happened and
how it happened. If we pay thousands of Dollars per screen a month to have a market Data network
from Fisk, CNN, Factiva, Reuters and Bloomberg, you can imagine what the price would be for major
corporations seeking interest in an financial areas where private owned by publicly traded companies
are monopoly, there is no degree to what can happen to these small business. The whole idea bothers
on malpractice.
Within a matter of years after the acquisition of private security companies market reactions to the
whole incident seem to have taken roots in stock markets. Such that private ownership and preferred
stocks will tend to operate against public market capitalization. In the book we learn of this trend from
the figure " that capitalization figure, derived from a company's stock price per share and once more,
the author included the issue at hand using tracking group that might also include A.G Edwards defense
banking group "that Capitalization figure, derived from a company stock price per share multiplied by
the total number of shares outstanding, is generally a good indication of investor interest in a specific
industry. Collectively, the value of the intelligence pure plays exploded in the first five years of the war
on terror, from $980.5 million in 2001 to $8.3 Billion in 2006. You are looking at 900% - increase"
Pure Play (II)
The penetration of Sony information system is an important anecdote in internet history that internet
system may not be readily in our control as easily as we speak of it since the US Satellites and those
from other countries can only track a section of the Sky and the information pathways open to the rest
of world. We are at the beginning stages of an age that will dominate the space. There will many similar
attacks on safety areas of here are also billions of phone calls between Asia and the United States every
day, making a search by search process not easily the better solution to the quick attacks in very dense
network system. But the primary defense mechanism which has worked for a lot of people including
making private companies is one that renews the systems every 12hrs of the day, between the time
differences between US and says a suspicious neighbors from Asia. It looks however that a Lantern
secretary towing SONY and the company that financed the latest flick on the Interview, the Citi-Bank
and other Banks than financed the Interview could have been vulnerable with attacks from SONY
suggesting that the break-point could not be anywhere less than Silicon Valley.
It is a not a mole in the classic sense of espionage, but there are other reasons why Sony and Samsung
may be out there. Samsung is perhaps the toughest navigation device out there, but the information
which Sony was privy may have connection to national security which was why it was a concern.
Encryption of products manufactured elsewhere or even in these US, are degrees of volubility to trip
lanterns that buries itself into the system and can be used to primarily erase data when the
circumstance of sabotage call for it. It looks therefore that the Los-Angeles – San Francisco areas of
California linking you to Asia (the only link to Asia) through a very small cable network space no bigger
than a room and the Silicon Valley has more enough say on what happened to outfits that came under
attacks. Companies considered critical infrastructure protection, MCI Corporation, Rand Corporation,
Defense Advanced Research Projects, Intel Corporation, Hilb, Office of Science and Technology, National
Security Telecommunication Advisory Committee also have Sony as part of their portfolio.
National Infrastructure Committee, The Defense Board, the D.O.D, General Accounting Office are
national concern areas and seem to have gone beyond what is available on the internet. The induction
of some the documents linking sources to attacks on banks suggest that messages couldn’t have come
from Pyongyang or any part of Asia. However this is a short note and FBI who has final say mentions that
it can from North Korea and that’s the fact – our source of information. There is only a communication
group that are capable of assaulting the access to this information besides North Korea but use of these
Internet Codes, such as COCOMO (Construction Cost model) and prevention and especial interest – cost
of new software, COPS; Computer Oracle Password Security, CORBA; Common Object Request Broker
Architect, OMB; Meeting Standard for Complaint objectives, CONOPs; Concept of Operations Scenario
Software and Communications traffic and Other source codes, suggest a kind of Cloud based
penetration or initiation and problems with can be counted by other agencies – even before it happens
such as DARPA AND NSA R2 (2) DISA; Defense Information System Agents (3) Sampler of Department of
Defense Computer
But these kinds of self-generating attacks is not the first and would probably not be the last time, we can
cite some examples using in ‘Cyber we Trust’. Rome Laboratories – 30 computer system of its 50
Internet DOD computer system on its network was hacked by a so called 16 year from Britain, launching
the virus they called ‘Snifers’ in 1994. In 1994, U.S Naval Academy defense system was hacked by
another unknown group and the group had all the password deleted, creating power outages in
overload. Unclassified systems were also broken into and the National military Command control
protocol/Internet protocol (TCP/IP), challenging authenticity of partners Preserving Confidentiality data
(MIC).
(DISA) Defense Information System Agency He was not the only man involved in the process, there were
others before and after, many of them were willing to show how adaptive mechanism of sensitive sides
of a plane can help improve on the rate of information storage, which is clearly different from internal
system of one end point to receiver used by IBM and their workers, until the coming of the new age of
Steve Wozniak, Steve Jobs, Rodney Wayne and the other side of the cove; Bill Gates, Steve Allen and
Paul Ballmer. But of course it stands out that the earliest attempt at these products including prototypes
built by Wozniak didn’t work as expected, or worked within some level of expectations, and some of the
designs followed origins and inventors of Television and basic products from IBM. But it was Steve Jobs
that made it work. It is not hard to make the argument clear and fitting to all asunder that what
constituents the internet was a serious of text that the basic chip (16-18 inch) could recognize and
transmit without a rotary backup. There are other types of text such as the Hypertext or HTTP which
remained an instrument in the landing any useful development in World Wide Web.
But there are other Cyber network devices that can aid the Internet or the Arpanet. But they come to
the text or the code existing between main information storage center and capacity. To master any
program or set of programs for any new and invented devices, there are text that are used, and to
bypass the compressor and oracle devises sued to transmit messages between appliances, there is
always the third cyber appliance of device, or tap in gear that introducing its own code and text some of
which in earlier stages of the Internet use or other forms of sender to receiver text and routing system,
we’re causing problems for the owners or intended receivers stock of information, device and operating
machines such as the Computer. Everything in the computer or laptop from beginning of the most
sensitive portion of its activity; the keyboard to the most direct access of its information notebook, RAM
and motherboard, are programmed so to speak along a text that recognize its key commands.
Here’s the problem, there are other forms of exchange between sender and receiver, between ends
points of a navigation and along certain routes that follow an entirely different text which can operate
like the internet but not the internet. In so far as the satellites are concerned and the processors that
transduce these information types from satellite frequency to a different analog system such as a
computer or laptop, we experience the rate and range of the frequency used for such a message and
how. It looks like an adjunct processor which translates this information can detect fake and illegal
actions when it reaches between ranges of frequency, or rises above the normal frequency for a
particular information delivery system.
Security information network for instance pointing to Pyongyang is suggesting that the frequency was
detectable or acting above the frequency or below it, like statistics for instance may be due to poor
delivery system between on network device and another or poor reception by the antenna usually
programmed to hit a certain frequency. At a low frequency or SM waves, the waves are slow and
sluggish and virtually all capable devices can pick the transmission, and FM range for radios, the
transmission is middle ground and many users are within a city limit and far from valleys and low lands.
The SM is better than FM, even at a range disseminated or permitted by the US Airwaves securities,
there are reasons why FM over 500 for instance (50) may be marketable than the Short Waves. In plural
arguments, Short waves are clear and crisp for short range delivery system, but you can begin to have
problems of signal when we transverse over a land mass, and meet more three dimension obstacles.
The only way that FM work is because other people in high storied buildings and those underground are
picking at each signals and from one signal point like the Hotspur or Hotspot to another, and there is a
secondary dissemination. Higher frequency which makes CNN and big broadcast network possible,
usually take a different route, one of which is the network signal station built with some exultation from
group up.
In some light, we can see the point of continues injection on information that we can deal on from a
hotspot or a Ship or through a cable that line the sea or through a powerful signal magnet that navigate
the global world such as Macro network of Satellite above the normal frequency. When it is channeled
through a network source, you can have what we can call a free network system through a major
broadcast system or channel where you pay for the information through a CNN for instance, or a private
Home Box Office (HBO). There are so much information pathway that can be transverse to create
separate universe or universes where on group of persons may not have access or privy to other
universes. When a message is relayed below some recommended frequencies or short waves, it sends
more than one possible signal to US authorities, that this is either a hack-spur or intruder. When such an
intruder operates above normal frequency where they can be undetected, US Satellite generally picks it
up and puts it under some watch. There are other problems, for instance, when there are alterations in
the code and language it general alters the routing system and are called viruses.
However, we can suggest that bugging a system these days involves more than these estimate, we can
easily nowadays bug or tag any system with a perfect overlay of text and information programs that
camouflage as for instance a SONY prompt-to-call text, buries its information program and viruses deep
into the system and only does a friendly job of narrating the system – for instance bugging a keyboard of
any laptop. What happens is that all information that SONY has or even Samsung can easily reproduce
to a new set of text elsewhere, including confidential protocols. What happened recently is not an
overnight sensation; it happened because of the lantern such as described above. In essence the
attempt by the NASA to pick and fork around the North Korea network system was an estimable long
short given the perpetual cessation and interference of North Korean network system – all to no avail
and to do something really exceptional without the spooking the attention of the eyes on the camera.
If we can suggest that understanding the problems of US security – at least of a market level – involves
elements of Patriotic Act which a large frame work of perpetual surveillance can more than sabotage.
Since the advent of 'New Economy' stocks, these have been a less dependency on Banks for credit. The
dependency ratio on privates to banks and credit spread in the past has relied on the numbers which
the media houses and independent storage facilities release to the public. In recent times, the security
of the Federal Reserve and Treasury has been tested and more than once. If the complacency over the
Reserve and the hacking of Bernanke’s information storage did not qualify as a sabotage or espionage, it
shows the uncensored consequences of the Internet and what it can manufacture when it falls into a
wrong environment. Information terrorism and network gives a long view on what happens to a
protective agency with the wherewithal to do business elsewhere. Between the years 1970 – 1972 in
Washington, there was a constant lick of information to the public through people with excess to the
Reserve.
The Federal Reserve considering the 'frisson effect' had done its bit to uplift the credit power of most
average business men and women through other financial institutions. That action from the Feds had
been intended to galvanize the so called 'New Economy' due to the benefits of the credit companies,
digital economy, and hedge funds relying on new and improved businesses to do better. With the era of
corporate sponsorship through the state and financing through sensitive intelligence area of the State,
we gradually are. Some of the chattered internet companies are still likely to open a can of threat alerts
that could force a market reaction for and against security. This can be done without due pronoun to the
success of the financial markets, and can still be done with or without reference to the nature of neither
the threat nor the justifications for it. Why this spells disaster for private Americans cannot be fully
grasp accept in the context of New York City. More that these facts of security compromises of private
Americans, we can have a grim picture of what these security companies can do with businesses we own
and operate in the United States.
The problem is that many people in New York have probably never heard of other companies exclusively
dealing on surveillance, and never perhaps heard of Aerospace, nor have been privy to the fact that
their computer encryption like the ones manufactured by Dell, IBM and Microsoft (the last to sign on),
would provide the government all the information they need about the individual, not only that, your
bank's information, technical particulars and activity can be at the easy beck and call of the guiding
governmental security service provider without your express consent. If these things are ordinarily
monitored by the Government there are no problems, unless we are not dealing with the issue of safe
net and matters arising from very responsible individuals hiding under the canopy of Homeland security.
It is well known that actions of all sorts performed by private persons of interest can be monitored by
government-backed- reconnaissance security web-nets; there is nothing new about this and nothing
wrong in such attempts.
The minor stick in the whole evolutionary ideas of using information technology to manage and monitor
information technology is that it spells security compromise for non-sequester, and on certain sensitive
information about individuals can reach the ranks of those who use for their own personal gains. With
internet based business which New York once provided a haven, the industry once useful for directing
the source of business connection, it is possible to blank an opponent out of competition with barrage
and barrage of information, many of which is negative. In a setting like New York, companies doing very
well in the private, seeking a form of business on the public protection and national security will have to
levitate towards those in power. When you however normalize the habit of mounting suspicion, it
becomes in due time, perpetuated. The relationship between the intelligence committee and the friends
of the committee would welcome a new world of intelligence, but the compromise the rights of citizens
following the 'Patriotic Act' of George Bush will only bring in a new world of information exploitation.
The man who they call Marc Andreessen who came with it the Mosaic or pictures for internet such as
Scanning, wanted to free up the internet in 1994. His idea of Mosaic and eventually the navigator that
was replaced by Microsoft was an end of what he thought was a Matrix, a kind of duplication of
information network and targeting that go on between the workers or those in confined situation and
people perpetually watching them under cameras and other versions of surveillance. The matrix was
already working including the labyrinth of video games in his first installment of Silicon Valley ventures.
It is not impossible to break free from IBM as Steve Jobs once mentioned but to become a revolution
was not an idea that was popular saving for the Apple II. In reality, the effort in navigating through forms
of Cyber or space network, the original intent of say a Google Plexus was to help the search engines of
many prototype cyber networks out there, Google was perhaps a hack of some form or perhaps began
as a form of revolution by bypassing HTTP and broke away from the HTTP which was no longer at ease
with the plexus.
Military Plexus such as a prism which only and mainly Obama can use, is a cloud computing device or
similar sort that presort informational agency of new all objects or human devices or application built to
it. It began as a Game, for instance what is the likely possibility that a man with two children, works forty
hours a week plus some extra hours on the weekend, with the documented information well known and
his consumption behavior and attitude, with his jolly and bitter or bitter of jolly wife, spending about the
same amount of hours at work, suddenly found himself doing something totally different. What a man
in Camera does and can do under such circumstances can be made more explicit by a 24 hour
information ball plays and network camera.
A cloud system is a primitive text that attempts to diffuse the probability of such a person or the total
information of an institution or agency under such circumstances of perpetual watch, that it attempts to
propose what such a person can likely do in the nearer future or intercept, anticipate on his or her
action over a course of a time including his cell phone calls and so on – including the so-called Safe
works or search which can be mitigated. It is a conundrum of security liberty known to Communist
nations and especially Russia that use informed choreography of the information system to renegade on
political opponents for any number of reasons.
Most encryption component may just be using Verna n’s Link-level encryption still used by US DARPA;
Defense Advanced Research Project Agency and NSA; National Security Agency and some sensitive
digital/forensic COTS software – for instance the ARPANET (the Internet), Military EarthLink (used by
Google, Samsung, IPhone 6), GPS; Tom Tom, the Navigator, may be linked in together. There is danger
involved in the outfit. Some of the dangers is that ease at which linked and share point routes can serve
a point of entrance to sender or an end point, that the intended receiver is not aware of other Lanterns
operating along the route. It is easier to use a different navigation scheme with a new and different
execution point used for instance by MCI and SRI and SRI International that work with University of
California.
The structure of cyber network apparatuses at University of California San Diego is telephone based and
conducts navigation between US and most of Asia, mainly, the initial group were challenged effectively
by AT & T, who following the space left open by open and long distance corporations to the dismay of
the company. It was challenged in court. But in later years, the corporation between University such as
Harvard and IBM based in New York was more than an academic exercises, and there are many such
examples that are supposedly classified and usually a quarter of century or so from hitting the markets.
The plexus was perfected in the 70’s and we can trace some of the origins of the plexus to Alan Curtis
reaching to John Von Newman who attempted to demonstrate how several sides of a plane is sensitive
to the surrounding energy.
June 1997 (eligible receiver) NSA hacker demonstrated why Royal and Hamilton Group, SRI
International, MCI Security Services, University of California, SPYRUS, Anagram Laboratories, Hewett
Packard Lab, Rand Corporation, University of Virginia, Verizon Labs, etc., were not, ahead of the defense
curve and brought to an end the use of copper wires Virginia two years later. It also a question of soft
target and attacks that easily meets us at unexpected places.
Essay IV
By
Sampson Iroabuchi Maduabuchi Onwuka (Respondent) Austin.
1/10/2015
Outline
Original essay by Bayo Ogunmupe - 'Devaluation as a disincentive for growth' 1/9/2015
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NGRGuardian.com
BY
(1) Bayo Ogunmupe (Italics)
(2) Sampson Iroabuchi Maduabuchi Onwuka (Respondent) Austin.
Interruption
I shall begin to discuss the left and right of Bayo Ogunmupe’s article published by the Nigerian Guardian
January 9th, 2015, by citing that what needed to be done to stabilize Nigerian currency in the past few
months have already been done and the consequences of the depreciation is part of the economic
evolution since at least 2008. The time he is writing about is not specific and the specific problem of
discourse did not make to the essay. He is aware of the trials of Naira in the context of deepening Crude
prices, aware of categories of International market or monotonic economy or one crop economy so tied
to the dollars as if these countries can measure up to US or toe the line of economic transformation that
we find available in these States since end of their civil wars within marking distinction and interruption.
Some of these standards are supportive of the International Free market and world market, but are too
expensive for a country that is not honored in US or elsewhere. Nigeria as a manufacturing and
production hub is economically ahead of China and much BRIC economy such as India. Why? These
countries until lately were either socialist economy or communist economies whose numbers were not
international. India reason well that it could not maintain the system that the British imposed on it given
the limited problems of fragmentation and renewed composition of a Country more diverse than Europe
and twice as large.
It is for this reason of failing to maintain accurate control of the money houses in India and by
consequence China or to an extent Russia, ridiculed by the burden of many peoples of the world that
they looked to alternate political economic system, which as cultural economic stages to free and
capitalist economy. Nigeria like most West Africa countries entered Capitalism from what was left on
their own country and has struggled against the independence in the 40’s, 50’s, and in 1960 to whip the
country together. Then the issue of the Civil War between 1967 and 1970 may or may not have created
more injuries than it solved. But at the edge of the indecision of the 70’s was the new reality of Crude oil
in 1975 which was said to have the ability at sustaining the country.
We have failed to transfer the import lessons of the Civil War to the economics of these days and in
spite of the debt related transformation and the age of communications which follow the postindustrial
society, Nigeria like most West African economies did not make the transition, hoop lashed their way
above the circumstances industrialization and found itself a country that was lacking in structure to self-
generate.
This is a prolegomena and has been treated by better economics in severe academic inquiry
into Nigerian industrial past, including for the record on this case, the use of dummy variables after Dick
Fulley by Ernest Simeon Odior (2013). But as I argued against his basic estimates which are leading but
not sufficient that between fiscal policy and monetary policy of any country is the general expansionary
clause showing the elastic constant and sufficiency of stress test by the actions of the Central Bank in
rolling back for instance some 300 billion Naira from circulation with parallel and observable effects on
the Nigeria economy. It is here that it seems that devaluation of the currency was deliberate when
perhaps it was not.
The crux of the essay is the issue of crude oil as the chief item of National development, that the failure
to allocate resources in Nigeria to production following a decade of crude oil boom leading to a peak
year of $120 @ barrel may be the reason why the effects of the Crude oil which he missed as primary
reason for Naira depreciation could not be stopped. It is not yet a free fall and it looks like citing supply
of money as a defense mechanism, to my view, the total issue of economic theory is in its defensive and
preceding dynamic roles. Defense through hedging against the reverse use of a currency to U.S, defense
in literal sense of contracting and expanding in direct expense and drive-in of foreign in-flow of local
capital or foreign out flow or sale or auction of a super currency to a local one. This has endeared
overtime through a trade banter to gold – no longer an affair with rise of International currency basket –
with French escaping the debase ridden parity to gold in 1931, an argument for US dollars first made by
Benjamin Strong preceding John Keynes description of Gold as ‘old junk’, although Fisher and knight had
more than a thing to say about before Keynes. But it took the events of Bretton Woods to invent
international currency baskets after Keynes, a case that was forever put to no use by role the dollar was
playing in the world as late as 1968 and 1969, than in the words of Paul Volcker, Charles Acker, and in
Arthur Burns, the idea had of removing the dollar from Gold had its day.
Allan Meltzer ‘History of the Federal Reserve;’ (2009), treated this subject by adding the connection
between US dollars to Gold and how it compared and paralleled with International currency basket
which was useful on to the extent of US Gold holding and clearing house. With this new measure, all
dollars were redeemed by US and many nations including International economies seeking to by-pass
the savings-glut of international currency and permeability of its currency quickly adjusted to dollars. It
was left to the devices of its governing dynamics that battled insurgency and large scale genocide and
instability to meet the fiscal policy and estimate from year to year balance sheet. The funny lessons of
these past decade at least with the rise of crude oil which Nigeria and other International and third
world economies did not take advantage off is that expenditures, especially when there are cases of
surpluses are usually danger signal for poor and inefficient economic adjustment.
These countries with little restriction are well known all over the world to be prone to excessive padding
from foreign currency in the name of foreign direct investment, the author opens up with the statement
that, “RECENTLY, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) devalued our currency, the naira from N155 to N184
to the United States dollar. This measure will certainly hurt the Nigerian economy. The announcement
came a few days after the federal government announced the introduction of austerity measures
following the sharp fall in the price of oil in the world market. In response to the devaluation, inflation is
galloping with petroleum scarcity ravaging parts of western Nigeria.”
We can begin by suggesting for that the current devaluation of Nigerian Naira is not by design of the
Central Bank of Naira and if Godwin Emefiele is saying so, he is probably not sharing the real picture. The
Crude depreciation - even without interest rate appreciation and US Funds Rate - is the direct reason
why there is a depreciation of the Naira. Nigeria's failure to expand its business elsewhere, especially
with its Chief trade partner - the US - is the main why there are no restrain on the free fall of the
currency. @48 an within 50, the crude oil is struggling and the excess and nearly expensive idea of
buying the Naira with the dollar to keep it from skidding downwards can no longer be met. It is a long
economic treaty, and here, Ogunmupe analysis did not mention this very important theme of money
market economy, pushes the concern elsewhere and generalizes on the long term partial solution which
a thousand page analysis may not suffice.
“According to the CBN, devaluation was arrived at in order to curb negative speculation with the naira,
particularly by the banks, which have been putting great pressure on our legal tender. The devaluation,
which is plummeting by the day, is now about 10 per cent. The step was rendered inevitable by excess
liquidity in the banks. In doing this, the CBN hopes to tighten the monetary policy framework by
allowing some flexibility in exchange rates.”
Economic incentive is not the same crude oil price decline and the currency depreciation does not mean
the economy is failing. But you are in Russia and not a Russian economy. With the elasticity of money
constant without structures which defray unemployment through wage and price comparative, you are
likely in the manufacturing sector, you are supposed to be a production house meeting the attention of
the local economy, that squashing along the competitive edge of the Free Market. Most BRICs are
perpetuating the level of sound economy Nigeria is attempting, and in my view finds itself in a trap, not
a liquid and quantity trap which control over money should achieve during high capacity years such as
the run up to the 2014, and should not help to place some effective control over the money supply.
Here, with short bend on crude oil, there is further need to look at US model, especially Q requirement
of the System - although it borrows from the margins of additional reserves - which is clearly from
reserves and must be learned to be borrowing - which Euro dodged by opting to exercise their hedge
and option elsewhere, Nigeria's lack of Gold resources and plummet of materials outside those of crude
oil, requires a kind of cushion, a creation of money from thing air or nothing, to earn not only the
stability of the currency but purchase a discount for the future.
Fund's rate - even at a less than 1% shift in emphasis its problem a just requirement for seeking a new
wedding for Ghana and perhaps South Africa. In some sense, scaling its interest rate with a nearest
common foreign denominator such as a Cedi or the Rand, as such place the emphasis on the Cedi and
current baskets in West Africa than the Euro and the Dollar of higher and more demanding
denominator, it should also help the inflation trap the country discovers itself to thaw by offloading the
gaps and inflationary pressure to elsewhere such as Ghana and neighboring ECOWAS economy who are
not Nigerian economy and easily immune to it. Contraction of the money supply it’s probably not the
remedy at this point, case in point is themes of a Von Mises on Phase II inflationary problem with
respect to employment and money supply away from quantity of money and phase I currency bias in
what Friedman calls MI and M2, in fact, the defining shift through a consumer based recreation of
money or its elasticity, may have a shift from private to banks a meeting standard for M3.
“Devaluation will also stop speculative practices; stop the evaporation of the naira. While we cannot
influence the increase in the price of oil, these CBN measures have been adopted without evaluating the
impact on the Nigerian economy. Indeed, the net impact of a weak naira is an unsustainable spiral of
inflation raising the costs of petroleum products. Sadly, the improper management of the economy and
fiscal indiscipline over the years is responsible for the present anxiety. This is all the more so, as oil price
had remained far above the budget benchmark for decades, peaking at about $120 per barrel earlier last
year.”
Here, institutional appropriation of quantity of money is left the benefit of big and investment banks, a
case that should have saved the Nigerian system dynamic by now had it been used for other things than
the lack of foresight and the limelight of seeing investment away from Nigeria and a hedge for the
purchasing power. The ability of financial institutions at a time in the history of economy in steering its
course through uncertain and deepening crisis, is usually within the crass of M3, for there comes a time
when the power of the prevailing market must take a stand against the structure on which the society
and its economy is based. Does not mean an economy such as Britain or specifically England with Banks
return of investment and GDP three to four times those of England is saved from the bifurcation with a
depreciating Gold for instance, or a depreciating commodity based on cash crop such as a Crude Oil; it
matters that the end of a nation's ability to expand and procure its Fiscal policies towards meeting the
ends of price controls, either in investment through debt (bond) or through market these debts such as
monetizing it, makes a different case for the redemption of the asset class where British economy and in
our case American Asset class is saved from corruption or inflation.
The situation is not dissimilar to the Nigerian case and it’s entirely within the level of exposure of its
Banks to exchange and partition currencies as they see fit which is the same as profitable. That the
routing financial complexes take center stage in the M3 and Funds rate (intra-bank lending) dominates
interest rate and quantity money. It also leads from the shift from losses in crude oil to something else
without injuries to a significant portion of its present market or the value of currency. Controlling the
distribution of currency in Nigeria is live and required financial engineering, but interest rates at a high
of 13% and overnight lending chugging along, is set to create a stability pigeon hole but it is not the
stability of the Banks that are stake since it does not mean well with 300 Billion Naira withholding at the
Central Banks, but the problems of credit which shift from credit to quantity of money, is to be well
understood and compared ideally and independently from rate to diffusion, from diffusion away from
quantity of money where as interest rate over 12% was discouraging credit or attracting Nigerian Naira
(Nairu -my doing) to Nigeria from anywhere in the world including Nigeria.
It leaves us with other options, that the motivation or athleticism to dollars or pounds or Euro is stifled
with a disbursement of nearly $200 billion, purchased at a heavy rate and may only temporary require
additional buying into the NSE to satisfy their new partnership with institutional M3.
“Earlier, the volatility of oil prices was long in evidence, but the Federal Government ignored the signals.
Thus, the government should be blamed for lack of creative problem solving in not diversifying from our
mono-cultural economy. Ordinarily, devaluation of the naira would not have been a problem if we had
plenty of goods to export and little to import, since devaluation benefits exporters.
We can go for it to the extent that M3 has one major issue; where to place the inflation which the state
or a city or nation will have to control when money shift more from private to major traders. I think any
argument in favor of buying Cedi or borrowing from Ghana through a direct and their exclusive buying
on Naira at a commissure rate excluding the higher purchase of crib notes and cards for balance of
traffic or investment between Accra and Lagos - at even 200 billion with 10 billion monthly agility, may
create a gap for Naira against Cedi, may trap Nigeria in relational descent over the next few months of
foreign denominator and exchange in spite of what may happen to the Crude oil, may leave Nigeria a no
show for international market but in the end, it will serve its purpose of defraying the currency cascade
and currency depreciation that is more than likely to continue in Nigeria with US acting from even 2%
Fund’s Rate or higher….
“Now we are worse of as we shall need more naira to buy goods sold in dollars. Unfortunately, Nigeria
cannot manufacture much, owing to a combination of factors among which are high cost of production,
high interest rates and an unstable power supply, which have hampered local industries. Interestingly,
the finance minister opined that the interest of the common man is a priority in Federal Government's
strategy for salvaging Nigeria's economy. We urge the government to clearly demonstrate this through
clearly defined programs and policies that would cushion the people from the effects of devaluation of
the naira. Perhaps devaluation and the ensuing austerity measures would have been a blessing in
disguise if it would force government to develop other revenue sources, establish fiscal discipline, cut
cost of governance and establish an interest free, collateral free and discrimination free bank product to
develop the country. “The second disincentive to economic growth is the abdication of leadership. By
this we mean that the people in power have refused to enforce and enthrone regulations, which can
ensure economic growth; the overbearing attitude of our regulators, which culminates in poor attitude
to work and abdication of authority and refusal to apprehend regulation violators.
The second alternative should be looking to end the current Dutch system in Nigeria, revert to the
statuesque given the new economy that is developing from the old. The idea of privatization is nowhere
confined to Nigeria and has been expected to should lead to better productive economy but at the price
inaccessible to many Nigerians (150-168 to a dollar) and even big production house who turned to
cheaper or supposedly cheaper alternative such as Asia brand and China, there is no where we can close
the gap on Nigerian economy and the levels of economy demands – especially in energy which Olusegun
Aganga has taught us all the lessons of confidence game and economic czarism, but have failed to
deliver the more pressure demand of energy through a direct means to an end introduction of metal
separating Nuclear energy, which usually takes at least 3 years and are made to fit for even West Africa
with a balance sheet of $20 Billon which most West African Countries can’t afford but its guaranteed by
the US Energy Institute. The failure of this effective distributive source of energy for even the least
production of medical supplies means a direct to market penetration of goods from any part of the
world to Nigeria for Nigeria to stay alive.
In essence, the promissory notes of crude oil stability that OPEC has little or no power to deal with
suggest a questionable ending which the circumstances of the Shale Oil and its miracle drilling from any
in the US, should help guarantee, that spanking the crude oil to submit below $48 @barrel was sending
export ridden economies to the board room or import expletive economies such as Nigeria to the
theater of change. We compare all of the above mechanics to the temporary issue of the Nigerian
current exchange rate, which at 168 to the dollar is showing signs of debasement, which the payment or
debt recovery means is not so much achievable and hence a further depression unless we monetize out
interest with a future option and adjustment to Ghana even at 2% preferred consideration for the
returning number of years, inducing Ghana in my view to buy enough Naira is callable and protected
bond, that should be debentured at the similar rate of interest current rate with or without discount. In
so far as these areas are not taken seriously, we may look at the item of hope that a shift in OPEC
capacity or use of Shale means to open and frack Saudi Arabia may signal an end to the trading block
given the new and easier way of achieving crude and done oil.
According to Bayo Ogunmupe, there are cases of taxes and government actions which mitigate against
the progress of the business men and women, that, “Besides, most of the policies churned out by the
regulatory bodies in Nigeria have over the years effectively succeeded in stifling or restricting and
hindering innovation and investment. This has led to a situation where the bureaucracy dictates the
pace of the growth of the economy. Another worrying issue is double taxation whereby entrepreneurs
are being squeezed by multiple taxes, levies, red tape as states seek to shore up their internally
generated revenues. This is why the World Bank observed that Nigerian businesses spend valuable time
and resources trying to comply with a myriad of local regulations”
Whereas his statement about taxes, levies and red tape, did not mention all the money existing
anywhere in Lagos, where much of the taxes is spent in Lagos and mainly Lagos and in parts of the West.
In this case, a collective bargaining also of the remnant of the West African ECOWAS economies may put
a few words on how they subscript for Nigerian foreign exchange, which if and should the Barrel up to
60 or close must in view act quickly enough in re-denominating its currency. We may argue that the
economic balance sheet stated between Ghana, South Africa and Nigeria, is a way on encouraging
participation of other satellite in Africa to perform their due diligence in encouraging competitive
advantage and rating between the Africa countries and more than one economy, between its regional
balance sheet and swaths, such as a stability away from being rated internationally can be achievable
through exposed any country in Africa is to another and not necessarily the opulence and poor market
strategy that measures say Nigerian and its crude based currencies to US and other Foreign currencies.
What US needs a challenge and not another cheap currency for instance Naira (Nairu) that offers no
resistance whatsoever? If there are cases that inviolate the trade banter between Nigeria and US – with
or without – currency rate, it is through the use and abuse of its currency exchange, that Nigeria can
offer some relief a US market is mainly due to its foreign exchange and perhaps crude oil, and we
continues that the statement that “As World Bank said further, removing those burdensome regulations
is an essential step towards a stronger private sector of the Nigerian economy. After sampling the
opinions of world-renowned economists, we have come to the conclusion that the key to unveiling the
troubles of the Nigerian economy is to be found in recognizing that the rebased economy has
highlighted the absence of structures in our economic policy making. This means that there should be an
immediate transformation from primary to domesticated value added production.
In normal light, a fancy look at the crude oil prices which has little or no future should revert to the more
serious contagious issue of currency exchange and buying power. Re-dominating Naira at this period is
sending wrong message, it should have been done when the price of crude oil was up as a hedge against
the rainy days as these when the prices are descending. If we climb with easy does not easily follow we
descent as fast, but it measures the rates of descent which is far more complex and velocity driven than
the poor acceleration due to gravity of money supply or in banking self-supporting gravity of money for
M3 and for Banks and their degree of penetration, locally and elsewhere.
“Although reports suggest that countries like Thailand, and Malaysia have experienced similar growth in
the services sector, but that this in itself does not justify the composition of our Gross Domestic Product
(GDP) that our rebased economy just revealed. However, world economies are measured by the
strength of their industrial capabilities, which give verve to the service sector. If the service sector has
revealed an uninspiring contribution of a mere seven per cent, it means that retail trade is driven by
imports. This implies that the services sector put a lot of pressure on the exchange rate of the naira.
Although contraction in this case is not achievable through shifting money from public to private
through Government placement of Naira held bond. But if the measure of the final accounts for foreign
exchange such dollars and pounds are consider similar quantity as final product - like any other product
imported to Nigeria, the Naira depreciation is shifting money from private to big entrepreneur and
Banks trading above other Banks and perhaps not the other way round. The next level is a credit
squeeze due to poor rate of returns or negative return rates, and then Asset bubbles and you are in
depression. There is no economic resistance even with the paper fortune of Europe and currency, the
only discount could only possible if Jonathan is willing to borrow from private directly and hope crude oil
appreciates to $60 by the end of the year 2015. Ogunmupe continued his theories to GDP, which is here
a spent argument but makes a headline interesting measures are taken in business but,
“However, all over the world, economies are measured by the strength of their industries, which gives
verve to the services sector. In Nigeria, the services sector is dominated by wholesale and retail trade. If
our manufactures contribute seven per cent to the GDP, it means our retail trade is driven by imports.
This puts a lot of pressure on the foreign exchange rates. Given that our earnings from oil are
plummeting, the demand for foreign exchange to sustain our imports can only come from running down
our external reserves.” US is an opportunity that Nigeria is blowing like smoke, to the point that the
country is generally deserving of the treatment it meets with other nations of the world. Consider that
after losing many Nigerian lives and soldiers in Africa Military led peach efforts and illegally conceding an
oil portion of their country to Cameroons and some profligate foreign criminals and Crude oil tycoons
who are drilling these places for Crude oil unfettered from these Nigerians and Cameroons, that Nigeria
saving Liberia, Sierre-leone and seeing that Charles Taylor received useful and documented military trial,
including their functional roles in forcing both UK and USA to release Mandela, breaching the gaps in
Congo and so on, is not recognized by the United Nations permanent Security Members, many of whom
have not done nearly half in managing regional peace and conflict.
Nigeria was opposed by surprisingly many countries are a member of the UN Permanent peace keeping
and security member nations, including Germany of all, especially Germany that would have convinced
us that they were very liberal. Do these nations entertain any hopes of destabilizing Nigeria or colonizing
it? The answer has no merit whatsoever for Nigerians for a start, we may compare the dismissal
tendencies of these nations and many other countries in which Nigerians and other Africans find their
home, as a receipt from some of these assumptions with Nigeria for a start and their complete or nearly
complete ineptitude on what they should have started to accomplish in US and in Europe since 1900.
There are cases of accounting standards and why there is an issue of corruption, this happen when there
are cases of corruption in U.S and elsewhere. Nigerians are known to have difficulty keeping a good
business straight, largely due to the problems they experience in US and elsewhere. But this is not
always the case; there are cases of Nigerians in high call areas of American economic community who
are working with others towards improving a career discipline. But the ultimate idea of moving from
Africa to United States is not to have your business licenses confiscated by some judge over some
business which is not clear or have some irrelevant low court bar you from traveling even with your
attorney’s present leading to damages to private and personal businesses that couldn’t have imagined.
This means that the growth of American as a business network and empire is one that allows the likes of
these Nigerians with some interest in balancing their economy among others to have sown some seeds
of intra bank and international development over the years.
If the questions of corruption arise as they do elsewhere, the advantage of having US financial
institution over the last two centuries should mean that adequate public interest without the dangerous
secret maneuvers to steal these financial lending trees and Banks in US. Should they advertise their
interest in UK, these resources bound Nigerians may have benefitted from using UK to increase their
penetration into Europe, should not have limited their resource base to one or few banks, but as in
regional banking, placing some faith in US, UK, and parts of Europe such as France would have staged a
survival of Nigerian or African economy in times like this, both for balancing the currency and for prized
interest in Asia such as China when they needed.
Reading a portion of Chimamanda Adiche’s ‘Americana’ (2013) gives you an impression that Nigerians in
US from in Taxi business to the Medical Residence are already cornered by their accent and job
description that only these Africans are victims of profiling. In one of the It will be difficult to do
something else as a Nigerian who is not in Education or in US based foundation even with 80% level of
US service jobs. The lessons from medical resources available in the U.S are more than enough to push
the limits of the life style of these Nigerians. But having no foreign funded locally credited structures In
the United States makes the profession a dead exercise.
There is a large presence of Nigerians in Asia countries such as China, many if not all of them as
Self-supported, ferry goods and services from any part of Asia to other parts of Asia, ferry goods and
Services to United States especially in New Jersey and New York with cheap China products on the
garment industries and around Canal street, or from Asia they ferry goods into Europe until they injury
to the business after 1999 due to embargo placed on Asia products. The more reliable pathway is
Nigeria via China or in recent time Vietnam, Nigeria via Taiwan and Hong Kung, and from these areas
they are joined by Cameroons and South Africans – especially White South Africans who literally handed
all the business connection to dictate to these Africans – and with other Africans, they maintain a
continues injections of materials from Asia into Africa. No doubt that over time, some of the traditional
pathways will be called into question like the case of the Carpet and fabric, once a product of the
mainland China and the rest of the Africa, are discontinued due to new industries in West Africa that
attempt to emphasize local production of fabric with chemical raw materials from Ghana or Nigeria to
boost.
In this case, unlike other cases such as engines of productions, there is a case of relief which in primary
levels is not important since Nigeria is not a production hob, may have at some point in their own
existence been considered a metallurgical industrial sub-Saharan African like the Bantu whose metal
workers in Southeast Nigerian and Northern Cameroon were claimed to have reached the East and the
South of Africa. Beads production houses also in South East and South-South Nigerians are discovered in
their hundreds of thousands among the Igbos and the Bini, as with the Akans and Ashanti that are also
known to have manufactured pure precious metals such as Gold, would emphasize the importance of
business penetration of other West African Kingdoms until the coming of the Europeans in the 18th and
19th centuries. In setting a new standard for the development of business and agriculture, the author
compares Agricultural schemes in Nigeria without the examples of Kwara and South African White
farmers from Mozambique many of whom have since returned to Mozambique, but in his estimates,
Ogunmupe indicated that, “Thus, the federal government should recognize the danger so posed and
diversify quickly to forestall an outright collapse of the naira. In this regard, Federal Government has to
plug distribution loopholes in its Agricultural Transformation Action Plan. It is noteworthy that both
manufacturing and agriculture output have remained stagnant. The urgent step required is collaboration
for increased productivity between the federal ministries of Agriculture and Industries, particularly in
areas of private sector investment.”
Productive capabilities of West African nations are no match for the Northern African, especially those
who lived along the Nile. The only reason why there is a brief material case of comparative is that these
markets for instance in Nigeria and the idea of metal production which people claim to have come down
from others, is one old market, suggesting that Africa like Asia especially China and India as in this
Nigeria and other African countries were caught unawares and napping. The prize has been paid,
including the age of Slave trading which forced a lot of people out of the country. In the circumstance,
the problems of having Nigerians and others lose their respect to some country from Europe who in the
last 100 years had proved themselves in war and so on is due to the failure of these Africans and
Nigerians from taking advantage of the opportunity that common market avails to them. At the rate
Nigeria is squandering their business opportunity suggest that either the country in question is hoping to
perpetually strike beside others in all classes of respect and decorum or that they expect to growth
economy through a form of debasement. Ogunmupe concludes that, “Indeed, the best ways to
strengthen the value of the naira are one, expand the volume of non-oil exports and services and two,
and enhance domestic competitiveness that will reduce the demand for imported goods and services:
because a pound saved is a pound earned. Howbeit, we have to expand our manufacturing sector
because as long as our industries remain stagnant, for that long would unemployment remains a threat
to economic development in our fatherland.”
A classic example of some kind of debasement is the future business of the current Executive director of
Nigerian Stock Exchange Oscar Onyema in handling additional call for investment in the NSE when the
exchange is already overweight. You can only dream on a flash in the investment pan if you are looking
to improve you economy through a veritable estimate of Arthur Okun’s 1% rise of inflation to 1%
condensed GDP appreciation. In some measure, the expansion of Nigeria and in fact Ghana for
comparative sake, is an appreciation from inflation not a normal real growth, that a growth of 7%
Nigeria is based primarily on its inflationary curve and pressure, fact is that the country is struggling in
spite of the numbers it is crunching out, that further expansion on the Nigerian economy is in many
ways than a matter of inflation, either core or derived from the CPI numbers consisting mainly 5% or less
or total control money economy.
Promoting Nigeria as a viable business destination is within the replacement strategy of creating
additional loss of Governmental control to over-sea based businesses that we can narrate from other
parts of the country’s stock of real exchange, that the total amount of resources available to these
Nigerians from all raw materials are not meeting standards from a progressive International economy.
The main event would be the crude oil, whose life is not caught between a ‘hard place and a rock’.
Put it differently, that the market structure of Nigeria is older than the foundations of United States as a
country, that these intra-township market links are still visible for almost 400 years and sometimes
more, than the God of Iron that brought melting to Yoruba and Ijaw called Oliseh or Olisah is in a long
line of Igbo history and a quasi-Igbo of Benue, Kwara, and what was called Bendel Igbo, equally an
attribute of God or from God, that the Oduduwa referring to the coming of some outsiders to Yoruba
who defeated the mask-wearing ‘Alagbara’ (Igboid group-Igbo Ukwu) out of whom the name Yoruba
(Oba’s servants) was derived from these people, and were Iron workers, meaning that these market
suffer from poor local and international strategy but has been in existence, that the transformation of
the Nigerian markets is not in current an International see only, it requires a transitioning of small
business from nothing to something and leeway into the Stock Market as a way to generalize and
publicize their accounting, only then can expansion of the NSE would not revert to debasing of the
Naira. In the event that we look at the idea of Foreign Direct Investment in Nigeria, it looks likely that
the hope of making this happen in US here begins with what other developing countries have done in
US, that France, London, Japan and latterly China are Americans biggest business ventures partners and
have a mast of financial foundations and groups, a mast of business groups such as Banks and Banking
institutions that enabled these countries to enhance their staying power in the United States and
simultaneously in Europe.
The open market manages by either Nigeria or Ghana in this case, is such that they deserve more for
supporting world markets more than half Europe or even United States let alone China is enjoying.
Nigeria toes the free market line from day one and has been a victim by its own choosing of
international dumping and foreign investment interest. A rule of comparative advantage between
Nigeria and the rest of Europe, will point that majority of European countries are well ahead of these
Nigerians. This is in fact the case only to the extent that total amount of Nigerians (170 million) is nearly
two fifth of all Europe, means that there are more mouths per country to country to feed as there no
European country with over 120 million people. It leads that the weight of resources that circulate in
Nigeria is a thrift sum compared to what is available to them through their own oversea and in land
business exposures. The only way to help these Nigerians help themselves and in the end help their
respective nations which these European countries are doing is to have Nigerian financial institutions
posed after the general but advocated and independent financial institutions in these United States and
in Europe.
No great commission is needed to demonstrate the profit of South African economic agenda for US and
its Global Initiative, than the biggest banks in Africa are easily South African and operate free from the
Government. Either the current crop of these Nigerians and financial leaders are not used to trusting
others and themselves to be selling only a Billion over the Stock bound bond market which was called up
in one hours of meeting the market, than the possibility of really connecting to US through a
demarcation of 25% earned resources from Crude Oil and from other business banter between Nigeria
and United States.
It is my view, that all African countries should have at least by now account for at least account for
banks that are self-supporting, with gravity of currency schools capable to weeding through the
securities laden American market necessary to be part of Federal Reserve of a local network such New
York Federal Reserve. In the case of advertising their investment options, the Maryland and Baltimore
securities dealers with the Federal Reserve are mainly insurance based and contain a few African
American owned financial institutions, but from the histories of both Continents of North American and
Africa, there should at least be now several securities from Africa and more than two from leading
economic communities in Africa; Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt, Morocco*, Libya, and others such Ghana,
to have a staying presence in each of the securities dealing Federal Reserves throughout the US and in
UK for a Start. Such business venture like those of BAFTA, CAFTA, or NAFTA, with the edging up of the
Banks and financial institutions have a thing or two about the FOMC which Nigerians thanks to free
network resources are following on daily basis, that the number of even African American businesses
present in these areas of interest would not survive more pressure saving these invested interest from
Africa and Caribbean make their presence known and ruthlessness for business and accounting also
Known.
Essay V
MINTS
By
Sampson Iroabuchi Onwuka
Today we may speak of a new co-operative economic indicia called the MINT Coined by Jim O’Neil;
composing of Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey, a grouping that alarmed the best of us since we
are certain that Nigeria is only half awake from almost two decades of military dictatorship. MINT is not
on the same economic circle as BRIC which was also coined together by Jim O ‘Neil. A category of these
interesting economic combination such as Asia Tiger, Asia Four, BIIC, Group 7, Group 8, and sub-regional
economic groups do not really meet certain of economic corporative standards saving for Group 7 and
the economic treaty for World Trade Organization. These groups of economic stability pact has different
characteristics – in fact most major economic groups have and these characteristic determine the left
and right of the markets – what to expect and when and why certain circles affect them the most. The
major emphasis on these G-7 economies and perhaps BRIC, is the role the sovereign currency,
sovereign power in lesser and emerging competitive economies or International Markets. The Key policy
of G-7 world powerful is sustenance and the how promote the third tier corporations or nationally
owned corporative for the easy OECD operative. The BRIC and the G-7 have one major characteristics –
they are found in major economic regions of the world and differ politically from each other.
Indonesia, Turkey, China, Japan, Taiwan, Malaysia are element of business families that have graced the
venturesome business partnership with Nigeria, all of these countries in the delineating years of
Nigerian military administration itself a consequence and continuing evidence of a country or a nation in
Disarray or a showing of instability, from 70-75, 83-91, forcing Nigerian into long list of indebtedness
tied to Oil companies and their spurious deals with OPEC oil International, whose repay
trap damaged the currency of these Nigerians. The purpose of revising some of the basic assumptions
of Jim O ‘Neil MINT is to expose some of the errors with International Markets and why perhaps MINTS
is preferred over MINT.
If these four countries Mexico, Indonesia, Nigeria and Turkey aspire to healthy and useful economic
stability especially through the use of currency, it may be meeting for any of these countries to
understand the market potential of the regions involved, and show why there are scales of interest rate
along the participating countries and why they need to scale. Credit based interest rate and risk averse
countries of the world usually pay lip service to the idea of regional economies, -f or instance the
Economic Communities of West African States or ECOWAS is a version world market and regional
economy that nearly failed in its expectations. The reasons are not that simply but a fact that the
structure and wisdom of dynamics or governing dynamics of any economy involves the reduction of the
major power in a region is other to free the potential of other economies.
This is hardly ever the case in region of the world such as Russia and in Africa, North, South and West
Africa. A plague of dominant South African economy is still suffered in South to the East and in recent
times to West Africa. A plague of Egyptian dominance of North Africa lasted till the restructure of
Morocco and its banking institutions. There are characteristics that these new teams of economic
corporative suffers when in the instance we speak of Nigeria’s awakening to Cell phone and to new car
companies and reassessment of its external bundle rate, the country fell short of all expectations and
revealed alarming degrees of fake and non-existent defenses. The other attempt to realign these
countries in major regions of African along economic pathway is a censorship that is not devoid reasons
and experience – at least any funding towards the future case study of the failures of super economy in
a region or the problems of civil conflict due to the influences of international, multi-national and
well-coordinated companies in the breaking and caprice and control of struggling neighborhoods, a cast
between positive economic value and the issue of United Nations peace keeping agenda.
These countries commercially generate over 1 trillion dollars in GNP with Mexico nearing 1.7 trillion year
to year, several hundred million behind Texas alone not adding California with over 2.3 trillion GDP.
Nigerian from the list is lowest performing economy with almost no international measure of structural
development to compare with Turkey, Indonesia that is clearly the largest market in the four, to Mexico
that is luckiest of all them, and yet Nigeria is half a trillion in GNP with a few negligible sparing from
other West African countries who account for a large percentage of new investment. In the long run,
Nigeria may offer growth opportunity but it is their role as a regional economic headgear that should
will dominate the outlook of Business in nearer future.
Whereas these Countries in comparative relationship with other groups of growing
economy offer assortment of market and business interest, particularly in the areas of crude oil and in
the area of paired resources especially for Mexico with both the opulence and resources to hold to their
new found optimism in a shadow of new world market order. The argument is not that Nigeria cannot
belong to this group given the structural weight of their industries, they have a sharing with Turkey in
terms of the penetration of businesses, with Indonesia ahead of Philippines with higher mid-income
earners and population exceeding 150 million (170 million), are both English speaking which these days
is just a normative and with comparable delivery rate in resources. In respect to Mexico, it has a pairing
through oil, a communication problem of history and language – that for Nigerians some idea easily
Mexican in meaning is quite a mouth foul – and in respect to language, Spanish speakers or Latin
Americans are almost unheard off. But these are temporary issue given their experience in dealing with
US and Canada. But in form and in need, the scale of preference should place Mexican interest in Africa
on a playing field such as Angola, not that Mexico need less penetration of its oil field, but in compact
with OPEC which Mexico is not nearly part of, its presence in Africa gives a breathing space and may in
the end save it from sinking further down with inflation since 1993 on its new currencies.
Whether or not Nigeria belongs with this MINT group is not a financial article, it is however important to
point out that the country has a long history and the current new development in Nigeria is hardly the
brighter days which for many economist is somewhere between the 70’s after the end of civil wars and
sometime in the 80’s when the military returned to office. The economic progress in Nigeria and in the
80’s are still visible including factories which were built by Nigerians with some sparing from those left
by the English and Dutch in the 60’s. These factories due to civil strife in the country fell into disrepute
putting some dumb-ass clog in the wheels of the economic progress following a population that was
expanding exponentially. The only remedy was the exchange rate which gave return of interest and
investment to Nigerian business groups, all of these could not last given the increase in prices in doing
business in Nigeria and West Africa, and with the Dutch system of matching Nigerian Debt to Oil
Companies who fumbled military experts in Nigeria into signing documents left Nigeria indebted with
cash call furnishing from banks that entered Nigeria through oil companies creating more and more
problems for the exchange rate and in the end, the currency spread was so wide that Nigeria was called
an economic crisis. It took long and practiced intents of newly elected Nigerians to gradually grind these
forces to a halt, including the extra-ordinary effort by the Ngozi Okonji-Iweala, who asked through
World Bank that the debt should be pardoned.
But in terms of material resources of South Africa and their highly indulgent attitude to business which is
meeting for Asia Tigers, more responsible and complete given their levity to Europe and American
opulence, their nomination into the BRIC as equal to BRICS is good and bad news, mostly good news
since it savors South African entrenched mineral resources in the conceived and deceptive nudging of
China who introduced South Africa to the BRIC and for the fact they have a better meme to settle
against these Nigerians, their role was expanded. There are no degrees of possibilities for these
countries to deal with South Africa, although South Africa is not Nigeria is attitude to business, it has
healthy and very experienced traditional business environment that are not far behind any nation on
earth including building nuclear energies, but are trapped along the lines of 1% super rich, poorer south
Africans now in power, and are smaller markets compared to Nigeria. South Africa is truly a BRIC, it can
manufacture anything for European and US industries and responsible for some of new line of green
light in Nigeria and Ghana.
There are several reasons behind the possibility of the breakdown in business relationship between
Nigeria and these countries, especially Japan and Taiwan in the inception of Nigerian Electrical Power
Authority (NEPA) and comparative quality of these co-operative countries in the 70”s to Nigeria. Their
currency rates were not tampered with ease and the margin of error will convince the rest of us that the
role of big corporation in nations building begins with the privatization scheme and how well they
survive the transitional process. NEPA in Nigeria offers so well that the price of paying for the least
possible service does not reflect the balance sheet of the fixed income earners.
In the earlier possibly imaginations of Nigeria struggling under the canopy of
West African economies, it looks like the success of even the nearest Franco neighbors; Cameroun,
Togo, Benin, and Niger, all surrounding Nigeria, including distant Gabon, found market Nigeria for their
products making its way from France and production economies in the World. These the growth in West
African countries is so zero that the gap now enjoyed between some Asia Tigers and Nigeria is not saved
by the breaching of these gaps by South Africa. We may look for the reasons why there was such
breakdown of business relationship between China and Nigeria in direct and active business coexistence
in terms of the every other business of interest other primary government arrangement, or
for Taiwan its mouthpiece for long, to have been a problem derived from all.
It must be said that Nigeria from its earlier years have always stressed the importance of its currency,
And from those earlier years until fairly recently, it has tried its hands with various means of managing
Its currency including the occasional attempt at reprinting its notes to stem the tide of laundry. Some of
the measures seem to work their miracles but not all the time, and presently, we are dealing
with some problems which deserve the attention of all our well-wishers. But in the currency cut throat
business and its 'Currency War' of nations, no country can better advice Nigerians than Nigerians. It is
obvious and large by the extent of buying indulgent charisma of re-telling of what happens to a green
basket from mature can as they turn yellowish with time maturing into the brown baskets from cane. If
you are lucky in getting to experience the transition evident in the general life of a green basket since
the usual process is that it leads to something and perhaps an end. Africa history especially these new
nations are perhaps not that different.
II
The intent of nation builders has never been to forge a state that live forever or have a people too
familiar with longevity of State such as Egypt and in mimesis Rome, speak of the Foundations that will
last 10 thousand years. Perhaps Egypt and its claim to history reaching 100 thousand years, leaves much
to be studied and desired concerning the evolution of a super-power and whether or not it is possible to
gauge the age of this super power state from the corridors of politics or religion. Rome is not Egypt, rank
far below Phoenician which they destroyed in Cartage, rank lower than Babylon, and in so far as the
dominions of Persia and Assyria, Rome belong up there but nowhere formidable. Macedonians have a
titled history that compares with Rome and their penetration into deeper areas of the world was
compared mainly to Mongols and their Genghis Khan. In rear light of more recent stories, neither the
French who no new comers to world business or the English or the Dutch approached the territorial
integrity of these nations before them, including the long winded audacity of Islam who not only
brought religion to their areas of world but also their business. If Syria is considered … of all of the
neighboring due to the opulence to the rest of Asia and Africa and Europe, attempts at taking Syria
occupied leaders of all meaning going as far as Jordan and Egyptians whose obelisk are still found in
several parts of that Peninsula.
When the Mongols arrived in parts of Syria, they were not bringing
religion to these cultures and people; they were interested in business and what the area could
generate for them. When the Nestorians took their possession and religions to Turkey and into China,
the religion survived but more than the religion, it was the Silk Road to China that remained the
connecting point between China and the rest of the world. The comparison between Egypt as a super
state separated from the problems of the Middle East or at least meddled of slovenly into it, it makes for
the augment that the Amana letters where the Amurru and sheep hoards paint a picture of Egypt and
pharaoh whose help were solicited for troubles in these areas. Religion, people, politics and money are
all part of the same struggle and require some measure of discipline to have access to what it could
offer. David Livingston traveling through parts of Africa believed that the future of Africa was to be
revived through Christianity and Commerce, he wasn’t kidding, Livingston may have condemned East
Africa but he was passed on a gentle man missionary, and even in our generation, some people consider
this man whose actions nearly mitigated against a whole generation of Africans are a saint. It is an
understanding that emotions play into money but for all corners of world business and I for one, have
tried to argue, people can only resist the advantage of price only for so long. If there was in Africa – even
at the age of Slave trade – a market or a national economic fronting that was similar to what was
available in Europe, the movement of resources would have shifted from Europe and the Americans or
Asia to this area of importance in Africa.
Lack of stable African markets is the one the abiding reasons why Slave trade endured, for even there
was a stable African economy, these war years in Spain and the course of redemption through labor
under the Charles V, would not materialized into Slave trade or for long. It was convenience of
trafficking people for money to a place that was outside their means and ability that gave it a whole
century and half, and when the end came for slave trade and renegade European soldiers take interest
in Gold in East Africa and diamonds in South Africa, that a new and more confounding problems of
easing European market through rapacious African wealth took moral significance. Once more justifying
some action chiefly motivated by money is placing a latch on the door made of papers. It is hardly the
case that we may question some of the assumptions in the businesses of these foreigners in Africa or
others in Asia and in Europe, or in reverse, people who visit some parts of world for private interest.
What we may argue that the styles may differ, people may differ but generating income and benefit is
sine qua non of co-existence, that efforts of any group of nations or continents in any part of world
towards a future should be held together along the lines of the economic co-operative and protections
of Commerce from rapacious attitude of the general public.
It is here that the word I for disequilibrium and thou for attempt at economic equilibrium leads us to
compare to what extent, say a new market with a helpful serving promise in West Africa could help
generate an unforeseeable stability that necessary for growth in the Continent of Africa or how the
regional franchise of their demand and supply market industries is buttressed elsewhere – either in
some parts of the deeper SEA (South East Asia) or with some capacity enabled elsewhere in what may
be achieved through scalability of Interest rate in North America or in Europe. Reading through Europe
pamphlets for regional belter weight for African economic environment and business society, we cannot
fail to have noticed that part of the heavily edited pamphlet is proof of their capacity to farm the region
as part of the older exercised economic practices of extending European goods through trade fair and
money function that they are scaled through overnight lending. It may seem that these pamphlet toeing
the lines of IMF infrastructure and privatization schemes leading to single currency which by itself is non
sequester and entirely flawed if not hurtful to world markets – going by any measure of economic
theories – are so devised to enable both continents continue good businesses which is not the required
business format for financial satellite systems for Africa and its third world economies, that opposing
such pamphlet may be suggesting an opposition to some hints of financial colonialism which can be
argued as the indirect motivation.
But this is not the case, the idea of region balance sheet for Africa and
for several parts of world is no only faulty in its inception, it perpetuates the wrong notions of economic
triumph which is legal tender can inaugurate and to a large extent, the pamphlets and their leading
think-through are not sufficient in enabling the requisite changes necessary in Africa in general, or to be
specific, in regions of Africa that require their own satellite. It looks from all standpoint that new
emphasis on African markets and their exchange and buying power should be tolerated in many
sensitive areas of economic business such as those of ECOWAS and some other good countries in
Southern Africa led by South Africa. Perhaps the idea as a rotunda or watering hole should place Egypt
as part of the landscape in the North, for if we compare the roles of Morocco and Egypt, we are at once
at the torching stones Asia and decided interest from North Africa. It is all in gum thinking that it seems,
that Nigerians in West Africa are neither concerned about the structure of businesses in Africa or
structure of business in the world, that they are primarily concerned with survival making Nigeria by
default a highly consumptive economy where other Africans with enough penetration capacity find their
products and produce shipped even from South Africa or flown daily through air, ravished and
consumed in matter of days and weeks. In the past, there are 34 airports in Nigeria, but in recent years
many of them were forced to fold largely for problems of maintenance and engineering which the
balkanization of their local currency more than made difficult.
No doubt that the Ghana barely surviving in West Africa do not account for the lack of materials in
Ghana, their industrial revolution – making necessary products easily available or manufacturing
meeting and beating estimate over a long period of time – has not taken full mobility.
Worse than Ghana is Nigeria that can only generally boast of major structural changes besides
the buildings which themselves were forced to erect due to very high demands of housing.
It is longing to consider that a place such as Lagos as some observers have said
were built by Nigerians – at least in the last half a century, lodging some of the numbers available or
comparable to other active cities in world. But like some of the countries that are grouped as MINT,
these countries do have a major city that experiences and benefits from the most recent Government
endeavors such a Mexico City that have a expansion leading to 17 million people, that is a fifth of all
Mexicans live in Mexico City, which also means a reverting to partial equilibrium of a certain measure,
which in the end could suggest that the problems of these MINT such as Mexico and Nigeria is the
problem of equilibrium.
Uneven development with emphasis on one or two areas of business or nexus
point in these economies, such as Lagos Nigeria with about 17 million and with buildings reaching into
the Island, may mislead an observer on the economic prowess of the nations. Perhaps he or she would
travel to Abuja and see another vast expansion of population comparable to Austin in growth in the last
20 years, Abuja moved from 100 thousand people to 1.1 million and more in less 20 years, all in spite of
heavy cost used to welter the attention on the capital. Such evidence opulence in Port Harcourt, Rivers
State and in parts of Ibadan in Oyo, give in out on what population can do an economy. People driven by
necessity would do what’s necessary to meet demands. But here, as we have argued, mineral and hard
resources for Nigerian market are no foreign, and can be located in strange abundance in Nigeria which
now mentions that the reasons why there was problem is the poor showing of Nigerian market in the
world. Even with new industries in Cement for instance opening up in many parts of the country it is not
enough at all to effectively meet demands even at a very high price. What a potential for consumption
that Nigeria has for world markets, which for its reason and the reasons for new African frontiers since
the Colonial eras if not through the slave trade era, that a country may look the promise of offering a
market to goods reaching Africa or good manufactured from anywhere in Africa including South Africa.
It may seem that the lack of standard shipyards is problems encountered in many part of the world,
that Nigeria could better resolve with some attitude of how begin their help-yourself projects, projects
that will co-inside with opportunities to dump on Nigerian markets as long their turn key investment
with direct yield from debt investment categories. It leads here that the rate at which this could be
realized will have do away with military past, for sure, many African countries, especially West African
would find it comforting to re-issue their own overnight lending with Crude oil as basis for conversion to
Nigerian currency, that as much as currency can flow from US, China, and Europe, where Africans,
Nigerians (Nigerian Americans) in particular work for in odd jobs far below their rated certiorari can look
at Crude oil as a banter in world markets, in channeling the amount of currency that could migrate to
Africa.
U.S penetration of Nigeria is counted through currency sent through Banks and Western Union,
the currency is by itself a commodity – no different from any other product – that if migrates from one
areas of the border another, it dictates the market where it essentially sees the light of translation and
exchange. In such cases, the idea of price as a function of the market or price of a function of a currency
rate is give new meaning, that the currency wars between any foreign denomination against a local one
when a banter such as Crude oil for Nigerian case or a banter such as common market item is no longer
at ease. The currency when not accounted for mitigates the local currencies leading for instance more
Mexicans Pesos to redeem itself from other in-flock material currency or money laundered from Asia,
US and Europe. Here for explicating deist, the idea of money laundering includes money simply not
accounted for, whereas trade-deficit is a shift from equilibrium and the degree of that shift from the
acceptable concept of x, y, z, which matters in names of black market and in names of shadow banking,
that must be held to remain in the balance with the local exchange route unless there is a mitigation……
The war came to an end in 1970, and from 1970 began the decade of reconstruction which inadvertently
formulated the mindset of Nigerian society. It is in these recovery years that the significant rift between
the Nigerians began to appear, the rift was between those who became the courier of Nigerian Banks
during and after the war, and those who earned their pittance through ‘small cracks’ of lending and
family borrowing, through the ‘inlet’ of trade and trans-border trade, through caveat emptor; the
smaller units of businesses scraping around the larger, the law forbidding the expansion and the ratio in
all things for space and rights which impeded mid cap companies. Such adverse business environment,
largely out of mistrust eventually created a sense of business management, more like a form of attitude
to business and to living which the banks completely endowed from the 70’s onwards. By the early
eighties, few years after the fall of Shah of Iran, the Shell Company was readying to break in big in
Nigeria and there was new and newer necessity of other banks.
The much of Nigerian banking can be described in three categories, one the Government managed, the
Commercial banks which had their horns from the civil war era, and the Investment Banks which began
to respond to the need of change in the larger world. The curtain dividing the east from the rest may
fallen by this time, but the rift was established, so much so that Banks were a quasi-property of certain
people, who may now be called Old economy, the Commercial Markets, the First Banks and the Union
Banks. In future as better stability of the country is forged, there will likely emerge other banks in the
country that will conduct social Industrial programs and development in many of its forms. But the rise
of military in Nigeria, in an age of oil boom gave birth to Investment Banks, initially and ultimately
owned by Northerners but this time, private families with long roots to the bigger banks gradually
emerged.
The expanded nature of the world business in the 80’s at a time when Nigerian oil began to make
headway in the world, enabled Nigerians of the Investment grade to earn their ranks through the stock
market and through international trans-border trade and in end, even attempted with help from
Lebanese business group to provide interest rate for many francophone countries. Such attempt made
these Nigerians soft targets for the neighbors and in places Cameroun they faced open hostility. It also
led to the first and formal fracas between Igbos, Ijaws, certain Urhobos, and Syrians and Lebanese.
These Nigerians also warned against the impact of Euro, citing that francophone countries had very little
to earn from the sub-categorization of their West African Markets if the franc is pulled. But they felt it
necessary to outdo these new Nigerians and many of these Nigerians exited from these areas, poured
into Lagos and some parts of the east as at early 90’s.
These Lebanese and others also played a pivotal hand in Investment Banks in Nigeria though private
placement in the Nigerian stock market, but their real strength was the commercial where they
supervised the inflationary curve price of building and real estate. There were others, especially from
the far side of country and from the North. But the success of the older Nigerian banks was a product of
military era, an era that fed on to many Investment banks, many of them entirely reliant on Nigerian
federal grants and contract with few scattered businesses. When the military disappeared, these banks
in their many numbers also disappeared. There was also the issue of insolvency, mainly comatose by
non performing debt which accumulated in dues by inflationary pressure.
The main thing is that nothing was working aside the business of small administrations, and only a
certain investment type could have supported these Investment banks. They rose so quickly and fail just
as fast, with people losing much of their money. The commercial banks such as First Banks and other
older Banks held out the hopes of other businesses and served as protections for buffer tycoons roving
in and out of federal account. In those years of the 90’s Nigerian banking society began to evolve into a
different dragon. As much Banks rose and failed, there was a newer group of Nigerians, but this time
with an the edge of securities placement, with insurance which ones the home make of bigger banks,
with newer avenues for merchant banking, with credit amortization and association, with the degrees of
leases not unlike the commercial banks and where offering credit advisory and futures trading in all
respect of investment management.
These new banks acquired the rent prolepsis of micro financing and experimented with credit
technology available in the US. It was these groups that began to chart the contours of Nigerian
business, and began to underwrite for small business almost as the big guys. But their small unit in
several outfits helped these Investment banks to aggregate overtime gainer from Market Nigeria,
though largely commercial but experimenting with quickly experimenting with size and the forms of
businesses involving everyday bank in Nigeria. The case of banks rising and falling and the case of people
doing business through foreign exchange and parallel market made it easier for alternative to exist. It
also made it easier for smaller banks to also fail. Commercial banks were digging too deep into the
country and they had little competition. Commercial banks became the mother laden of many areas of
Nigerian economy as smaller ones failed.
The advert of Obasanjo as President did not change the status quo, in fact he even deepened the vast
resources of these bigger banks in Nigeria, who by market estimate where several in number.
Obasanjo’s privatization scheme enabled some survival of these smaller banks, but the rise of National
debt to 30 billion and clear absence of sovereign wealth and zero foreign reserve led to the appointment
of Prof Charlse Soludo. When he arrived at the office as CBN Chair, it was clear to the business world
that business of Nigerian banking and the stock market would likely change. His idea of bringing several
small banks together was to ensure they were reasonably fitted to compete and that there were too big
to fail. What the effort however did was break the power of the old dominating banks and many of
collision began to offer just as much credibility as the older ones.
This began a certain kind of race, not unlike Lehman and company in US and in Europe, but a race that
almost naturally spike up price, where bankers went out of their way to look for customers even it mean
treading on deposits that they were too thin. The bust was a natural consequence of that era, but more
than anything, it brought down the inner walls of First Bank and their older groups in Nigerian Banking
industry. Those who led the new and Nigerian revolution in Banking were small business administrators
who in the era past struggled against the tide. There was also Nigerian made Tycoons who were willing
and able to stake their profit on Nigerian banks, the era of new banking cleared the sea of bad obstacles
and at once proved an upfront to older.
The balkanization of Nigerian Naira through a unit per unit comparison with dollars through to 140 per
dollar term, may have misguided calculation of actual perform grade on many Nigerian banks. The more
culpable of these Banks are the likes of First Bank who could have shown no sign of internal event
breaking. Another factor is that of Petroleum. Twenty five years ago, crude oil was within the 7 dollars
for a barrel and with the range of years winnowing in 2008, there was a sharp shoot of the gas and
petroleum to about 150 dollars per barrel.
This unbound continue of price importation to Nigerian financial facility should have done enough to
congeal any hint of bloodletting or mispricing of Nigerian Naira. In a sense, the rate of the rise of oil has
been continuous time on wend, a Plateau of graph on the absorption of rate into Nigerian economy in
the place of actual and real time profit. The good and bad thing about this flat or even keel is that the
Naira in lieu of the rising oil should have remained at parry with local economy, essentially subdued with
very little kinetic movement which would have in turn enabled a better estimate of Bank’s aggregate
performance from local perspective.
As such there is a reason why Banks were harvesting big time wealth from Nigeria and why for three
decades the only financial engine that functioned was the banking industry. The reason is quite simply
the number accruement and the currency ratio to dollar, had nothing to do with value of Nigerian
economy. It sounds oxymoron but the fall of the Naira was not a Nigerian make, even though it
represented Nigerian Naira. Nigerians were only tilted to earn beyond their means and the numbers
made these Bank such as First Bank look good especially in those high earn years of 2006 – 2008.
The obvious nose dive of First Bank and other Older Commercial banks in Nigeria is attributed to lazes
faire attitude towards raunchy business deals and ‘badonomics’ of the very aggressive 80’s and 90’s and
a forward for 2000s where the false impressions of growth was only the Asides from prized crude oil
which in real time Nigeria did not benefit. The force of money velocity evident in the gap of 1999 – 2008,
largely speaking, from the eve of a newly created force of money called Euro which rocked the US stock
market to the financial debacle of 2008, revolve around money as the pendulum of decay, which note
the corrosion or erosion of value when new function or shift in price function general appeals.
I call this force of new and aggressive price movement on or upon older price, ‘price corruption’. That is
the absence of a levitation force in well leveraged or even deleveraged money market - however risk
averse - will certainly lead to corruption of value, which naturally collapses any old system since the
older value no longer apply. The rate at which this price corruption occurs may be linked with the so
called failure rate, mainly probable from an endpoint or probable end point of indexing. Failure rate is
hypothetically closer to a funny kind of drawdown. From the nature of the drawdown in Nigerian
economy and its bond market in the years 2005 - 2009, attention of many risk managers would have
been spooked. And by the tall edge of 2005, there was no clarion call from Sanusi on such problem and
why it signified big trouble for Nigerian banks and stock market.
So margin risk become a complicating thing for big banks since we can say that a risk portfolio bathtub
of graph is great for many other reasons including the reverse of the life-span in understanding the
reliability of banking system or the markets. A reverse of the bathtub from DFR through CFR through IFR
would have made a short put re-combination possible, thereby useful in mastering the variance of risk in
well-oiled 1999 – 2008 Nigerian market. If foreign agitation of Nigerian economy and investment
remained a put for many years, irrespective of what was happening in terms of real estate in US and in
the world, the general inference is that Nigeria was too risky since Foreigners probable earned more
money from in Nigeria and from Nigerian than Nigerians did, than they probably did in any economy in
the world, hence a put. But with a put, we can pretend that Risk was under control, but the inverse is
the expert's view that something was wrong and Sanusi at First Bank would made 'Real' out of the
condition.
I mean understanding that there were no degrees of inevitability in any event.
Nigerian Inflation rate as at 2014 is 8.9% which is still high compared to Ethiopia of 10.8% and with
Ghana 10.2% rate. A rate of inflation usually clarifies the rate of return on investment in any economy.
When there is an annual percent growth of more than 10% with as much rate of inflation, it usually
means that there is little economic growth. It was not always the case in Ghana, as at July 2007,
following the advice of Soludo and others, Ghana decided to revise its currency from 10, 000 Cedi to 1
Cedi, which heightened the transition from a period of economic low ball to better management and
renewed attempts at balancing the budget. Whether or not Ghana is better off is a question of the
future, secondly is the extent of moral hazards associated with delimiting the performance of a currency
to the nearest bottom line.
At what point does it seem that a region in the world would be permitted to adopt new currency as a
way to jettison an old economy? At what point, could it also mean that a society of good doers like was
witnessed in Germany’s Socialist Nazi party and the devaluation of its Deusch Mark which was revised
several times and each devalued the paper since they were no foreign buyers. China also devalued its
currency a number of times during the political instability of the 20th century, to a point that it served
no real purpose but paper. It is within common sense that India in the 1990’s put an end to its currency,
which coincided with the experiments with NAFTA and the end of Mexico’s old Peso in 1993.
But this theory mainly works in a nearly successful economy like U.S of the 20's and 30's, and Europe
sometime later. In a country like Nigeria, a theory of munificence through spending has little or no merit
unless we admit to ourselves that the country has been a Depression or simply a form of crisis. In fact it
could be disastrous to prove will have the country towards a fulfilled future if does not. It is therefore
economic bias to suppose that as such Government spending was a way to push towards full
employment, which in turn improves the resources of the buying crowd.
This theory does not help our understanding on how to grow in any economy; the most important
aspect of any economy is growth. In essence we are left with what really happens when any nation on
earth is meeting expectations but experiencing a growth problem like Europe? Or, when a country is not
meeting expectation but also growing like in Nigeria. That latter is a sample of a sluggish economy and
sluggish economy often lead to a breaking of economic structural and then a country leans to old and
proven theories as a way to recover. There is the spending or the expansion of the Nigerian
Government, and it is common sense that inflation and foreign direct investment gives the impression
that you are growing, and a cut back on spending which usually follow, could be a symptom signaling a
further dive into depression
Ghana
Whereas the same advice for currency re-denomination that Soludo petitioned for was resisted in
Nigeria and some of the basic reasons for the resistance is that many persons of interest stood to lose a
lot of very personal business and there was also the problem of exchange rate. Perhaps the resistance
was due to the fact that the country was not ready for it then, which does not in any way mean that
Nigeria is now ready for it. For the fact that country is not ready was any changes with its currency does
not mean that it is not the right course of action. Whatever may be the case, we can argue that Nigerian
Naira has not exactly attracted the attention of the world since the inception of the currency in 1970
and the end of renegade civilian conflict. In foreground from the age when there was a currency West
African penny that used in West Africa with English permission, it has followed is relatively new and that
Nigerians, may not be doing something that wrong or unheard since the end result of any currency is in
its application.
India.
The re-denominating the Naira (even if it means removing a couple of Zeros of the Naira as Soludo
suggested) is appropriate since the Nigerian Economic Structure, efficient money system is not well
developed for that, Nigeria re-denominating its currency will propel itself into the future with the new
resolve of creating a new from the old. It is not advisable to engage this exercise when your economy is
doing badly, it is better when you are faring better than expected. This is the whole meaning of St.
Petersburg’s Paradox and ordinals of Daniel Bernoulli.
The exchange rate of this country can better enhance its business portfolio in the World Markets, if as
suggested by others, that the last two '00' of its current note be denominated away from its current
hiatus could accommodate new noise from US Crude Oil markets or trade partners to Nigerian Interest
rate. Since the expensive the Naira is a currency that suffers in neglect due to competing attention and
currencies in the world, it does help itself by sticking the policy of a floating currency. There are several
countries that seek to regulate their currency and many of these countries are considered Developing
Countries including a few of the BRIC nation.
The exchange rate of this country can better enhance its business portfolio in the World Markets, if as
suggested by others, that the last two '00' of its current note be denominated away from its current
hiatus could accommodate new noise from US Crude Oil markets or trade partners to Nigerian Interest
rate. Since the expensive the Naira is a currency that suffers in neglect due to competing attention and
currencies in the world, it does help itself by sticking the policy of a floating currency. There are several
countries that seek to regulate their currency and many of these countries are considered Developing
Countries including a few of the BRIC nation…..
Yet Nigeria, as a dominant economic market in West Africa, has not benefited from a floating currency
which is in keeping with the demands of World Markets. It has not benefit from the Single currency
banter what was the idea behind ECOWAS, It has not reached the level before compassed, when any
nation on earth is producing for public use other than its market, it is in fact not a market in the global
macro and it is ultimately an economically dependent country. If, or when, the country decides to act, it
must remember that the Great Migration of Nigerians into China and into the United States is a not a
change in political landscape, it has economic consequences are well. The advantage that this Great
Migration has earned cannot be easily overcome saving for more parallel markets where Nigerians and
other West Africans will question such migration when Nigeria with 00 less integer offers higher
protection and growth.
II THE PROBLEMS ECOWAS
May 28th, 1975 is a date that many old West African citizens living now remember as a date when the
theory of economic "self-sufficiency" of the Economic Community of West African States was initiated.
The first phase of that initiative was designed to cover the ECOWAS experiment was slated to include
the questions of trans-border trade and then the process of economic unity between the member
states. Ultimately these economic co-operations - not unlike the European Model - were meant to land
West African nations a home run on one single currency. Some of the assumptions from the ECOWAS
resolutions was eventually challenged by Nigerians and Ghanaians, with individuals of import such as
Ralph Onwuka (no relation) throwing in their dissent, including latterly, Amadu Sesay, and Aluko Olajide
who joined the fore mentioned in 86 'The Future of Africa and New International Economic Order';86.
Some of the assumptions from Onwuka and Aluko are not new and there is however a privileged insight
into a future of world market and the role of ECOWAS - if it survives.
Needless to say that their book raised several questions about the illusions of West Economic Society
and NIE 'New International Economic Order' as derived from Europe, questions it did not answer,
perhaps better explicated as questions which did not exactly converted for answers.
But from the defense pact and from policies prodded by individual Government in West Africa, it seems
common sense that the business structure on between these West African countries was likely to
change or expected to change, so also the structure and business of its local Community. What have
witnessed in the last decade or so is that the paper currency and the call for a new Nigeria and West
Africa are actually hijacked by private interest from all and asunder. The full implementation of
ECOWAS took place in 1979, set against the cultural unity of Expo '77, West Africa, braced the region for
a future which included single currency money, but did not incorporate the price of that economic
banter, for instance, debt across the border, problems of credit and the issue of acceptance in the
Global economy.
In Nigeria and in West Africa these days, we hear of the 'Millennium Development Goals', 'Privatization
Schemes', 'Balance of Payment', 'Austerity Measures' (removal of oil subsidy), 'Foreign Direct
Investment', IDAs, FDI; Foreign Direct Investment', 'Debt Crisis', but all of these are IMF measures which
Nigeria that is U.S centered has no real party.
But these Schemes exist and part of Nigerian politics and part of the Nigerian running of their plans for
BETTER LIFE. This better life the case of Argentina and Mexico, like Brazil of the 70's and Korea of 70’s
will not be achieved under these programs that are run by IMF. Part of these measures is that it leads to
sometime when benefitting, and we are tempted to ask how can a transition from one program to
another take place, for it seems that the process of Free Trade agreement exercising itself in Europe and
now the North America, usually leads to the lands of regional exchange and single currency.
In proper light, the measure at work is similar to EU, compared from every angle; it is similar to the
future ideas of regional government and higher penetration of existing Companies.
Speaking of the politics, Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan, who is battling the insurgence, the Boko
Haram may have 'started' by the support of AUST; African University of Science and Technology and the
promise to help Nigerian the Film Industry with a 3 Billion Naira, is supposed to be welcome news. He
has also began work on Electric Power Authority; NEPA and has signed new contracts concerning the
Rail Roads, all to be settled in dollars. Under his leadership Nigeria received all sorts of incentives and in
the riverside areas of South-South, there is an international help, some from World Bank in tackling the
problems associated with growth over these areas.
III IMF
Nigerians has been forced to blend in to the fact that there is a New World Money Order called Euro.
There is nothing wrong in accepting the doctrines of European Union and it does not seem that the
policies pursued by Europe are as bad and misleading policy. Yes, some versions of the policies are
desperate conceived for Third World economies or whatever name that is applicable and in terms of the
quality of European Economy and its no-grow economy, these IMF programs and loans are very not
called for and are basically predisposed to debtors damages. Nigerian Oil Subsidy, ECOWAS; Economic
community of West African States, Government policies driving currencies, SAP; Structural adjustment
programs, WAI; War against indiscipline, Better life Program, 1986 Austerity Measures, Privatization
Scheme, Removal of Crude oil Subsidy have all come and gone but IMF has still tied the country's future
to these schemes and to Debt that don't count as a credit and has forced Nigeria and some West African
countries downward with its policies, policies that even a progressive third world economy like Nigeria,
can no longer absorb.
Dude, where’s my Country? Right now
IV
If Nigeria makes half a trillion dollars mainly from selling Crude Oil that runs from your backyard to your
Heritage or Inheritance Country United States and none of these material gains reach Nigerians in USA,
Europe or Asia, and for a start Nigerians in US and Canada where much of money is realized, then
something is really wrong with the picture. Sometimes some of us try to understand if we Nigerians or
Americans or Nigerians plus Americans or opportunistic ‘beast of no nation’ who are not really wanted
by both parties will ever make it, and wonder how to proceed as a people far from our Africa which we
cannot truly say we are far from home. There are business opportunities which the society of the new
beginning offers but not accessible due in large to the influx of immigrants from other parts of the
world.
As the story goes about migrants from several other parts of world, Jewish emigrants from different
parts of Europe had to deal with harsh realities of the new country, that it was persistence in business
ad linking the US to Russia, Europe and the Pacific that made the difference in the financial navigation.
Nigerians did not arrive to these states by boats or from persecution or expulsion as these Jews were.
They arrived by air and through the plane, with money in their portfolio, with degrees to buttress and
had to stay with their families until further economic enhances. In New York, there are business
opportunities Nigerians in United States can get into, besides trying at the top of your shouting lungs to
sell a small prized real estate with the banks signing off on it through a supervisor’s approval, we may
consider other things, that majority of the companies in US have roots elsewhere, and only some level
of long term investment comfort can guarantee partnership and employment in its key resource areas.
It is the question of inheritance and what happens. The question is what now happens to our share of
Nigerian resources from our backyards in Nigeria and sold to our Country called United States.
The answer is that we are cheated from our resources in Nigeria, cheated by….denied our birth right in
U.S by default. Some of us may ask what it should matter that you are failed by Nigerians in your share
on your heritage. My answer will hardly surprise anyone, it matters that people may not see how well
cheated these Nigerians and Nigerian Americans or Africans of any junior or ranked investment
category, who are living and spending so many years in US and Europe and having nothing to show for it
than the money loaned from Nigeria or Africa except for special cases of those live who also live here
and have to struggle for lack of financial competitive foundation saving exchange a rate’s advantage.
But this should not be the case given the Shawley-Oxley laws in 2002.
Above, there is such a thing as Reinvestment Act in these United States which can be used from the
stables of a Reserve System which Is private resources matched by US Federal Govt. to the threshold of
at least 25% non-refundable withholding of transaction receipts between Nigeria tor Corporation of
interest coming from Nigeria and dealing on Crude oil or similar cash product with United States or
private and institutional corporation of interest from US, on a market and real term quotes, year to year,
to be rested on their Bank of receipt and choosing. This receipt does not mean that Nigerians or Africans
who are pretty much struggling from day one in the States or Canada and who even constitute worker
parasites deferred employment certiorari and qualification (odd jobs), should be given free hands on
managing these resources or engage in charity without losing their formal reasons in being in the States,
or have these investments so removed from US or similar country of interest and domain, without
explication to Nigeria or anywhere else without due recourse to profit meeting for market standards.
In essence, US can't be forced to train and feed these Nigerians who irrespective of their standing
agreement before coming to these states, bound by tax paying, or inheritance clause affecting new
migrants, are dead set to participate in their new country and new economy. That Nigeria or any African
country can in respective levels of transactions with United States or any country of interest, be
expected to support the future growth of these Americas and the countries, then the go-between
persons of interest who reside there, here, born here or anywhere, have short and long term business
interest in these United States, should participate in the estimate of these countries.
The Sovereign Wealth of these Nigerians in the United States is separate accounting and should not be
compromised or misunderstood. Nigerians overseas suffer the most due to lack of organizational
structure, rely on public employment or private interest in medicine, for instance, sojourners from Africa
and Nigeria, easily turn their attention to CPA and Medical Careers, public and home health jobs, all of
which are fine American job opportunities to take advantage of but rely mainly on Government benefits
and insurance. These Nigerians like Caribbean American before them, are happy to be paid peanut
wages which by American Standards is poverty level which ensures without public acknowledgment is a
cyclical trap that makes it difficult for Nigerians or Africans to barely make it into working class
Americans.
The game play is to expand the future of the United States through consolidation. Whereas these men
and women from Nigeria or Africa, with serious education background do not mean to take on these
jobs or need not, above all do not furnish any intention of lasting too long on them. In the past, the
career move was to progress from CPA or GNA to Nurse and from Nurse to registered and Licensed
Practical Nurse, or so others will choose, take interest in Medicine and medical studies. It is not their
making especially when the chief resources are coming from their own State and old Country.
II Lapses in Nigerian Investment Strategy.
But there are investment vehicles that the both ministers; Ngozi Okonjo-Iwela (Finance Minister) and
Olusegun Aganga (Investment and Trade) can implore in helping the growth of local businesses in
Nigeria, particularly the area of Investment and Trade. One of which is the area that is associated with
growing Nigerian businesses from local investment category of Pre-IPO, to standard IPO markets for or
from the Nonpoor. Investment in Nigeria is not always projected towards foreign investing crowd many
of whom operate under-investigated entities. When they are consulted - assuming they are, they sail
from some underground and unheard off board-room to Nigeria, and arrive Nigerian with no intentions
of buying regular shares or toe private placement, rather are interest with their papers to buy out
preferred stocks in the most lucrative Nigerian businesses.
I mean the whole process is so easy that nearly anyone can have a field day in Nigeria as a foreign
investor. What the Nigerian Government has done in the past 10 years requires no large frame looking
glass to prove their point about the country, and adding the recent war against illegal bunking of Crude
Oil and drugs, there are reduced questions about the future of Nigerian Crude oil.
Beginning with (a) Finance and organization with due respect to banks and the debt or equity based
interest of the federal government (b) Internet Network Structure which some feel has received
attention in the last 10 years, yet has nothing to offer in terms of new programs and software such as
Security Software or any programs that allow the rest of us to more about our business (c) Hospital and
Medical management, and en-pound for metal equipment and hospitals for physically disabled or
mentally re-covering, asylum for people consider longer term recovery programs (d) then there is the
quality of monitoring investment, for local and foreign investment grade, particularly foreign investment
group since the country is already overweight on 70% foreign direct Investment (e) and improving the
'Seaports that will require more than a fair share of foreign investors or individual attempts at
revamping the Nigeria 34 airports, some of it is out of use.
Strangely enough, Nigerian Airways is turf on the new and newly renovated Airports and are managing
the long queues with only 8 operational Air Ports and 2 Heliports, and for the records only 3 of these Air
ports are International and they guzzle their passengers with price. But under this pattern, the long horn
emphasis on others to develop Nigeria or add to its green will not paper out the demands on the
grounds. In essence, it mean seem realistic that the country can only care for its citizenry by the
provisional resource allocation of the new operational groups interest banks are kin on achieving, but a
new currency challenged from 100 paces to 1, there is room to allocate foreign interest nations willing
and able to penetrate the market, and further extend the frontiers of market strategy already
approaching its apex in US and EU and the consumer economies.
These sectors that need more social programs, or would require government expansion and active
supervision to re-open will have to wait unless a new round development begins. It however makes for a
second kind of argument that if we are talking of employment opportunities, we cannot use Lagos or
Abuja to draw conclusion on the rest of the country- It is poor estimate and is occasion for poor and
uneven market and we must, in particular Mental Health of the patients and doctors or nurses
supervision to expansion of Benefits.
A grid system in terms of the Nigerian Social Service and State I.D or number is another means of
ensuring that newly graduated Nigeria or fairly new Nigerians are successfully - if not dutifully
employed, and these measures if have applied or pursued by the seating government will help to track
down violent activities in any one simple part of the country and will also speed up the hunt for loose
cannon groups anywhere in the country and in West Africa. The Grid System is security deposit on the
future of any economy's widening demographic and will create means that will promote jobs now and
for the future. Such grid system or social identity is not an academic exercise, is far from just a symptom
of what Nigerians have learned over the years in places such as Canada or what some of us can still state
accurately about the highly coveted and challenged U.S health care industry, rather it is a process of
creating work and employment.
A journalist Mbonobong Nsehe > Why African may not really (stay ahead of the Council) Some of the
investment which for instance flourishes in Kenya is given by low conversion rate, but generally Tourism
is not news - Some of the growth associated with South Africa. The Whole/open yards of human
organizational integration (2) Policy analyst and public health structure (3) design, function,
management regulations 'Natural and political Observations' Defy and but for medical insurance
(medical insurance) to work, Jobs has to work SS2; Social Security 'make easy the age of social security'
at least place the 'Grid System' and sometime in the Past, Forbes - listed five Great Investment that
anyone can make in Africa but none the mentioned investment has long life if there is no political
stability in Nigeria or the Regional West Africa.
The damage to the housing industry is undiagnosed and housing projects promote the credo
Redenomination all these may not happen given the dollar to Naira ratio, and with all due respect to the
large house foreign investment – which in real time is not real money – the weight of any nation,
particularly developing nation-, is carried by local businesses and local investment and this group which
are often neglected amount for the larger percentage of any economic transition of any country. Simply
put, develop or encourage the local sector and you will find real time investors more comfortable with
long term investment.
Once, it is the due diligence towards enabling Small Business Administration and financial bus stops,
small business investing companies and Crowd, or Angel Investing are financial instruments and items
that are not purchased from high grounds, it only and gradually transition from one form to another and
maturates overtime. No IPOs will suffice the steps if it intends on climbing. The financial instrument
from banks and from private investment or financial institutions should be present and running in
Nigeria, especially now the traditional lending between business to business and between businesses to
private is no longer at ease in Nigeria or in many parts of the leading economies.
The lending business should not be facing competition especially at the very early stages of such
country, the current 'Capital Gap' to 'Corresponding Investment Opportunity' out in spite of the
enormous restriction on Credits in Nigeria, and in the end, startup services between the states are
articles or interest in the country, and where the financial department should be making the greatest
efforts. Investment in Nigerian markets also requires education and financial literacy and under the new
programs slated to meet these projects, there are much more the finance and investment ministers can
actually do. We may no longer achieve any form of output in Agriculture if tons of produce from local
farmers find their way on the next ship overseas.
Like the President once hinted, you cannot place any form of embargo what farmers intend to do with
their produce, that it was really up to them. The reason why the area of Agriculture and the production
of Soy Milk and other root crops make their way to India and to Asia may be reduced to profits from
exchange rate and if the trend continues, accounting for returns on Agriculture which the common
citizenry will prefer any day to other things will be quite difficult. The three tier level of the Federal,
State and Local, can enact Agriculture Investment and Re-Investment, can throw additional light on the
State to State exchange which must no left to the monopoly such Aliko Dangote. There is a mixed feeling
about the destruction of oil bunking vessels in the areas of Nigeria where some are asking that like
Nollywood; the Nigerian Film Industry, which started its commercial carpool at 44 St. St Michael Road
Aba, shouldn't Nigeria list these illegal vessels for its consumptive efforts.
Nigerian Nollywood derives its name from a town in Enugu which was originally under Anambra State,
but began the era of mass production of 1992 'Living in Bondage' at 44 St Micheal's road and from the
area the production widened into Umungazi and then 1-3 Pound Road Aba. Initially, these cassettes
were duplicated and parried at the price of pirate production cost and many of the returns did not make
is back to the Owners and Film Actors, many of started the business in NTA Lagos and then Aba before
leaving to Enugu, a place they felt comfortable with their production. These Owners reported this wild
spread bootlegging to police who advised against the entrepreneurship of their Towns Folk, rather
should harness them into a group and discuss film making standards and licensing.
The First of these meetings took place at Nnewi Hall at Azikiwe Road off Market road, Aba, where some
of the Produces including Nnebue who appealed to Aba and Awka business traders of the plight of Club
and the chance of making the film into an Industry, that above all the Actors were literally starving.
More than once, Danjuman has been one of the proponents of the destruction of these vessels; where
as his company involved in piping Nigerian oil is drilled deep in the offshore recess. Above all the
reviews on removing the Crude Oil subsidy has also ended. If Danjuman has a muscle left anywhere he
would have found a way to discourage Exxon-Mobile from backing the partitioning of the Oil Rich
Peninsula at the Bight of Biafra. Exxon, the French side of the business, has enormous interest in drilling
oil in Cameron as well being position to do business in what is Nigeria, but the problems of the drilling
rigs in South East and South-South Nigeria has led many of these Oil Champions into offshore Nigerian
Oil.
In essence, Nigerians are forced to leave their country because some Cameroonians claimed that the
Northern Nigerian Army ask Cameroun to block Nigerian Civilians from entering into Nigeria in doing so
can have a section of Nigerian East which as they claimed included parts of the Peninsula. It seems that
the Nigerian economy is now destined to survive mainly and ultimately through the Central Banks of the
new economic empowerment. If this is meant to happen, the fabric of the Nigerian Central Banks has to
change in order to better position itself in the world.
This will also include the attitudes of the only purpose of removing the subsidy is to transition some of
the money (resources) recovered from Oil Subsidy to other useful employment. This is a theme that is
not far from Socialism yet it papers out as a Capitalist economy. What are Nigerians expected to do?
It must however be mentioned that the recent moves by the Federal Republic of Nigeria and its Central
Banks to remove the subsidy will tactically end the Federal operational charter for oil, although NNPC is
still considered Nigerian Owned, it is really a product of the past.
There are lot of Government projects in Nigeria, but some of it come at very big price with heavy
Insurance demands by Nigerian Insurance companies based in Nigeria and from lender countries of
European and American based business and latterly Russia and China, asking Nigeria to place the Crude
oil as Collateral for the lending and lease as a death wish on a nation that parries itself slovenly from
Crude Oil profits. We and lead us to suggest that the Government is expanding, but the lean-in on Oil
subsidy is a rude 20% tax awakening for Nigerians. There will be a new round of gas and oil bidding
which Shell once more is expected to make a lot of case for and about investment, but these new
developments are nothing compared to the greater problems of populations an amusing, it is possible
that the population growth of a country such as Nigeria, the need for employment cast aspersion on
construction and real estate, carrier services, food processing,
But such reservation of trust of the other - by common degree ductile, not necessarily panacea - forces
many of us to accept that a shift of what was considered traditional (?) may have been a motivation and
more than that, his motivation is rooted elsewhere. But we can also say that such loftily is noted for
certain individuals that are shiv for privilege category and not of it, or whatever that is supposed to
mean. The other diagnostic is the probable fact that the economy could only attract expendable papers
from bigger international banks whose need for a country like Nigeria is conditional. The conditional
nature of their investment was the necessary signal which Sanusi as risk manager would have action
upon, by advising a cut down or mowed down the profit margin of such investment since they were
immaterial to local market and therefore inelastic. If they apply it through to Nigeria on the broadest
possible extent, then a nominal moratorium of deliberate precaution should hedge the Bank against
sudden death syndrome.
For opulence and eventuality, profit rotation and sources of profit for risk managers should permit a
squeeze around the investor and encourage a reliable grade to be consistently baited against
eventuality in the banking systems, for instance the eventuality of probably cash exit of foreign
capacitors. And the man who could have easily noted the problems and understood the failures of debt
was original to the poor overall economy was no other than Sanusi.
Perhaps we can argue that in about the same time as April 2008, much of the known financial world
was already in decline. But Sanusi it must be noted was the risk expert for many years before his
position as head of First Bank. As such destiny prepared him more to so for the role he was later to play
as CBN Chairman, for it may only seem the case that he was part of the history which either/or came
into Mean at the very determined time in 2008. March of 2008, Bear Sterns of US was facing collapse,
and Lehman brothers, Goldman Sachs and Company tethered on the verge of breakdown. It was a
matter of time that the impact of Bear Stern’s failure was to be heralded worldwide.
By April 2008, and in many ways, we are left to accept incognito that the sudden death of First Bank
maybe been due to the world financial disaster gradually brewing. But the sharp dive may have also
unleashed the moral sabotage of faith in Nigerian banking system and faith in its big bank like First Bank
in Nigeria began to falter when nothing was done to mount the resistance to foreign capacitors in the
country. At least the sharp decline First Bank and of its financials in April 2008 is not without the
influence of foreign financial. By that we mean and mean only, that the bank in terms of its risk could
not have headed in the right direction, that the nose of Sanusi one of the preeminent bosses of the risk
retinue at First Bank was observed elsewhere. In brief, the boss, Sanusi, from beginning had a wrong
grasp of the source of the financial kamikaze.
Since First Bank did not mount any effective resistance to the problem observed elsewhere, it should
only have hinted that the bank lacked the managerial dynamics to remain atop of the Nigerian
Commercial banks, a problem which Sanusi may have picked up and may have invented a solution that
may or may have mattered, an administrative plugging that he was convinced is continue, preeminently.
But the problem was not so much a question of administrative shortcoming but a matter of pleasanter
grasp of the unbecoming and overweighting influence of foreign investors. The money was coming
elsewhere, and the money was used to spook the Nigerian stock market, the money kept First Bank on a
live wire, the money was not Nigerian. The resources belong to some groups who pulled their resources
slovenly from under the carpet of First Bank. And then the decline, then the fall in stock value.
With the heavy weight presence of these foreign investors in a bank like First Bank, it will seem to
appear that the inflation in Nigerian real estate was totally dictated by ‘undue influence’ a term that
points to investors in Nigeria. By allowing too many foreign currencies to float freely in the country you
penetrate the ranks of big banks, you naturally expose the Bank to risk, and to fundamental risk failure
which is chiefly characterized by sudden death. Sudden death occurs naturally when the support system
is in disconnection and Sanusi and company witnessed the final days of the credit decay that was a
decade in the making.
He, Sanusi, may have taken effective steps to change the debility of First Bank when he was finally in
power. But it was already too late at time of his appearing. He had the chance to enforce his rapier view
on banking when he became chief, but the ductile tape of the bank from its olden years until the drop
was such that the corruption of value was already the official status. Sanusi may have actually taken his
view from the broad strokes of his committee, but he was walking through a wrong avenue with his eyes
off the managerial function. Sanusi may have diagnosed the problem of the country as the First Bank
Risk Manager and may have misdiagnosed it. But the option available to him as a CBN Chairman was
already decided from these days, to the point that he a force that neither sorted out the problem nor
helped to place a calm bam on the fellow bankers who were much perturbed by the epidemic as much
he was.
From the beginning, it was clear that Sanusi didn’t understand why some banks survived the implosion
and why they were survived well. Perhaps they were plugging the erosion in tilts and in tectonic rather
weight for the avalanche. Sanusi may yet seem to wonder at incredulity of survival of such new Bank in
the market Nigeria, and may have either by other matters of influence or otherwise resigned at the fact
that these group were not playing by the rules. But they carried less baggage like other commercial
banks and were slightly able to adjust to aggressive price change and inflation, but those stuck in
between carried much of the losses.
Why is International Islamic School in Khartoum the probably influence behind Sanusi’s motivation?
Well we can’t particular demarcate the man from who he was in years preceding his years at Khartoum
from the man when he began to ascend the ladder of banking. That he studied in Khartoum will also
mean that Sanusi as a man could not have been that ignorant of the greatness of the Islam in the Europe
throughout the middle ages. That he studied in Khartoum should mean that he was coming from a
certain persuasion especially been the grandson of an Emir of Sokoto. His attention must have come
from somewhere else. His attention on Khartoum was not misplaced since he was probably aware of the
connection between certain West African states and Fulani. His attention is not without interpretation
since the connection to Sudan and Khartoum especially leave the wake on the guiding influence of
Sanusi. That influence on Sanusi in terms of his actions so far as head of CBN is seriously manifest,
especially his leniency towards oil producing Islamic states such as Brunei and Saudi Arabia. Of course
theirs is a class system.
Khartoum, which has been taken over by 3% of the population of mainly Arab decent, is so pivotal to
African history that serious guide to the formation of the Islamic state is needed if we are to understand
its complex apostrophe in the Fulani of Nigerian history and Sanusi’s action. Khartoum is where the two
Nile Rivers meet, the White Nile originating in Uganda and the Blue Nile from Ethiopia converge in
Khartoum. From Khartoum, the Nile runs through Africa into the boundaries of Egypt through the other
part of the Red Sea. How do we begin with Khartoum and the influence of Islamic banking? We can
begin by citing the role of Gold in Marrakesh in the years leading to the collapse of the Moorish dynasty
of Meri, Nri, and then the attraction for the City of Gold, which is Timbuktu, began to invite Muslims of
all types to sub-Sahara. Ibn Kallon’s Chronicles demonstrate the impact of trading along the Syria
Mesopotamia and the quest of spice that drove bans of brotherhood to raid islands throughout
Mesopotamia.
From the rule of the Almohad Caliph of Marrakesh beginning from around 640 AD to sometime about
1250 AD, the domination of Islam and the Arab counterparts were so complete and so thorough. The
Chronicles of Mamluk Sultan and to the Berbers and Islamic States of the North, forced small groups of
Muslims to occasional set out on their own and wanted a piece of the salt and gold markets along the
river Niger. The search for gold and the control of gold made these bands of Islamic raids and schools
successful. The gold’s of Timbuktu and Khartoum attracted waves and waves of migration from the
North Africa and even Asia, to deeper parts of Sahara. Among the roving tribes were the Tamashek and
Arabic, the Bambara and Fulani, the Maghreb and Turag and of course the very Moors themselves. But it
was the Fulani who later pitched their tents in Sokoto and in several parts of Northern that span
throughout much of West Africa.
Timbuktu as a gold coast during the rule of Muslims over Europe in the so called Dark Ages 8th – 14th
century, attracted just about everyone, especially Arabs. It must be said that when we speak of Islam in
Europe, we mean only one thing, Muslims of Africa, with possible overlay of European remnant in parts
of Egypt and of Asians. It is the gradual decline of these Moors in Europe that led to their overflowing in
North Africa. The further decline led to other measures that involved business and commercial lending.
But no doubt that banking as we understand it today was always an African affair from oldest possible
transaction tablets found in Egypt to Gold as bait for and against economic misfortune of Syria, Babylon,
Jordan, and so on, to the compulsory 2% Shariah provision under the Islamic administrative Umbrella
from Damascus. This 2% interest rate paradigm was one of the last of Sanusi’s action, the incident of the
2% compel a longer list of his action and inaction after a year out of which he must be seen.
For one thing, Islam forbids lending of any kind with interest and in terms of Muslims of the same
religion, Islam, condemns lending with interest to fellow Muslims (Haram). In many ways this poses a
problem of equity in Mean sense of the word given the necessity to flip on real estate in secular
societies. Islam under the Sharia however allows a form of deferred loan which they say is ‘benevolent
loan’ (al-qard, al hasan). Angelo Vernados in his book ‘Islamic Banking and Finance in South East Asia’,
suggested that the deferred loan therefore “has more relevance in relationship to the social welfare
economy, or where there are social ramifications to a transaction as in the case of contracts involving
the government, rather than in the private or commercial sectors”
Given perhaps the social leniency of the good will lending permitted by Islam and Sharia, which is by the
way 2% of interest rate - fixed and unchanging - we may see the goods of Sanusi’s 2% recent discourses
and experimentation as a social program, as opposed to secular banking which must survive by
Investment and Commercial lending. In essence, you kill the market with a 2% flat, and when it remains
fixed you never make a Taylor’s rule of nearly 4%. Above all, the misery index in bait of inflationary
Chicago is neither ‘precipitation’ nor assumes the curve for ‘soft landing’ from facts of unemployment
rate.
That is we are talking about Government project with beneficiary goods, a sort of class action that will
perpetually benefit a collage of sorted class, who will likely invent a class society still alive in the North.
This is not unwelcome news to the East in fact respecting people by their wealth is part of the traditional
furniture of Eastern Nigeria. This is not unlike what we have in Arabic society, and the oil business is
mainly derived from the set pieces of 2% interest on the Benefit’. In terms of international business and
in terms of FASB - Financial Accounting Standards - and IAS International Accounting Standards, Nigerian
Banking would now be forced to come up with its own measure.
To obtain the exact width of this very ill advised banking philosophy, we must look at what was
happening in the years leading to Sanusi appointment. The former permanent Minster of secretary,
Rilwanu Lukman, who was once a secretary of OPEC, carried an official atmosphere of someone outside
the working dynamics of the Government. Islamic debt financing contract, its Joint venture and so called
profit sharing is useful for large conglomerates in control of many portions of Nigerian banks, many of
which go as far as the National budget.
Nigeria as a country suffers from all kinds of sickness, much of it is psychological. The psychological
problem of Nigeria and Nigerians is a hard case given the very history of the country in its formation
years. It is fair to say that you can be right in the country if only you are wrong by identity. It is necessary
that I build an argument on this matter since many will not see my indictments as objective. There will
always be the issue of tribes, the issue of culture, the issue of parties and the issue of religion of Nigeria.
But that is how we grow up, for we know that we are been women from day, children of our past, but
childish behaviors and childish things are expected to be done away with.
For that, enough attention must be placed on what is factual and actual in matters of federal character,
and on what is permissible within village square, and what is Law. That is not the whole reason behind
my narrative of the undue influence of the Federal chartered office in the vise of Sanusi. The whole
attitude of judgment without adequate facility of facts, and the commentary so far however subjective
and however valid, or the more grasping matters of personal persuasion, should be discouraged and
eschewed. As much as everyone is entitled to their opinion, it is only Nigerian to base the opinion on
very concrete facts.
A reportage on 3.625 Billion Central Banks indulgences….
We understand the Energy Sector problems and the long term stability pact as part of West African
Economic Community. What happened to my 20 page instructions on US-Nigeria Nuclear Energy
Consortium priced in 2011 at 20 billion dollars? The energy sector is a consistent problem matched with
steady population appreciation and with the unemployment well over 25% - if not in some estimate up
to 30% of 170 million Nigerian. Nuclear Energy even at 6 Billion extra after the third year of Completion
following International Nuclear Energy guidelines, could provide that country all the necessary energy it
needs to melt iron or defray color phased gas-metal separation desperately needed for large and
extensive manufacturing and for ordinary survival of Local Industries in the next two decades. This 3.623
billion dollars is not accommodated by the 25 billion already put in by Aganga, and does not take any
interest in the Nigerians in US....
The turn key investment which are hard to court from US markets need International Energy Capacity
(10 Yrs.) to consider Nigeria or any West African Economy with grain of salt. The other issue I mentioned
is the role Nuclear Energy will likely play in West Africa and contingency issue of unequal development.
Overtime, these mass consumptive behavior will become a factor, but against the margins of growth
from 2011 - at least - by now, each sector of the Country could adequate indulge local and regional
resources with placing all their cards in Lagos, Kaduna, or Abuja.
Rail Road industries treat people like Sandwich.
Regional Re
First Bank had begun to falter in terms of organizational dynamics in around 2006. And that led to the
exit of the top chiefs of the banks in matter of years. The man who was voted in January of 2009 from
the glossary of risk managers and analyst to head First Bank was Lamido Sanusi. Lamido Sanusi is
credited with toning down the rhetoric at First Bank and he is credited to have pushed the agenda of
reform. But it is also said that more than anyone, he had problems of corporation with members outside
his risk group. It is wrong to enable the rest of us to judge Mr. Sanusi from the standpoint of these
intervening years as risk manager of his former employer, before becoming the head of First bank from
around the early months of 2009.
It is wrong to cast enough aspersions on Sanusi from his performance and performances at First Bank in
those declining years since the problem was worldwide. For that, we move to understand Sanusi from
his role as a banker and his role as a CBN Chair. In many ways, the thematic difference between Sanusi
the banker and risk manager and Sanusi the CBN Chair is to be understood if we are likely to form the
right estimate of the man in question.
First it can be noted that Sanusi’s action at First Bank is mainly nominal given the outcome of the
challenges the bank was facing in terms of risk management. First Bank as at April 2008 was already
shrouded in complacency, already a lilac within the hue of commercial banking and already showing
signs of decay from many years of bad management. First Bank was for many years the only bank that
held its ground against many buffeting of Nigerian economic society. The problem of being so pivotal in
any economy is that you are as the banker become, the pivotal litmus paper for testing and gauging the
range of motion in your local economy. In one sense, you are likely to bear loses of whatever happens to
your local economy and it noting lifespan.
“But is Lamido Sanusi the messiah he wants us to believe he is? He has made enemies for himself,
powerful enemies. Those billionaires, nay trillionaires, he has ridiculed and de-robed are unforgiving.
Those with vested interest in the banks he has dealt with are up in arms to get back at him”.
The issue of life-span of risk and portfolio management also applies, for it seems that when a Plateau is
achieved in any money market graph without original input, the only way forward was essentially
downwards. In terms of precaution the case is salvage but in terms of risk, we might begin to suspect
the inevitable when the market is seriously kinetic, in perpetual motion. In many ways, both graphs offer
signals for hedge and defense, perhaps a haircut. But most banks who naturally get a haircut from many
years of active success, do bounce back from forms of insolvency. So Plateau is dependency driven on
meet of any event in the economy.
Plateau is an illustration of system's condition, both in markets and in banking, since kinesis is
exhausted and market thoroughly cash cow, thematically predictable. By this, we might consider the
reasons behind the bad performances of First Bank which was a mere reflection of the economy to the
disputable degree that the risk managers like Sanusi would have been the shiv for trimming misdiagnosis
of the non performing debt since he and his group were the see at one of the biggest banks in the
country and they knew better. Nigerian economy was bad and banks could only survive in terms of
numbers and not in terms of value, which the problem was not mainly the banks although they bear a
brunt of it all. The breakdown in the economy was not their fault.
With larger Banks and heavy market capitalization, there is a possibility that a Bank’s insolvency gap can
be totally breached or covered by other forces operating in the economy, making it seem that the Bank
is actually doing well or has been doing well when is not the case.
One of such economic factor is inflation. It is often intent of producing a class of people who use the
religions as bait to perpetuate such class, a class that has no merit even in Islamic society. Of course it is
little wonder that late Yar’duwa, Lukman Rilwanu former oil minister, Sanusi and his family, are part of
this new attempt at producing a class of Muslims leaders who fester to the Nigerian oil and then banks.
“But one year on, Sanusi has earned the respect and trust of the international banking publics. None of
his critics have so far been able to unearth any misdemeanor or professional misconduct against him in
his banking career. His indignation is righteous then, even if frightfully unmeasured”.
So far he has ruined Nigerian International reputation in Banking given the unorthodox style of
execution. It is not the acclaim that he receives from his cheer leaders that is important but on how he is
to be perceived from elsewhere. Sanusi may be seen as a man of action by his group, but in terms of
what he is faced to accomplish, he has in many ways left several victims. Needless to point out that his
victims do not include members of the Sharia Advisory Committee. His victims include those who in
times past may have also suffered the intolerance of others. When we look at Banking as a feeder for
the country, we understand why Sanusi was citing a case for North that was so supposedly neglected
but the poverty of the North is more like the problem of one group controlling many of the wealth and
those who rely on them feed around them and sometimes do nothing. They are very certain that if it
goes bad someone will use the diversionary means employed by Sanusi to strip certain others of their
hard earned largesse and they call ‘them’ corrupted while envy will silence the most obdurate of them
all. “Strong and effective corporate governance is being enforced through the overhaul of the system of
board appointments, tenure, and the requirement for responsible and efficient management. An asset
management company (AMCON) has been established as a resolution vehicle to assist in the
recapitalization of the banks that have required CBN intervention”.
Lamido Sanusi came upon the scene literally on a white charger, fuming with righteous indignation.
Unlike his predecessor who was plucked from the academia, completely green in practical banking, SLS
combines both intellectualism and practical knowledge of banking, especially of risk management.
Before becoming the governor of CBN he already knew half of the shenanigans going on in the banking
industry and he was unimpressed by the affluence being flaunted by his colleagues in the banks. As CEO
of First Bank, brief as it was, he felt even affronted by the vain and inglorious display of materialism and
mediocrity by some of his peers. Then fate worked in his favor and he became governor of CBN
overnight.
There are new and qualitative policies being introduced by Sanusi’s CBN to bring sanity and stability to
the banking industry and growth to the real economy. Effective debt recovery measures have been
introduced in the banks, and they are now mandated to make full disclosures in their reports just as
harmonization of their accounting period is prescribed. Strong and effective corporate governance is
being enforced through the overhaul of the system of board appointments, tenure, and the requirement
for responsible and efficient management. An asset management company (AMCON) has been
established as a resolution vehicle to assist in the recapitalization of the banks that have required CBN
intervention.
Mr Sanusi Islamic Banking has its moments it is of some success in many parts of the world, like in South
East Asia. In Nigeria, we are very good people and we can allow our Muslim brothers to bring the best
part of their banking, and no group is that tolerable more than the East. Inviting 5 Islamic countries to
buy Nigerian banks or at least become majority stakes isn’t funny, but that’s exactly what Sanusi did.
These days, Muslim countries and their societies are not doing very badly and they include Muslim
Community Co-operative of Australia, Indonesia, Brunei, and so on, that render services and advisory to
Islam loyalist. These days we have all kinds of financial product like Islamic Financial Services, Muslim E
trade, ‘Muslim Yahoo Finance (Islamic Q)’. And then there are Arabic Banks that played a serious hand in
the spike of oil prices from 2001 – 2008, raising their ante against the West economic society and its
paean ancillary. It seem as if it is a hidden war to which Nigerians are forced to participate either/or.
The advice that he Madam Ngozi-Okonjo-Iweala has so far offered should be considered from the wrong
and right, but the product of that financial class which includes the current crop of managers at the
helm of Nigeria financial Cabal are advocating projects and programs that does not at the moment seem
to break the rules of economic growth, but has trapped Nigeria and the Nigerians into a future which
the development project will determine. There is little or nothing anyone has said about this and many
people who seem to support this position by the Nigerian President and the Minister for Finance and
Development Mrs Ngozi Okonji-Iweala has left no useful reaction to this development saying that of the
expenses associated with Crude oil.
What is the opportunity cost of removing oil subsidy? It is somewhere between 15-25% inflation which
is a form of taxes and outside the bargaining power of these Nigerians, they are expected to once
endure out the high rise of inflation of some quality.
The whole role call on why the public is expected to endure this situation failed to indicate that it was a
parsimony for IMF and WORLD BANK, as if the use of Euro or foreign denominated currency in Nigeria is
a sign of privilege or that the attempt of Nigerian Bankers to create in Lagos or Abuja a kind of Canary
Wharf is not absurd enough. It does appear that the African Economies are attempting to fund their own
investment on a level not quite seen before. Perhaps, it is the entrance of China or Re-entrance of Russia
into Africa that changed the focus of Africa, but others such as Robert Mugabe who has seen it all, may
not exactly identify with the new spirit. It does not mean that the end is here for the old type of African
Big man or woman, rather, a new period of economic transition and growth calls for Nigeria and African
involvement in total world affairs.
Perhaps it is foreign interest in a country like Nigeria that makes the difference. It began to take place in
sizable amount in recent times but only covered a few sector. This funds are mainly driven by private
and not public entities and there are pesky issues of development, degree of development associated
with state to state development or the decentralization of Lagos and Abuja as the hub of Nigerian
business life, whereas half a century ago, these centers included Aba, Calabar, and Kano, which as
central to the commerce weight of the country. And the idea of Federal Government expansion is the
opportunity cost of defraying its expenses to help its Government crusade on privatization. Since no
incentives for such bold endeavors exist, we have to mention that Nigerian financial structure needs a
new form of economic redemption or may be facing a present adverse effect with future consequences.
…………
Buhari vs Jonathan, let the real argument begin
Jan. 25th, 2015
By
Charles Soludo
This response to Soludo essay ‘Buhari vs. Jonathan; let the real debate begins’ is based in large part on a
response to Ernest Simeon Odior covering the chief problems of Nigerian economy and why the gaps in
budget and financing will paper out differently with additional shedding of Crude oil price.
Charles Soludo’s recent paper has attracted all kinds of attention including indigent responses from
Politicians who’s need to put the essay behind them or drive a force in considering the problems of
current political dispensation. It would be important that Lamido Sanusi responded – at least based on
those legitimately qualified with experience to do so – be he obviously can’t, he has a pontiff role to
perform as the Emir of Kano and as such his comments will be consigned to general reassuring
observation, like Shehu Shagari an original pontiff in his own right, the political wright (writ) and
arguments from these icons of recent statesmanship and cadre may or may over shadow the thrust of
Soludo’s arguments.
While both leading parties of PDP and APC may speak volumes about new roads, fire and electricity, -
and we have heard this before – airports, running water, and the new themes of Shipyards, Enugu dual
bridges, Owello road, Kano and Kaduna dualization, the unfinishable Benin – Ore – Shagamu highway,
NMBS and issue of housing authority, the Country really do not have the means and the resources for
these projects. To even pursue some of the projects, it was borrow on top of the money it has always
borrowed even when there is plenty to spend and when the budgets are ground breaking. This is the rea
story, we have enjoyed a period of seeming prosperity not because of the competence of the current
administration which he rated economically ‘f’ but because of the inability to meet the needs and
promises at his beck and call and the relying on further borrowing may put Nigeria below (BB –) which
Charles Soludo for the records achieved in office from D rating.
On a purely academic process, we may or may acknowledge the fact the bust of Nigeria Asset class, loss
of National property for instance crude oil to hungry idiots from elsewhere are part of the fundamental
deals with FDI and long term investment, are insinuations that can be located in Soludo’s use of
‘conditionalities’, to an extent that a short fall in any real market structure; debt to ratio, debt servicing,
and return rate due to porosity of currency rate and debasing of currency especially with the chief
operating companies in Nigeria overweight on their investment capacitance and commodity, can wipe
out in one year, a total life savings of a fixed income earner and benefactor of unemployment
compensation including a favorable continued time artificializing of IRS.
Many of the Short sales that arrived Nigeria from oversea and from Nigerians with more than one
International Repos in Nigeria are like Nigerians themselves betting on the collapse of Nigerian stock
exchange which stalled in the last few months and perhaps briefly lubricated with Presidential elections
spending. But for how long and to what extent is the spending? Put it different, it leads from Soludo’s
arguments and concerns that houses progress made conventionally and unconventionally in Lagos and
Abuja is not so much sustainable, that it requires additional national spending to ensure its future, else
these buildings will end up in hands of banks that has a stake in driving Nigerian Bond market reverted
to project A such as Electricity and Energy supply which Aganga engineered with the help of Goldman
Sachs.
To put it bluntly and using my own terms, Nigeria is basically a poor country that need real plans if has
any future plans of surviving the current economic depression. In essence, relying too much on crude oil
as the only cash crop is not without a finality which the easy money of the last decade leads from false
economy to sponsor a future of prosperity even when this is not the case. The nominated projects
including problems of housing in my beloved Riverine States, was not overcome during this
administration with its easier monetary income.
And to every extent, we can maintain our advocating for either essays of Soludo with a response to
Odior and from that response to the article as from Soludo we may argue that we are suggesting that
the article is not necessarily political, that given the economic conditions of the world presaging the
article’s composition, possibly written in December 2014, are ingredients in the global markets such as
crude oil price decline. The timing of the composition and publication suggest Soludo’s interest that is
not far from politics especially the spent force and energy arguments of GEJ’s official accomplishment
and recent linked-in pages.
Sailing above this politically of the responses to Soludo is the issue of the format and intellectual
brocade over and around the Zeist of 2015. The critical format of Soludo’s argument and the man’S
natural power of delivery is what seem to now divide the country, nesting between the legitimacy of
GEJ’s return to office and the images of Buhari with austerity to reckon against backdrop of the end of
Shaghari’s administration. The major punch line in his evolving essay and which can be argued from the
position of an economist is the comparison between the Shagari’s later day administration and the rise
of crude oil prices which did not end very well with many States still starving and owed back to back
salaries. He leaped frog into the problems of the current administration with the intervention of the
military in 1983 and why there was the issue of Austerity. In some sense, there is a decline which he was
perhaps indicating from the evocation of the 7 point policies of Obasanjo that seem to be a throwback
to the past.
A summary of Charles Soludo’s essays is hard to box in, but he is essentially decrying,
(1) the lavish psychology of the country in the years of its boom and why there is need to look at what
the country holds for you under the ‘f’ class economic class under these new bishops of Nigerian
financial, warranting a reaction from Pat Utomi who went a shade away from ‘consumptive budget’ to
questions of spending parallel to New Deal and his Lee Kwan Yew. Sometimes you wander if this man is
playing the country towards a socialist ideology, and wonder how fittingly APC resembles socialism or
was his endorsement due to Fashola who was proved a lightning rod for APC political stake in Nigeria.
(2) The second denomination of Soludo’s writing is the issue of solution to the problem, which he
believe to be necessary given the debt Nigeria sank into when the government shifted from surplus and
easy money of crude oil boom from late 70’s through to early 80’s and why Nigeria’s failure in preparing
for a possible hard and difficult times is not met with serious and competent economic agenda.
The root problem it’s not the spending or the proposed spending by either parties, or the benevolence
to expand the government, we can only guess even from Soludo’s piece that the main event is how to
realize the money against the unbundling of new economic realities and demographic. He did not
specify how basic economic changes can be reached and met, but seem to suggest that poor
administration of the duties of financial ministers and the errors involved in federal accounting process
is the major reasons why there is a problem primary to preparedness.
(3) The third principal issue raised by Soludo is the preparedness of both parties, although a response
from Governor of Ekiti State Kayode Fayemi attempted to show the policies and plans of APC, Fayemi
was ‘flying on engine’ with his comments, especially for a man who has never visited South East for a
Start. Some of the APC programs including the promise of creating 20, 000 jobs in every states, are
government problem item requiring still another round on spending. PDP to argue has the programs
that covers new police equipment, border control and patrol for custom, reformation of the jails in
Nigeria* (my favorite) and renovation for 120 Eminent School for high school education, grants, grid
system electricity, rehabilitation of health, farm and agriculture, wildlife preservation and fish industries
and hatcheries, detective for airports and port security, mines and national park programs, local
intelligence corporation using high speed internet and crime support units, employment benefit and
improved pension and back to incentives (another favorite), all of these can’t be a single parties
cooperative agenda, it is part of the national planning which PDP cannot ameliorate.
(4) The other political item which needs not to be rehearsed is the issue of local political bandwagon,
with emphasis to arena where Charles Soludo once pursued political interest; Anambra, his commentary
on Peter Obi, warranted a vacillating reaction from Anambra Peter Obi who is on his way out or so it
seems in Anambra. This point he made in his essay warranted a reaction from Peter Obi’s media
consultant Valentine Obienyem, and from this range of group of argument the more thorough issue of
economic recovery and economic balance sheet which GEJ is wrestling to overcome showed up
differently and remains part of the reactionary tendencies in other people who are looking to be heard.
(5) The problems of accountability where he questioned the missing 30 trillion naira from Nigeria and
erroneous administrative measures implored Nigeria’s current finance and economic minister Ngozi
Okonjo Iweala, who should or should not be blamed for some of the woes of the country which the ex-
governor of CBN mentioned in his essays – perhaps committing in his second essays the same fallacies
as Lamido Sanusi that injured the operability of a CBN as grudgingly repaired by Godwin Emefiele.
We begin from the end, by citing the issue of corporate finances raised by the authors.
Should the finance and economic coordinator be blamed, the answer is no, not entirely. But it could
however be said that specific areas of the economic monetary and capital flights in Nigeria under her
administrative belt make her a scape goat and ultimately guilty for the poor and non-existing financial
accounts of Nigeria. Perhaps a separation between Economic Coordination should be partition from
Nigerian Finance, that both ministries in future should consider a difference between accounting
procedures and price penetration of its investment categories.
With advent of military leadership in 1983 under very spurious and questionable circumstances of
Buhari and Idiagbon we can enter some of the frayed arguments by Soludo as if from a vintage which
only a few Nigerians can access. But this vintage in the years that Soludo was in Nigeria, may or may not
have been so precise that Nigeria’s sophistry included the inoculations of Sanusi and at debasement
impregnation of Nigeria by Oscar Onyema is a country that is shocking behind many nations of world, to
a point that its lack of adjacent philosophical procedure and entailment of business logic, it’s a concern
that must not be taken lightly on any account in the country.
Soludo was right that both parties looking to re-enter Nigerian politics were not prepared to deal with
the problems that country is having. For sure, he couldn’t have known the difference between economic
theories guiding the country if he was in Nigeria, his switch of official positon from neutral and
pampering iconoclastic in Nigeria affairs including his reserves on some of his assumptions of future of
the country assumed a tidal wave when he was moved to overseas and see what many of us have seen,
a country far below its capacity level, and looking to be redeemed.
There is also the questionable character of the current Petroleum Chairperson, who as some people may
or may not have known, its over-night one of the richest persons in Nigeria, worth in recent times,
billions of dollars. The accounting strategies in Nigerian is way below standards, and the accounting
procedure of the existing economic countries of Nigeria is so personal that it is impossible to outdo the
Madam Iweala and minister of Petroleum as generally accountable to these problems in Nigerian
finances. If one is willing to add….
Paul C Nwabuikwu speaking on behalf of Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, pointed out that during the period in
question, Nollywood, Bank Development, NMRC (Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Corporation) were
created including the 6 million farmers in Nigeria, all of which requiring government spending. In all
reality we could suggest that part of the budget expansion of federal government and the provisions for
these new but minor introductions of changes in Nigeria, but may be considered part of fiscal policy and
expansion following the….has little or nothing to offer Nigerians and the President saving for issues of….
“On the issue of debt, Nigerians deserve to know the truth and we have said it before. The truth is that
the government borrowed in 2010 to pay an unprecedented 53.7 percent wage increase to all
categories of federal employees as demanded by labour unions. The total wage bill rose from N857
billion in 2009 to about N1.4 trillion in 2010, and as a result, domestic borrowing increased from N200
billion in 2007 to about N1.1 trillion in 2010 to meet the wage payments. Where was Soludo at the
time? Why did he not react to the borrowing then? Was it because he wanted to pander to labour in
preparation for his political career? (Nigerian Eye, January 28th, 2015) …..
In Madam Iweala words, “an embittered loser in the Nigerian political space” that is “so derailed” to
“commit intellectual harakiri by deliberately misquoting economic facts and maliciously turning statistics
on their head to justify a hatchet job”. Whereas the madam cannot justify her position on Soludo on any
count and for any reason, this position is ultimately wrong. She seems to fail to deal with some of the
numbers in Soludo’s message than arguing from a general point of view. From a general point of view,
the argument seems to give her general defense mechanism, yet in all, the mechanism she implies is
faulty to a certain extent. For all we can suggest and speaking with her general point of view without in
this case indulging Soludo’s point, we can point out that Soludo’s essays mentions that an increase of
crude oil prices occurred between $40 a barrel during his time reaching $60, to a $100 a barrel until
fairly recently.
He used a leverage to enter the argument of Shehu Shagari where he insisted that the boom in crude oil
did not guarantee employment or full employment, and from all accounts, the problem of employment
may be rooted in the disbursement process to these workers in the States whose wages were not paid
in spite of the boom and as such fixed and resources allocation took a beaten and was not fully met and
guaranteed. Shehu Shagari problems were not necessarily patriotic – he was and still one of the
thoroughbred of Nigerian politics and Pan African West African – he’s was the problem of corruption
hence a correlation between his administration and the current oil swelling and easy money
administration of our current President Goodluck Jonathan.
In Charles Soludo’s words, “For comparisons, President Obasanjo met about $5 billion in foreign
reserves, and the average monthly oil price for the 72 months he was in office was $38, and yet he left
$43 billion in foreign reserves after paying $12 billion to write-off Nigeria’s external debt. In the last five
years, the average monthly oil price has been over $100, and the quantity also higher but our foreign
reserves have been declining and exchange rate depreciating.
“My calculation is that if the economy was better managed, our foreign reserves should have been
between $102 –$118 billion and exchange rate around N112 before the fall in oil prices. As of now, the
reserves should be around $90 billion and exchange rate no higher than N125 per dollar.”
We can loosely argue for and against both engineers of finance and two time GEJ cabal; Cabal Madam
Okonjo Iweala and Bishop Charles Soludo who is defining the generic, the political dogma. These two
may or may not have been primus inter pares of Nigerian economy, or political Irokos defining a party’s
agenda, whereas a party is just a social and political gang engaged in civil party and leadership right, it is
a back seat or so it seems for an oval office or political appointment of import.
The point is that quantity of currency or quantity of money in expansionary market policy seems to
show that there is a deficiency gap in considering a digital money, slightly different from Credits cards
and Debit cards, to psychologically discourage the tendency to spend or expenditures with respect to
Robert Mundel and Harry Johnson, who see the relationship between purchase and balance sheet
economic unraveling as similar to expenditure or study of expenditures, which are necessary for
improving aggregate demands but do not have to toe the lines of John Keynes even though he should be
absorbed of the comparison and shadowing in of his monetary policies by Harry Johnson who see
Keynes as fatal example of old forms of economic theories. But in the context of quantity of money
given the mindset of Fisher and his MV = PY, Friedman’s MV (f.) (Money velocity, compared to
Friedman’s money supply, may show that the two angles on both equations should emphasis quantity of
money where price theory is reversion to what we have.
And in the programs endorsed by the Bishop Charles Soludo, Emir Lamido Sanusi, OBJ, Cabal Ngozi
Okonjo-Iweala and GEJ, were leading expansionary government programs, need to emphasis the
spurious impact on the country through its core inflation. Madam Ngozi Iweala also made the comments
that “Soludo has shamelessly pandered to so many past leaders that Nigerians are asking one more time
– what position is Soludo gunning for now?”, the comments stem somewhat from elsewhere and in the
middle of this somewhere it’s an unfinished affair of Soludo exiting from office, since the opening
accounts of Soludo’s piece emphasis that he was not courting official position or seeking political office.
His statement may be political tossed as a warranted disclaimer for reasons of ulterior motivations or
foreseeing hints of political tuning, may also be considered a throw off and false advertising of some
measure but the heat in the argument is in its seriousness may be reduced to a form of adhominem
which the statement essentially assumes to mitigate, for all intent of reason, the Madam had her
reasons for inserting damaging castigation although as a noble intellect, but such castigating it’s like her
serving a bad apple at the beginning of good buffet.
Nigerians are starving believe or not does not mean Soludo’s argument is right, Nigeria may lack political
agenda does not mean they are not essentially prepared. It is not the so called Federal Government to
provision for the rest of the Country piecemeal to deliver an economy that protects all asunder, it is up
to the country as a unit to development its financial and literary capacities and force a tentative change.
Madam Ngozi Iweala argued that, “There is definitely an issue of character with Prof. Charles Soludo and
his desperate search for power and relevance in Nigeria. Nigerians should therefore beware of so-called
intellectuals without character and wisdom because this combination is fatal,”, it is a fair and faraway
argument which we can understand from a different premise, that Ravi (2007) delimited cycles of
inflation “And of an economic slump is triggered by inflationary pressures, monetary expansion begets
escalating inflation without curing the recession.”
“When interest rates fall, bond prices move in the opposite direction. So bond investors reaped huge
gains. However, elderly retires suffered greatly, because many of them live on their interest incomes
which plummeted.” Commodity futures… Investment as structure is not a new argument; it is a
reasonable argument used by a Ravi to check of the Capitalist tendencies of actual world.
For if this is true, we can see the difference between Friedman and Fisher, since Velocity argued from its
impact on interest rate can be considered money, where interest rate which as Ben Bernanke
mentioned is price, therefore interest rate and funds rate is rate of money and its velocity is
concomitant to the argument about the supply of money – my demand cave – and probably attributable
to the early levels or stage of the rates and flows of money in action, the M1, that at end of flow, there
is a new level of quantity of money theory that straddle between M1 and M2, which is the path created
by the expansion or contraction as the underlining securities and how well it stays with the return of
money; the derivative, that the end of flow of rate of money, there is a diminishing of the correlation
between the rate of money and velocity to the money in circulation which is not exactly knowable.
Therefore one function which Soludo’s argument did not perform is the rate of money and its relevance
to price, beginning at the receiving end of the flow and velocity of bull-like easy money to a bear period
with finagling and penchant for claw back. For if we consider that the scalar and vector quantity is added
to the first rate of monetary expansion and the upside it’s in inflation, there is a tendency to mitigate
inflation through a fund’s rate that can be achieved from interest rate preceding a future money actions
by Federal Reserves or Central Bank, such that the conditions of money to expire its flow is Sound
Money, whereas the flow measured from a period of spending may not necessary smoother out, it is
Stable money.
The price of product or manufacturing than the quantity of money redeemed by inflation or inflationary
pressure, although by price theory, these paths cross each other only if we explain it through M2 as
equal to the supply of money, and by nominal interpretation will create a bad receipt for expansionary
path of a final product increasing a central bank expansion, and the propensity to leverage a system ;
that a such propensity increases derivatives and options as opposed to the path suffered from M2 in
explicating velocity where sharp difference exist, which will argue that sensitive inflationary conditions
nominally decreases a propensity to leverage an underlying security or cave a derivative.
What we may argue also is that the conception is only good on paper, since in real life, people tend to
take more risk when there is little chance of profit and not the other way round. The only explanation to
this is what I tend to offer, that as much fixed rates are in US linked to US Government bonds perhaps
the case in Europe and housing numbers and mortgage linked to fixed income without necessarily
torching permanent money.
It constitutes trade deficit which is just as similar and the same as car parts. The flooding of Nigerian
economy and market with foreign paper, which were not redeemed through direct investment rather
redeemed through public and private acquisition of shares, means by numbers you lock out the local
investors who are still cheap, cherishing but perishing the new integration of their economy through the
internet.
In the words of Soludo, we infer the following, “The economy roared to average yearly growth of 7%
between 2003 and 2007 (although average monthly oil price under his regime was $38), and poverty
dropped from estimated 70% in1999 to 54% in 2004. Obasanjo was his own coordinating minister of the
economy and chairman of the economic management team— which he chaired for 90 minutes every
week. I met with him daily. In other words, he did not outsource economic management. We expected
that the next government after Obasanjo would take the economy to the next level. So far, we have had
two great slogans: the 7-point agenda and currently, the transformation agenda. They remain empty
slogans without content or direction.”
Pat Utomi, (Feb 1st, 2015) compared Soludo’s argument to Deeprak Lal and between quantitative
easing…“Soludo’s solutions sometimes sounded like Deepak Lal on the poverty of Development
Economics. I think that if we see current oil price slum as an opportunity rather than a threat then we
have to see a role for government in the way Lee Kuan Yew used state intervention when Singapore was
prostrate in 1965, as Nigeria is today.” What Pat Utomi, Peter Obi, missed so far from his argument, is
the comparison between the Obasanjo’s 7 point policies with IMF transition strategy from Government
based production units to private business and by private handlers.
Break it down…
ECOWAS; Economic Community of West African States began it full swing in 1979, set against the
cultural unity of Expo '77, West Africa, braced the region for a future which included single currency
money – at the chief argument of the commentators and chosen heads from the exposition in TOGO,
but did not incorporate the price of that economic banter, for instance, debt across the border,
problems of credit and the issue of acceptance in the Global economy.
We need here to rehearse some of the teachings and assumptions in this piece that one, Nigerian Oil
Subsidy, ECOWAS; Economic community of West African States, Government policies driving currencies,
SAP; Structural adjustment programs, WAI; War against indiscipline, Better life Program, 1986 Austerity
Measures, Privatization Scheme, Removal of Crude oil Subsidy have all come and gone but IMF has still
tied the country's future to these schemes and to Debt that don't count as a credit and has forced
Nigeria and some West African countries downward with its policies, policies that even a progressive
third world economy like Nigeria, can no longer absorb.
In Nigeria and in West Africa these days, we hear of the 'Millennium Development Goals', 'Privatization
Schemes', 'Balance of Payment', 'Austerity Measures' (removal of oil subsidy), 'Foreign Direct
Investment', IDAs, FDI; Foreign Direct Investment', 'Debt Crisis', but all of these are IMF measures which
Nigeria that is U.S centered has no real party. But these Schemes exist today and part of the Obasanjo’s
7 point policy and part of Nigerian politics and part of the Nigerian running of their plans for BETTER
LIFE. It involves a kind of budget expansion which the switch in the process essentially combines for the
best of the process or transition from the process.
The problem with this budget expansion is the issue of long term investment, the Vanilla for instance
that Oscar Onyema was selling to Nigerian and Foreign Investors, and the attention to long term bond
that NEPA, GEJ and Aganga (the other bishop) of GEJ’s financial starship were marketing to the world
could not have survived the heavy and overlooked price pressure from bank stocks given the debt to
investment which forex normally stall, or given the widening gap of Nigerian economic depression or
newly privatized economy based on their local rate of return other than Gross Domestic Product which
adds FDI to it as opposed to VAR and housing index.
The debt to investment will stall and will continue to widen and Nigeria will never get to it or get over it.
To understand the problems of a third world transitional processes involving in leading a local economy
from poor urban environment to a more technology based economy, we need to demarcate between
the issues of GDP and GNP which due to additional foreign investment, widens, excretes good numbers
to the rest of world, rebase, or debased processes, but above all, it is a paradox of the local economy….
This better life the case of Argentina and Mexico, like Brazil of the 70's and Korea of 70’s will not be
achieved under these programs that are run by IMF. Part of these measures is that it leads to something
when benefitting, and we are tempted to ask how can a transition from one program to another take
place, for it seems that the process of Free Trade agreement exercising itself in Europe and now the
North America operates, usually leads to the lands of regional exchange and single currency. Not before
the wasting and rubbishing of the local currency and economy making it easier to penetrate or exploit.
In proper light, the measure at work is similar to EU, compared from every angle; it is similar to the
future ideas of regional government and higher penetration of existing Companies.
Nigerians has been forced to blend in to the fact that there is a New World Money Order called Euro.
There is nothing wrong in accepting the doctrines of European Union and it does not seem that the
policies pursued by Europe are as bad and misleading policy. Yes, some versions of the policies are
desperate conceived for Third World economies or whatever name that is applicable and in terms of the
quality of European Economy and its no-grow economy, these IMF programs and loans are very not
called for and are basically predisposed to debtors damages.
The trick of this process is that a poor execution procedure in narrating Harry Johnson’s account from
the new reality of Mundell regional currencies, give and take on one critical aspect of all these schools
and perhaps why the systematic argument of the quantity theorist may not fully apply unless as I
mentioned from Western Union and Currency wars, that the a single in all its measure of economic
value is also a market quantity.
Needless to say that their book raised several questions about the illusions of West Economic Society
and NIE 'New International Economic Order' as derived from Europe, questions it did not answer,
perhaps better explicated as questions which did not exactly converted for answers. But from the
defense pact and from policies prodded by individual Government in West Africa, it seems common
sense that the business structure between these West African countries was likely to change or
expected to change, so also the structure and business of its local Community and Nigeria is not
different. What have witnessed in the last decade or so is that the paper currency and the call for a new
Nigeria and West Africa are actually hijacked by private interest from all and asunder.
A short précis of Pat Utomi and Madam Ngozi Nkonjo Iweala (II)
The economic fiber of Nigeria was rubbished by cell phone application of process, for if I for one, made
the argument in New York in 1998 during a small NITEL meeting trying to attract business that the future
of Nigeria was cell phone industries not land lines based on the report of cell phone successes in the Low
lands of EUROPE or Nordic circle where land lines could reach. A new APP on Africa was also launched
and it showed original studies on the need for high tech over low tech even for the once the locals
couldn’t afford. It was therefore a waste of time to pursue land lines when the means of communication
that made it possible its easier through cell phones. In addition to these ideas, Motorola was making its
presence felt in Lagos and to some extent in many parts of Nigeria. Another unraveling of the new age
economy of these Nigerians was their film industries which stunt in quality with a shift from….
The rest is history which is perhaps in-gathering like Weather Conditions, and many of us may wry a
smile since the devastation did not leave us amused at the beginning and may be seen to have
completely given the high price and pernicious prices Nigerians were forced to pay for, I seem not to
regret that the industries which are so emphasized will pose this unconventional inflationary pressure
and problems in Nigeria.
We may argue that the prices of cell phones are lower than ever, but Transcorp which Obasanjo and
Iweala including Soludo brought to Nigeria, were so private and privatized that they are probably part if
not majority owners of this International conglomerates that acquired NITEL for pennies. From
Transcorp we indulge half the argument raised by Soludo and half the issue meted out by Iweala and
from the sidewalk of price and price theory, it becomes easier to see why the problems a country like
Nigeria is experiencing and why the world – or in this case Soludo should take note in estimating the
effects of State imposed transition from State controlled production units to private hands and
management in any local economy.
For if we apply some measure of financial processes to this example, we notice the irrational and the
human side of money and self-preservation at the center of this privatization scheme. No true economic
hit-man or woman will fail wring the neck of these noise making Nigerians and without their knowing it
if the seating Government such as Obasanjo and his compeers will be enticed to a 7 point strategy and
they will fail. The dark side of such a scheme is that Upper House Theater is created, a vacuum system is
generated and by selling a mere idea that moves business into your hands as the seating president or
governor, will compel you and your company to defend this upper house problems of price theory. In
terms of the rubbishing of Nigerian economy in the earlier years of the cell phone industries for a start,
it is the price of supporting your lifestyle in Nigerian that suffered the most.
With direct protection of these areas of business which was part of the so called 7 point, you offer these
mercenaries all the materials they need to essentially rob your country and fleece it dry. Look at
differently and not to digress, many companies that made money from Nigerian Telephone industries
moved their resources elsewhere almost every month. South Africans made more money from Nigerian
cell phones that all the Nigerians companies put together, and these companies charged and bilked
Nigerians rejoicing almost detrimentally of their new found connection that they forgot that the
resources where already existing, the only that needed to be done, was authorized a protection by the
federal government usually when a transfer of power from, military to democratically elected offices
take place, and the rest of the reaping was a second matter.
We cannot push the indelicacy of this hit economy called Nigeria to Petroleum, for if we care to look at
process involved in emasculating the OPEC out of its control of Nigerian Oil block, or the processes
involved in breaking down some of the congestion with Shell which Halliburton did, leaving Exxonmobile
in charge of Nigerian resources many oil well South-South of the Country and the boundaries
with Cameroons, we find that the profit which are touted from this process of resource allocation to
federal purse, are no longer easy to demonstrate and are in fact out of control.
Recently, GEJ asked every group drilling and bunking crude oil from off the continental shelf of the
Riverine areas to disembark their boats or have it blown to bits and he did. We measure however that
even with the rise of the crude oil prices to 100 per barrel, and Nigeria removing itself cyclical crude oil
subsidies; meaning, Government has to subsidies on the price of crude oil as a way to easy off the
problems of inflation which a rise of crude oil prices or even a market level perorate prices entering
public consumption creates the problem of continuous disequilibrium ----usually private decision
function based on price theory----but in time past, with hard and fast military whose corruption was not
something dissimilar, the country was paying too much and essentially wasting it as opposed to saving
some of the money for latter day or macro government (increasing consumption budget) by definition,
which Madam Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, argued in the interest of Nigeria and fattening the saving purse of
the treasury, which in the end, may lead to more government spending than the unconventional tactics
of inflation control.
For a point, this subsidies are probably not necessary yet on the same point, removing the subsidies is
torturing the bond market, which naturally offload investment from long term comfort and
sustainability to short term – placing a separate funk on the Stock market, whereas momentum shift the
emphasis of growth to paper currency, shadow banking and inflation in the country especially at the
time of easy money. We may also come to understand the shift at this level occurs when a housing
number shoots ahead other CPI measures in the country.
For if we care to look at the poverty level in the Nigeria, we may notice a bipolar trend, one, a shrink of
populist idea of poverty; there are more Nigerians with houses than ever and more Nigerians with cars
than and cell phone to booth, but the laxity of economy survey gives way to more problems overall
economic growth which is implosion of Nigerian mid class and shocking debasing of its quality of life.
In some sense, most Nigerians are actually starving from even the most available of resources than ever
before, yet compared to poor examples of market resources like we have in Lagos and we have in Abuja
with oversea dumping of resources in Nigeria more than anytime, you are likely to accept there is
emergence of a 1% population in Nigeria with all the money which will not buy much still, and the big
gulf of proper and green market in Nigeria given the deepening crisis which is gradually coming.
In spite of the write off of Nigerian debt under Obasanjo which Soludo maintained in his essay, and the
swelling of resource allocation and sovereign wealth, property from all asunder including the increases
of crude oil prices swelled the chances of inflation. GEJ to be sure administration actually owes the
world dangerous amount of money and in terms of Soludo argument, outside the issue of Sound money.
In terms of NEPA which are said to be privatized very soon, who idea that was is not clear, the price of
protecting the inflation and not the output of Electric energy, for they could not save enough or realize
to even ensure the health of an economy, in spite of the condition.
The question is not transition from government owned industries to private business during which a
country experiences its highest changes and churn off more business and economic harvest than ever.
We take an instance the issue of privatization from many parts of the Global Macro applies also in
Nigeria, may therefore be leading the suggestion that with the advent of free trade in some parts of the
world for instance the NAFTA, allays the fears of Soludo assuming we bump him up on his argument, for
when privatization in Europe and in North America reached a deciding and critical level, the new owners
of the business gradually began to shift to debt and rate of return.
Essay VI
Response to Soludo essay ‘Buhari vs. Jonathan; let the real debate begin
By
Sampson I.M Onwuka
This response to Soludo essay ‘Buhari vs. Jonathan; let the real debate begin is based in large part on a
response to Ernest Simeon Odior covering the chief problems of Nigerian economy and why the gaps in
budget and financing will paper out differently with additional shedding of Crude oil price.
Charles Soludo’s recent paper has attracted all kinds of attention including indigent responses from
Politicians who’s need to put the essay behind them or drive a force in considering the problems of
current political dispensation. It would be important that Lamido Sanusi responded – at least based on
those legitimately qualified with experience to do so – be he obviously can’t, he has a pontiff role to
perform as the Emir of Kano and as such his comments will be consigned to general reassuring
observation, like Shehu Shagari an original pontiff in his own right, the political wright (writ) and
arguments from these icons of recent statesmanship and cadre may or may over shadow the thrust of
Soludo’s arguments.
While both leading parties of PDP and APC may speak volumes about new roads, fire and electricity, -
and we have heard this before – airports, running water, and the new themes of Shipyards, Enugu dual
bridges, Owello road, Kano and Kaduna dualization, the unfinishable Benin – Ore – Shagamu highway,
NMBS and issue of housing authority, the Country really do not have the means and the resources for
these projects. To even pursue some of the projects the country has borrow on top of the preexisting
debt. Nigeria has always borrowed even when there is plenty to spend and when the budget is ground
breaking. This is the real story, we have enjoyed a period of seeming prosperity not because of the
competence of the current administration which he rated economically ‘f’ but because of the inability to
meet the needs and promises at his beck and call and the relying on further borrowing may put Nigeria
below (BB –) which Charles Soludo for the records achieved in office from D rating.
In one of the responses to Soludo by Madam Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala's words, “an embittered loser in the
Nigerian political space” that is “so derailed” to “commit intellectual harakiri by deliberately misquoting
economic facts and maliciously turning statistics on their head to justify a hatchet job”. Whereas the
madam cannot justify her position on Soludo on any count and for any reason, this position is ultimately
wrong. She seems to fail to deal with some of the numbers in Soludo’s message than arguing from a
general point of view. From a general point of view, the argument seems to give her general defense
mechanism, yet in all, the mechanism she implies is faulty to a certain extent. For all we can suggest and
speaking with her general point of view without in this case indulging Soludo’s point, we can point out
that Soludo’s essays mentions that an increase of crude oil prices occurred between $40 a barrel during
his time reaching $60, to a $100 a barrel until fairly recently.
He used a leverage to enter the argument of Shehu Shagari where he insisted that the boom in crude oil
did not guarantee employment or full employment, and from all accounts, the problem of employment
may be rooted in the disbursement process to these workers in the States whose wages were not paid
in spite of the boom and as such fixed and resources allocation took a beaten and was not fully met and
guaranteed. Shehu Shagari problems were not necessarily patriotic – he was and still one of the
thoroughbred of Nigerian politics and Pan African West African – he’s was the problem of corruption
hence a correlation between his administration and the current oil swelling and easy money
administration of our current President Goodluck Jonathan. In Charles Soludo’s words,
Another important response which is not the greatest is by Pat Utomi…..which here we can briefly, “This
leads to another point I am not in agreement with Soludo on. He talks about cost of programs and the
fact that low oil prices mean you cannot finance a big idea. In 1965 Singapore’s main revenues came
from rent for the British Naval Base and the British had decided to shut all bases east of Eden. The
decision of leaders of the United Malay, National Organizational (UMNO) to eject Singapore from the
Federation that was thought to be the only hope left.”
“Let’s ask people, regarding incumbents, is your life better today than it was four years ago and to the
challengers how can you make these same lives much better four years from now. (?)” (Vanguard News
February 1st, 2015)
The main event of the problems associated with the 1920's and the Age of Depression is whether or not
equilibrium is possible with the changes in GDP as opposed to having full employment, and can inflation
occur when there is full employment? In one Nutshell, we can reduce the question to this standard
Virginia University 'Portable MBA' asked a question, “Is it possible to have an equilibrium at some level
of GDP other than full employment, and is it possible to have inflation at a level of GDP below full
employment" Keynes argument that in order to 'stimulate the economy' there's need for the
government to intervene to improve aggregate demand through 'expansionary' fiscal and monetary
policy, was derived from his thesis that depression in the world was due to insufficiency of Demand, that
a sort of deflation essentially took place in U.S of the 30's and such there's need for more government
spending.
But this theory mainly works in a nearly successful economy like U.S of the 20's and 30's, and Europe
sometime later. In a country like Nigeria, a theory of munificence through spending has little or no merit
unless we admit to ourselves that the country has been a Depression or simply a form of crisis. In fact it
could be disastrous to prove will have the country towards a fulfilled future if does not. It is therefore
economic bias to suppose that as such Government spending was a way to push towards full
employment, which in turn improves the resources of the buying crowd.
It is true that Keynes Identified 'insufficient demand' as the reason why there was general fall in prices,
wages, and it is quite clear that he may have identified a problem associated with the 'demand' hence
the supply of financial resources if need be was important. Insufficient demand is not the problem in
Nigeria. It is however possible that Keynes identified a problem and not the problem. If this theory
applies to recovery, then recoveries involve useful government spending then, Keynes was mainly been
notional about the macro implications of his theory. However separated from these theories is the plain
fact of a single currency over a broadest possible extent, could it be that the changes that govern
investment is left to the agreement possible demands or the largest portions of any society having some
access to the theory of Aggregate Supply and Demand is a remedy for economic recovery and as such
only 'probably' good for recovery - even though the theory is applied everywhere and for every
occasion. What is the economic theory?
This theory does not help our understanding on how to grow in any economy; the most important
aspect of any economy is growth. In essence we are left with what really happens when any nation on
earth is meeting expectations but experiencing a growth problem like Europe? Or, when a country is not
meeting expectation but also growing like in Nigeria. That latter is a sample of a sluggish economy and
sluggish economy often lead to a breaking of economic structural and then a country leans to old and
proven theories as a way to recover. There is the spending or the expansion of the Nigerian
Government, and it is common sense that inflation and foreign direct investment gives the impression
that you are growing, and a cut back on spending which usually follow, could be a symptom signaling a
further dive into depression.
On a purely academic process, we may or may acknowledge the fact the bust of Nigeria Asset class, loss
of National property for instance crude oil to hungry idiots from elsewhere are part of the fundamental
deals with FDI and long term investment, are insinuations that can be located in Soludo’s use of
‘conditionalities’, to an extent that a short fall in any real market structure; debt to earn ratio, debt
servicing, and return rate due to porosity of currency rate and debasing of currency especially with the
chief operating companies in Nigeria overweight on their investment capacitance and commodity, can
wipe out in one year, a total life savings of a fixed income earner and benefactor of unemployment
compensation including a favorable continued time artificial to IRS.
Many of the Short sales that arrived Nigeria from oversea and from Nigerians with more than one
International Repos in Nigeria are like Nigerians themselves betting on the collapse of Nigerian stock
exchange which stalled in the last few months and perhaps briefly lubricated with Presidential elections
spending. But for how long and to what extent is the spending? Put it different, it leads from Soludo’s
arguments and concerns that houses progress made conventionally and unconventionally in Lagos and
Abuja is not so much sustainable, that it requires additional national spending to ensure its future, else
these buildings will end up in hands of banks that has a stake in driving Nigerian Bond market reverted
to project A such as Electricity and Energy supply which Aganga engineered with the help of Goldman
Sachs.
To put it bluntly and using my own terms, Nigeria is basically a poor country that need real plans if has
any future plans of surviving the current economic depression. In essence, relying too much on crude oil
as the only cash crop is not without a finality which the easy money of the last decade leads from false
economy to sponsor a future of prosperity even when this is not the case. The nominated projects
including problems of housing in my beloved Riverine States, was not overcome during this
administration with its easier monetary income.
And to every extent, we can maintain our advocating for either essays of Soludo with a response to
Odior and from that response to the article as from Soludo we may argue that we are suggesting that
the article is not necessarily political, that given the economic conditions of the world presaging the
article’s composition, possibly written in December 2014, are ingredients in the global markets such as
crude oil price decline. The timing of the composition and publication suggest Soludo’s interest that is
not far from politics especially the spent force and energy arguments of GEJ’s official accomplishment
and recent linked-in pages.
Sailing above this politically of the responses to Soludo is the issue of the format and intellectual
brocade over and around the Zeist of 2015. The critical format of Soludo’s argument and the man’S
natural power of delivery is what seem to now divide the country, nesting between the legitimacy of
GEJ’s return to office and the images of Buhari with austerity to reckon against backdrop of the end of
Shaghari’s administration. The major punch line in his evolving essay and which can be argued from the
position of an economist is the comparison between the Shagari’s later day administration and the rise
of crude oil prices which did not end very well with many States still starving and owed back to back
salaries. He leaped frog into the problems of the current administration with the intervention of the
military in 1983 and why there was the issue of Austerity. In some sense, there is a decline which he was
perhaps indicating from the evocation of the 7 point policies of Obasanjo that seem to be a throwback
to the past.
A summary of Charles Soludo’s essays is hard to box in, but he is essentially decrying, (1) the lavish
psychology of the country in the years of its boom and why there is need to look at what the country
holds for you under the ‘f’ class economic class under these new bishops of Nigerian financial,
warranting a reaction from Pat Utomi who went a shade away from ‘consumptive budget’ to questions
of spending parallel to New Deal and his Lee Kwan Yew. Sometimes you wander if this man is playing the
country towards a socialist ideology, and wonder how fittingly APC resembles socialism or was his
endorsement due to Fashola who was proved a lightning rod for APC political stake in Nigeria.
Although in Utomi he scores less, when he mentions that “To win elections from intimidation, a shower
of insults and trying to diminish opponents rather than engage their minds can only produce Pyrrhic
victory. The worst such “victory” would be to win an election and lose a nation through bitterness that
makes it difficult to get people to work together to advance the shared good of the people. For people
like me the public sphere is about the pursuit of the elevated immortality.” This comment is really within
APC and less characteristic of the man who intent to invent as a candidate in a near election.
(2) The second denomination of Soludo’s writing is the issue of solution to the problem, which he
believe to be necessary given the debt Nigeria sank into when the government shifted from surplus and
easy money of crude oil boom from late 70’s through to early 80’s and why Nigeria’s failure in preparing
for a possible hard and difficult times is not met with serious and competent economic agenda.
The root problem it’s not the spending or the proposed spending by either parties, or the benevolence
to expand the government, we can only guess even from Soludo’s piece that the main event is how to
realize the money against the unbundling of new economic realities and demographic. He did not
specify how basic economic changes can be reached and met, but seem to suggest that poor
administration of the duties of financial ministers and the errors involved in federal accounting process
is the major reasons why there is a problem primary to preparedness.
(3) The third principal issue raised by Soludo is the preparedness of both parties, although a response
from Governor of Ekiti State Kayode Fayemi attempted to show the policies and plans of APC, Fayemi
was ‘flying on engine’ with his comments, especially for a man who has never visited South East for a
Start. Some of the APC programs including the promise of creating 20, 000 jobs in every states, are
government problem item requiring still another round on spending. PDP to argue has the programs
that covers new police equipment, border control and patrol for custom, reformation of the jails in
Nigeria* (my favorite) and renovation for 120 Eminent School for high school education, grants, grid
system electricity, rehabilitation of health, farm and agriculture, wildlife preservation and fish industries
and hatcheries, detective for airports and port security, mines and national park programs, local
intelligence corporation using high speed internet and crime support units, employment benefit and
improved pension and back to incentives (another favorite), all of these can’t be a single parties
cooperative agenda, it is part of the national planning which PDP cannot ameliorate.
(4) The other political item which needs not to be rehearsed is the issue of local political bandwagon,
with emphasis to arena where Charles Soludo once pursued political interest; Anambra, his commentary
on Peter Obi, warranted a vacillating reaction from Anambra Peter Obi who is on his way out or so it
seems in Anambra. This point he made in his essay warranted a reaction from Peter Obi’s media
consultant Valentine Obienyem, and from this range of group of argument the more thorough issue of
economic recovery and economic balance sheet which GEJ is wrestling to overcome showed up
differently and remains part of the reactionary tendencies in other people who are looking to be heard.
(5) The problems of accountability where he questioned the missing 30 trillion naira from Nigeria and
erroneous administrative measures implored Nigeria’s current finance and economic minister Ngozi
Okonjo Iweala, who should or should not be blamed for some of the woes of the country which the
Ex-governor of CBN mentioned in his essays – perhaps committing in his second essays the same
Fallacies as Lamido Sanusi that injured the operability of a CBN as grudgingly repaired by Godwin
Emefiele.
We begin from the end, by citing the issue of corporate finances raised by the authors, should the
finance and economic coordinator be blamed, the answer is no, not entirely. But it could however be
said that specific areas of the economic monetary and capital flights in Nigeria under her administrative
belt make her an escape-goat and ultimately guilty for the poor and non-existing financial accounts of
Nigeria. Perhaps a separation between Economic Coordination should be partition from Nigerian
Finance, that both ministries in future should consider a difference between accounting procedures and
price penetration of its investment categories.
With advent of military leadership in 1983 under very spurious and questionable circumstances of
Buhari and Idiagbon we can enter some of the frayed arguments by Soludo as if from a vintage which
only a few Nigerians can access. But this vintage in the years that Soludo was in Nigeria, may or may not
have been so precise that Nigeria’s sophistry included the inoculations of Sanusi and at debasement
impregnation of Nigeria by Oscar Onyema is a country that is shocking behind many nations of world, to
a point that its lack of adjacent philosophical procedure and entailment of business logic, it’s a concern
that must not be taken lightly on any account in the country.
Soludo was right that both parties looking to re-enter Nigerian politics were not prepared to deal with
the problems that country is having. For sure, he couldn't have known the difference between economic
theories guiding the country if he was in Nigeria, his switch of official position from neutral and
pampering iconoclastic in Nigeria affairs including his reserves on some of his assumptions of future of
the country assumed a tidal wave when he was moved to overseas and see what many of us have seen,
a country far below its capacity level, and looking to be redeemed.
There is also the questionable character of the current Petroleum Chairperson, who as some people may
or may not have known, its over-night one of the richest persons in Nigeria, worth in recent times,
billions of dollars. The accounting strategies in Nigerian is way below standards, and the accounting
procedure of the existing economic countries of Nigeria is so personal that it is impossible to outdo the
Madam Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala and minister of Petroleum as generally accountable to these problems in
Nigerian finances. If one is willing to add….
Paul C Nwabuikwu speaking on behalf of Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, pointed out that during the period in
question, Nollywood, Bank Development, NMRC (Nigerian Mortgage Refinance Corporation) were
created including the 6 million farmers in Nigeria, all of which requiring government spending. In all
reality we could suggest that part of the budget expansion of federal government and the provisions for
these new but minor introductions of changes in Nigeria, but may be considered part of fiscal policy and
expansion following the….has little or nothing to offer Nigerians and the President saving for issues of….
“On the issue of debt, Nigerians deserve to know the truth and we have said it before. The truth is that
the government borrowed in 2010 to pay an unprecedented 53.7 percent wage increase to all
categories of federal employees as demanded by labour unions. The total wage bill rose from N857
billion in 2009 to about N1.4 trillion in 2010, and as a result, domestic borrowing increased from N200
billion in 2007 to about N1.1 trillion in 2010 to meet the wage payments. Where was Soludo at the
time? Why did he not react to the borrowing then? Was it because he wanted to pander to labour in
preparation for his political career? (Nigerian Eye, January 28th, 2015)…..
“For comparisons, President Obasanjo met about $5 billion in foreign reserves, and the average monthly
oil price for the 72 months he was in office was $38, and yet he left $43 billion in foreign reserves after
paying $12 billion to write-off Nigeria’s external debt. In the last five years, the average monthly oil price
has been over $100, and the quantity also higher but our foreign reserves have been declining and
exchange rate depreciating.
“My calculation is that if the economy was better managed, our foreign reserves should have been
between $102 –$118 billion and exchange rate around N112 before the fall in oil prices. As of now, the
reserves should be around $90 billion and exchange rate no higher than N125 per dollar.”
We can loosely argue for and against both engineers of finance and two time GEJ cabal; Cabal Madam
Okonjo Iweala and Bishop Charles Soludo who is defining the generic, the political dogma. These two
may or may not have been primus inter pares of Nigerian economy, or political Irokos defining a party’s
agenda, whereas a party is just a social and political gang engaged in civil party and leadership right, it is
a back seat or so it seems for an oval office or political appointment of import.
The point is that quantity of currency or quantity of money in expansionary market policy seems to
show that there is a deficiency gap in considering a digital money, slightly different from Credits cards
and Debit cards, to psychologically discourage the tendency to spend or expenditures with respect to
Robert Mundel and Harry Johnson, who see the relationship between purchase and balance sheet
economic unraveling as similar to expenditure or study of expenditures, which are necessary for
improving aggregate demands but do not have to toe the lines of John Keynes even though he should be
absorbed of the comparison and shadowing in of his monetary policies by Harry Johnson who see
Keynes as fatal example of old forms of economic theories.
But in the context of quantity of money given the mindset of Fisher and his MV = PY, Friedman’s MV (f.)
(Money velocity, compared to Friedman’s money supply, may show that the two angles on both
equations should emphasis quantity of money where price theory is reversion to what we have. And in
the programs endorsed by the Bishop Charles Soludo, Emir Lamido Sanusi, OBJ, Cabal Ngozi
Okonjo Iweala and GEJ, were leading expansionary government programs, need to emphasis the
Spurious impact on the country through its core inflation.
Madam Ngozi Iweala also made the comments that “Soludo has shamelessly pandered to so many past
leaders that Nigerians are asking one more time – what position is Soludo gunning for now?”, the
comments stem somewhat from elsewhere and in the middle of this somewhere it’s an unfinished affair
of Soludo exiting from office, since the opening accounts of Soludo’s piece emphasis that he was not
courting official position or seeking political office. His statement may be political tossed as a warranted
disclaimer for reasons of ulterior motivations or foreseeing hints of political tuning, may also be
considered a throw off and false advertising of some measure but the heat in the argument is in its
seriousness may be reduced to a form of adhominem which the statement essentially assumes to
mitigate, for all intent of reason, the Madam had her reasons for inserting damaging castigations
although as a noble intellect, but such castigating it’s like her serving a bad apple at the beginning of
good buffet.
Nigerians are starving believe or not does not mean Soludo’s argument is right, Nigeria may lack political
agenda does not mean they are not essentially prepared. It is not the so called Federal Government to
provision for the rest of the Country piecemeal to deliver an economy that protects all asunder, it is up
to the country as a unit to development its financial and literary capacities and force a tentative change.
Madam Ngozi Iweala argued that, “There is definitely an issue of character with Prof. Charles Soludo and
his desperate search for power and relevance in Nigeria. Nigerians should therefore beware of so-called
intellectuals without character and wisdom because this combination is fatal,”, it is a fair and faraway
argument which we can understand from a different premise, that Ravi (2007) delimited cycles of
inflation “And of an economic slump is triggered by inflationary pressures, monetary expansion begets
escalating inflation without curing the recession.”
“When interest rates fall, bond prices move in the opposite direction. So bond investors reaped huge
gains. However, elderly retires suffered greatly, because many of them live on their interest incomes
which plummeted.”
Commodity futures… Investment as structure is not a new argument; it is a
reasonable argument used by a Ravi to check of the Capitalist tendencies of actual world
For if this is true, we can see the difference between Friedman and Fisher, since Velocity argued from its
impact on interest rate can be considered money, where interest rate which as Ben Bernanke
mentioned is price, therefore interest rate and funds rate is rate of money and its velocity is
concomitant to the argument about the supply of money – my demand cave – and probably attributable
to the early levels or stage of the rates and flows of money in action, the M1, that at end of flow, there
is a new level of quantity of money theory that straddle between M1 and M2, which is the path created
by the expansion or contraction as the underlining securities and how well it stays with the return of
money; the derivative, that the end of flow of rate of money, there is a diminishing of the correlation
between the rate of money and velocity to the money in circulation which is not exactly knowable.
Therefore one function which Soludo’s argument did not perform is the rate of money and its relevance
to price, beginning at the receiving end of the flow and velocity of bull-like easy money to a bear period
with finagling and penchant for claw back. For if we consider that the scalar and vector quantity is added
to the first rate of monetary expansion and the upside it’s in inflation, there is a tendency to mitigate
inflation through a fund’s rate that can be achieved from interest rate preceding a future money actions
by Federal Reserves or Central Bank, such that the conditions of money to expire its flow is Sound
Money, whereas the flow measured from a period of spending may not necessary smoother out, it is
Stable money.
The price of product or manufacturing than the quantity of money redeemed by inflation or inflationary
pressure, although by price theory, these paths cross each other only if we explain it through M2 as
equal to the supply of money, and by nominal interpretation will create a bad receipt for expansionary
path of a final product increasing a central bank expansion, and the propensity to leverage a system ;
that a such propensity increases derivatives and options as opposed to the path suffered from M2 in
explicating velocity where sharp difference exist, which will argue that sensitive inflationary conditions
nominally decreases a propensity to leverage an underlying security or cave a derivative.
What we may argue also is that the conception is only good on paper, since in real life, people tend to
take more risk when there is little chance of profit and not the other way round. The only explanation to
this is what I tend to offer, that as much fixed rates are in US linked to US Government bonds perhaps
the case in Europe and housing numbers and mortgage linked to fixed income without necessarily
torching permanent money. It constitutes trade deficit which is just as similar and the same as car parts.
The flooding of Nigerian economy and market with foreign paper, which were not redeemed through
direct investment rather redeemed through public and private acquisition of shares, means by numbers
you lock out the local investors who are still cheap, cherishing but perishing the new integration of their
economy through the
internet.
In the words of Soludo, we infer the following, “The economy roared to average yearly growth of 7%
between 2003 and 2007 (although average monthly oil price under his regime was $38), and poverty
dropped from estimated 70% in1999 to 54% in 2004. Obasanjo was his own coordinating minister of the
economy and chairman of the economic management team— which he chaired for 90 minutes every
week. I met with him daily. In other words, he did not outsource economic management.
We expected that the next government after Obasanjo would take the economy to the next level. So far,
we have had two great slogans: the 7-point agenda and currently, the transformation agenda. They
remain empty slogans without content or direction.”
Break it down…
ECOWAS; Economic Community of West African States began it full swing in 1979, set against the
cultural unity of Expo '77, West Africa, braced the region for a future which included single currency
money – at the chief argument of the commentators and chosen heads from the exposition in TOGO,
but did not incorporate the price of that economic banter, for instance, debt across the border,
problems of credit and the issue of acceptance in the Global economy.
We need here to rehearse some of the teachings and assumptions in this piece that one, Nigerian Oil
Subsidy, ECOWAS; Economic community of West African States, Government policies driving currencies,
SAP; Structural adjustment programs, WAI; War against indiscipline, Better life Program, 1986 Austerity
Measures, Privatization Scheme, Removal of Crude oil Subsidy have all come and gone but IMF has still
tied the country's future to these schemes and to Debt that don't count as a credit and has forced
Nigeria and some West African countries downward with its policies, policies that even a progressive
third world economy like Nigeria, can no longer absorb.
In Nigeria and in West Africa these days, we hear of the 'Millennium Development Goals', 'Privatization
Schemes', 'Balance of Payment', 'Austerity Measures' (removal of oil subsidy), 'Foreign Direct
Investment', IDAs, FDI; Foreign Direct Investment', 'Debt Crisis', but all of these are IMF measures which
Nigeria that is U.S centered has no real party. But these Schemes exist today and part of the Obasanjo’s
7 point policy and part of Nigerian politics and part of the Nigerian running of their plans for BETTER
LIFE. It involves a kind of budget expansion which the switch in the process essentially combines for the
best of the process or transition from the process.
The problem with this budget expansion is the issue of long term investment, the Vanilla for instance
that Oscar Onyema was selling to Nigerian and Foreign Investors, and the attention to long term bond
that NEPA, GEJ and Aganga (the other bishop) of GEJ’s financial starship were marketing to the world
could not have survived the heavy and overlooked price pressure from bank stocks given the debt to
investment which forex normally stall, or given the widening gap of Nigerian economic depression or
newly privatized economy based on their local rate of return other than Gross Domestic Product which
adds FDI to it as opposed to VAR and housing index.
The debt to investment will stall and will continue to widen and Nigeria will never get to it or get over it.
To understand the problems of a third world transitional processes involving in leading a local economy
from poor urban environment to a more technology based economy, we need to demarcate between
the issues of GDP and GNP which due to additional foreign investment, widens, excretes good numbers
to the rest of world, rebase, or debased processes, but above all, it is a paradox of the local economy….
This better life the case of Argentina and Mexico, like Brazil of the 70's and Korea of 70’s will not be
achieved under these programs that are run by IMF. Part of these measures is that it leads to something
when benefitting, and we are tempted to ask how can a transition from one program to another take
place, for it seems that the process of Free Trade agreement exercising itself in Europe and now the
North America operates, usually leads to the lands of regional exchange and single currency. Not before
the wasting and rubbishing of the local currency and economy making it easier to penetrate or exploit.
In proper light, the measure at work is similar to EU, compared from every angle; it is similar to the
future ideas of regional government and higher penetration of existing Companies.
Nigerians has been forced to blend in to the fact that there is a New World Money Order called Euro.
There is nothing wrong in accepting the doctrines of European Union and it does not seem that the
policies pursued by Europe are as bad and misleading policy. Yes, some versions of the policies are
desperate conceived for Third World economies or whatever name that is applicable and in terms of the
quality of European Economy and its no-grow economy, these IMF programs and loans are very not
called for and are basically predisposed to debtors damages.
The trick of this process is that a poor execution procedure in narrating Harry Johnson’s account from
the new reality of Mundell regional currencies, give and take on one critical aspect of all these schools
and perhaps why the systematic argument of the quantity theorist may not fully apply unless as I
mentioned from Western Union and Currency wars, that the a single in all its measure of economic
value is also a market quantity.
Needless to say that their book raised several questions about the illusions of West Economic Society
and NIE 'New International Economic Order' as derived from Europe, questions it did not answer,
perhaps better explicated as questions which did not exactly converted for answers.
But from the defense pact and from policies prodded by individual Government in West Africa, it seems
common sense that the business structure between these West African countries was likely to change or
expected to change, so also the structure and business of its local Community and Nigeria is not
different. What have witnessed in the last decade or so is that the paper currency and the call for a new
Nigeria and West Africa are actually hijacked by private interest from all and asunder.
A short précis of Pat Utomi and Madam Ngozi Nkonjo Iweala (II) and the economic fiber of Nigeria was
rubbished by cell phone application of process, for if I for one, made the argument in New York in 1998
during a small NITEL meeting trying to attract business that the future of Nigeria was cell phone
industries not land lines based on the report of cell phone successes in the Low lands of EUROPE or
Nordic circle where land lines could reach. A new APP on Africa was also launched and it showed original
studies on the need for high tech over low tech even for the once the locals couldn’t afford. It was
therefore a waste of time to pursue land lines when the means of communication that made it possible
its easier through cell phones. In addition to these ideas, Motorola was making its presence felt in Lagos
and to some extent in many parts of Nigeria.
Another unraveling of the new age economy of these Nigerians was their film industries which stunt in
quality with a shift from….
The rest is history which is perhaps in-gathering like Weather Conditions, and many of us may wry a
smile since the devastation did not leave us amused at the beginning and may be seen to have
completely given the high price and pernicious prices Nigerians were forced to pay for and I seem not to
regret that the industries which are so emphasized will pose this unconventional inflationary pressure
and problems in Nigeria.
We may argue that the prices of cell phones are lower than ever, but Transcorp which Obasanjo and
Iweala including Soludo brought to Nigeria, were so private and privatized that they are probably part if
not majority owners of this International conglomerates that acquired NITEL for pennies. From
Transcorp we indulge half the argument raised by Soludo and half the issue meted out by Iweala and
from the sidewalk of price and price theory, it becomes easier to see why the problems a country like
Nigeria is experiencing and why the world – or in this case Soludo should take note in estimating the
effects of State imposed transition from State controlled production units to private hands and
management in any local economy.
For if we apply some measure of financial processes to this example, we notice the irrational and the
human side of money and self-preservation at the center of this privatization scheme. No true economic
hitman or woman will fail wring the neck of these noise making Nigerians and without their knowing it if
the seating Government such as Obasanjo and his compeers will be enticed to a 7 point strategy and
they will fail. The dark side of such a scheme is that Upper House Theater is created, a vacuum system is
generated and by selling a mere idea that moves business into your hands as the seating president or
governor, will compel you and your company to defend this upper house problems of price theory. In
terms of the rubbishing of Nigerian economy in the earlier years of the cell phone industries for a start,
it is the price of supporting your lifestyle in Nigerian that suffered the most.
With direct protection of these areas of business which was part of the so called 7 point, you offer these
mercenaries all the materials they need to essentially rob your country and fleece it dry. Look at
differently and not to digress, many companies that made money from Nigerian Telephone industries
moved their resources elsewhere almost every month. South Africans made more money from Nigerian
cell phones that all the Nigerians companies put together, and these companies charged and bilked
Nigerians rejoicing almost detrimentally of their new found connection that they forgot that the
resources where already existing, the only that needed to be done, was authorized a protection by the
federal government usually when a transfer of power from, military to democratically elected offices
take place, and the rest of the reaping was a second matter.
We cannot push the indelicacy of this hit economy called Nigeria to Petroleum, for if we care to look at
process involved in emasculating the OPEC out of its control of Nigerian Oil block, or the processes
involved in breaking down some of the congestion with Shell which Halliburton did, leaving ExxonMobil
in charge of Nigerian resources many oil well South-South of the Country and the boundaries
with Cameroons, we find that the profit which are touted from this process of resource allocation to
federal purse, are no longer easy to demonstrate and are in fact out of control.
Recently, GEJ asked every group drilling and bunking crude oil from off the continental shelf of the
Riverine areas to disembark their boats or have it blown to bits and he did. We measure however that
even with the rise of the crude oil prices to 100 per barrel, and Nigeria removing itself cyclical crude oil
subsidies; meaning, Government has to subsidies on the price of crude oil as a way to easy off the
problems of inflation which a rise of crude oil prices or even a market level perorate prices entering
public consumption creates the problem of continuous disequilibrium ----usually private decision
function based on price theory----but in time past, with hard and fast military whose corruption was not
something dissimilar, the country was paying too much and essentially wasting it as opposed to saving
some of the money for latter day or macro government (increasing consumption budget) by definition,
which Madam Ngozi Okonjo Iweala, argued in the interest of Nigeria and fattening the saving purse of
the treasury, which in the end, may lead to more government spending than the unconventional tactics
of inflation control.
For a point, this subsidies are probably not necessary yet on the same point, removing the subsidies is
torturing the bond market, which naturally offload investment from long term comfort and
sustainability to short term – placing a separate funk on the Stock market, whereas momentum shift the
emphasis of growth to paper currency, shadow banking and inflation in the country especially at the
time of easy money. We may also come to understand the shift at this level occurs when a housing
number shoots ahead other CPI measures in the country.
For if we care to look at the poverty level in the Nigeria, we may notice a bipolar trend, one, a shrink of
populist idea of poverty; there are more Nigerians with houses than ever and more Nigerians with cars
than before and cell phone to booth, but the laxity of economy survey gives way to more problems
overall economic growth which is implosion of Nigerian mid class and shocking debasing of its quality of
life. In some sense, most Nigerians are actually starving from even the most available of resources than
ever before, yet compared to poor examples of market resources like we have in Lagos and we have in
Abuja with oversea dumping of resources in Nigeria more than anytime, you are likely to accept there is
emergence of a 1% population in Nigeria with all the money which will not buy much still, and the big
gulf of proper and green market in Nigeria given the deepening crisis which is gradually coming.
The open market manages by either Nigeria or Ghana in this case, is such that they deserve more for
supporting world markets more than half Europe or even United States let alone China is enjoying.
Nigeria toes the free market line from day one and has been a victim by its own choosing of
international dumping and foreign investment interest. A rule of comparative advantage between
Nigeria and the rest of Europe, will point that majority of European countries are well ahead of these
Nigerians. This is in fact the case only to the extent that total amount of Nigerians (170 million) is nearly
two fifth of all Europe, means that there are more mouths per country to country to feed as there no
European country with over 120 million people. It leads that the weight of resources that circulate in
Nigeria is a thrift sum compared to what is available to them through their own oversea and in land
business exposures. The only way to help these Nigerians help themselves and in the end help their
respective nations which these European countries are doing is to have Nigerian financial institutions
posed after the general but advocated and independent financial institutions in these United States and
in Europe.
No great commission is needed to demonstrate the profit of South African economic agenda for US and
its Global Initiative, than the biggest banks in Africa are easily South African and operate free from the
Government. Either the current crop of these Nigerians and financial leaders are not used to trusting
others and themselves to be selling only a Billion over the Stock bound bond market which was called up
in one hours of meeting the market, than the possibility of really connecting to US through a
demarcation of 25% earned resources from Crude Oil and from other business banter between Nigeria
and United States.
It is my view, that all African countries should have at least by now account for at least account for
banks that are self-supporting, with gravity of currency schools capable to weeding through the
securities laden American market necessary to be part of Federal Reserve of a local network such New
York Federal Reserve. In the case of advertising their investment options, the Maryland and Baltimore
securities dealers with the Federal Reserve are mainly insurance based and contain a few African
American owned financial institutions, but from the histories of both Continents of North American and
Africa, there should at least be now several securities from Africa and more than two from leading
economic communities in Africa; Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt, Morocco*, Libya, and others such Ghana,
to have a staying presence in each of the securities dealing Federal Reserves throughout the US and in
UK for a Start. Such business venture like those of BAFTA, CAFTA, or NAFTA, with the edging up of the
Banks and financial institutions have a thing or two about the FOMC which Nigerians thanks to free
network resources are following on daily basis, that the number of even African American businesses
present in these areas of interest would not survive more pressure saving these invested interest from
Africa and Caribbean make their presence known and ruthlessness for business and accounting also
known.
End notes on OBJ
Looking at this picture very closely, we may be tempted to say, this group can't Nigeria.
By
Sampson I.M Onwuka
February 16th 2015 is a day of political infamy for Olusegun Obasanjo, perhaps not for people too young
to come to understand why his actions were seriously detrimental to his political life, it was an end he
didn't anticipate perhaps kept as a last minute attempt at Goodluck Jonathan and for stabbing PDP.
With this action which his association with APC in 2013 was not exactly a publicly surprise, pray will
never come when a political Iroko such as Olusegun Obasanjo with all the questions about his past or
history will end with a Political suicide.
Either age has gotten the better side of his judgment, or his ill-advised on this particular move, or
perhaps such acts are product of the end, we prove Friedrich Nietzsche correct that our character the
source of all pedigree shows up in the end,"...a man understands nothing but himself." This final acts of
sabotage is the summary of OBJ's political and military life. He may or may see it now, but then he is
active in his more genial years, he is said to be less troubled with his past, he is alive they say and
needed to be supported. For his benefit so many lives were lost and the easy break with affections
makes him incapable of enduring loyalty.
It was PDP and Alex Ekwueme, Ebitu Ukiwo, and others who arranged his release from Federal
protective custody in New York, and when he was released in 1997, it was PDP and mainly Igbos to be
sure who embraced him and welcomed him at the consulate. His face was dry and hungry looking, he
lost many years following the incarceration, he was involved in a coup against Abach and it worked
against his interest. It is also the end for Buhari for so it seems that Buhari was innocent of this last acts
of betrayal by Obasanjo, his silence till the end describes the persons of Buhari as not so much a
moderate as he is prudently a calculating man and was therefore involved in the military takeover of
1983. Obasanjo on the neutral position did his greatest damages on Jonathan by carefully destroying his
credential in clear and destructive spite, may seem to the rest of us that he has already decided to
support Buhari since 2013 and was only delaying these final acts.
Someday, he would have wished this action was not taken, for when the death of Muritala Mohammed
occurred 1979, Obasanjo like Buhari in 1983 bloodless coup, was considered innocent. In many coups
that took place in Nigeria, Obasanjo did not participate in them as they argued, not until his final and
unsuccessful attempts at Abacha as head of state was he carefully arrested in Ota farms and imprisoned
in Nigeria. He would slipped silently into history had he killed by Abacha during the interdiction. He was
helped by Nigerians and by friends such as IBB and through friends of amnesty to travel abroad and
when his release from jail became important, Nigerians believed that Obasanjo was the leader they
we’re looking for, a leader with military background and democratic leniency. So they waved their
commitment to Buhari who was equally qualified and also IBB to elect Olusegun Obasanjo as the
President of Nigeria.
The best way to describe Obasanjo’s action very recently it’s that poor judgment and execution of
process has finally caught up with him, perhaps this is not the case, but in spite of all that has come
down to PDP and tearing his membership card in public, there are heavy consequences of this singular
political actions which he should have considered before he took the quantum leap and product of
military cadre and a conspicuous assassin in his own right. For one, the Party may choose to indefinitely
suspend him or terminal removes him from the corridors of powers for all time.
Perhaps this is not the case, perhaps the case is better identified with the issue of Buruji Kasham, and
there is nothing wrong in putting…Obasanjo out on the matter.
“I’d rather tear the PDP membership card than sit down and let Jonathan use PDP and corruption to
tear my beloved country apart.
“I have national and international standard to maintain. For this reason I’d rather standalone than be in
the same political party with Kashamu.”
If this is the case PDP should officially launch their own investigation into the incident and public televise
the Q and A section. But looking at the hour glass of Obasanjo’s staying power in Nigerian politics, it
seems to me to have lacked any genuine issue of national service, it is ridden to political and military
intrigue and though he was mentioned in annals of Nigerian revolutionary Army unit called Biafra as
junior lieutenant, many of these Coupist in the Nigerian Army and eventually Biafran reactionary army
were Communist compassionate handed over to Obasanjo.
President Jonathan @ Enugu Rally
Like some Nigerians once said, we are spectators to a period of uncertainty unfolding before us like new
tree surrounded by violent and pernicious seas. The Eagle cannot beckon and the falcons have found
new homes, only perhaps the ravens may be called to see what future holds, perhaps for PDP, perhaps
for APC, yet it signals an end. The primitive issue is not OBJ’s action but how the man’s past has created
ripples in the government, that he should be placed on a 24 hour watch till the elections are over and
even after given his participation in military coups in Nigeria. Buhari who need not wonder at the public
display of breaking bad with a party in display that has never before been seen never before heard.
This Act of OBJ is not final, there will be more drama, but with all the final Acts performed on either side
of the divide ‘a river will perhaps run through it’, and perhaps the main arguments on the future hopes
of this Nigeria, this diorama giant can now begin. Some may quarrel over the boundaries with
Cameroons, others the issue of Boko-Haram, some may think education is the primary course of
Nigerian future. All of these are equal to one word; poverty.
How do you describe insecurity of poverty from false progress in Nigeria? Should we start from the
beginning of the end of the Colonial Rule in Nigeria, which some considered an occupation which the
people did not ask for? Or do we start at the end of the hostilities in the Civil War? Perhaps the grand
patina of a society bedeviled by its uncertainty, made its means and ways seemingly uncertain. Such talk
may now seem idle, and it is perhaps idle to court such possibility of change for it seems it.
It seems clear that our people were not expected by others to have done otherwise as a country. But
nothing in this God given land called Africa and very own Nigeria, has ever being won or accomplished
without struggle, nothing was won without endeavor and without a devotion to the higher calling. If
these same virtues mentioned above are known through history to have exceeded the demands of
poverty - it cannot all of a sudden fade or fail for these Nigerians. These were the product of faith.
That faith now compels us to face to the facts of our poverty and irrelevance as a new round of scramble
begins for Africa. That faith must therefore be proved among these Nigerians by those who their sons
and daughters look up and call fathers and mothers. That country was never that different from the rest
of them and their love for their Children were not fake, and not a lie. That faith must be kept alive that
by our efforts and struggles that by those virtues which once consumed the rest of us in Nigeria, would
by its undying demand prove that its rewards higher than all the tribes combined.
Only then can Nigeria prove its meaning in the world and redeem itself from sinking downwards. How
we, the Nigerians, the Africans feed growing 170 million demographic starved of housing and purpose,
and to some degree hope. Perhaps we can believe like others that the division in the parties and the lack
of inspiration for the elections 'will also pass' then the new issue of growth and new realities of stable
government will become perhaps a second matter.
The New scramble for Africa may have started without our knowing it. Africans are still feigning sleep
from the poison of the previous European enterprises in their backyard but they are not aware that their
lands are gradually and criminally taken from them. They are also locked into a fighting for their future
which is gradually stymied by Africans themselves. They are at war with African of the past and the
legacies of the big man or woman of Africa, acting perhaps with the knowledge of local Chiefs. With OBJ
and Buhari still in corridors of power and IBB looking to return, the challenge of this day it’s how
Nigerian can break with the past, not only how, when and for how long.
Africa needs a President and by consequence the Nigerian President is the man to whom much of Africa
is most affectionate. Even if we say that Charity begins at home, we are not saying that a Portrait of
Nigeria and its president should not be devoted enough to his duty as to absolve the headache of being
beneath suspicion. And to use Julius Caesar immortal epitaph, that The Nigerian President is "beyond
suspicion" and in terms of OBJ, a head of state or a former head of states, should be free from public
contamination.
The challenges come from all over and bring in their paper currency to buyout huge and wonderful
places in Africa. This sort of thing reminds of the time and days of the apartheid system in South Africa
when it took Nigerian President to ask Britain and America to end apartheid else the oil business will
end. International Law coalition, International Institute for Environment, UN, have all stated that African
countries such as Sudan, Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, Malawi, Ethiopia, Congo, Zambia, Uganda,
Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Mali, Sierra Leone, Ghana, are places where cronies are gradually expropriating
and many of these places they are in state of limbo.
Obasanjo’s action is not meeting for the portrait of a Nigerian President, official destroying his PDP card
was no only injury to the system he attempted to create but did not, and it was a sad example of politics
ultimate attempt at sabotage which he will wish in later years he didn’t perform. But the country is
ridden to this discharges, may decide to elect people of their interest and time, may choose to do so on
no other count except Only then can the 'evidence of things not seen' - the hope of 18th century Black
leaders-whose influence on Ajayi Crowther, Edward Blyden, Johnson, Herbert Macaulay, W.E.D Dubois,
George Padmore, Paul Robeson, Kwame Nkruma and above all, Nnamdi Azikiwe, for the independent
Africa capable of retaining the unbroken chain of endeavor, of the old torching the new, be fulfilled in
their dream nation; Nigeria. Such endeavor should lead us to believe that poverty can be defeated in
West Africa. That 'evidence of things not seen' which connect the Old to the New - that invisible bond
which has held this Africa before the formative structure of Nigeria, this West Africa country together
for so long – CANNOT now untie. In electing a president of equal and unquestionable character, we bury
the past, how that past defeats our current manners it's a question of choice, equal to the redeeming
burden of carrying on in spite of it all and carrying through the elections in spite of it all.
WE THE AFRICANS, Peoples of the world.....
S.I.M.O…
Feb 3 2015 ---Buhari For President.
By
Sampson I.M Onwuka
The aim of presenting APC’s candidate Mohammadu Buhari in the light of current national discourses is
to show that he is serious about his Presidency that he is a capable man for the office as much perhaps
as anyone running for the office of Nigerian President. He is for the office of Nigerian President along
the Professor at Law, Yemi Osibajo. The financial weight lifting has come from several places, but in
terms of the intent of the man in office and the aspirations of the North in what may be considered an
unfinished business of the 85’ coup, there is a question of Buhari and what he really is.
There are lots of issues at stake in Nigerian elections and one of which is the issue of security which
under Buhari as Military Head of State of Nigeria from 1983 – 1985 was performed to the point of
denying people’s rights to free existence. This freedom understood from the perspective of a soldier has
limit applicability, especially when Buhari is involved, he, more than any active Nigerian politician and
perhaps IBB, has been involved in all classes of Nigerian military and political transformations and
perhaps baying for a legitimate opportunity from the wealth of his experiences.
Buhari has not done himself any good since the 1985 ousting from office by Ibrahim Babangida who was
the minister of defense. He does appear to be politically anti-social or seem to be a person who will
feign from helping who can help, or has been known to lack personal audacity. But in the years of
isolation from office and from Nigerian military apparatuses, he is credited to have taken himself and his
family away from politics, whereas feeding his family would be considered a national item, there are less
culpability that he has benefit from office than others. It was only recently and following the adoptions
of the Nigerian Girls at Chibok by Boko Haram or Islamic tyrannical groups that we find him publicly
inveigh extreme militancy.
It seem to me at least, that this lack of writing and publicity appearance and engagements, is what GEJ
has discovered long ago to be a cog in his wheels of progress. For sure, a dispassionate observer will tell
you that Buhari has no reason to expect votes from a population he is not willing to indulge in any class
of discourse or at least socially engage in spite or for spite of his image and self-respect which is really in
actions and not in its preservation.
Lack of personal confidence and vista of corrupted eye visions from military and northern Nigerian past,
may have given new and perhaps psychology restrictions of Buhari is his reaching out and in to Nigerians
far from North or Nigerians in the North if so chooses. No one in the last 30 years of end of affairs at
Lagos and Abuja could be said to have toed the discipleship of Buhari, or have himself rewrite his life
through the dark and uncertain waters of West Africa. One man that understand the circumstances
surrounding human power and its ability was Obasanjo, an ex-President of Nigeria, who in spite of mud
and foot of clay in making even based decisions of the country, can still win votes in the North and the
East, that he is occasional involve in one show of support for Yorubas – his people and for other West
Africans spanned through the continental shelf.
Perhaps, conscientious participation is the ire of responsibility, but we can guess that within its garment
of humility may swell the hints of pride which is perhaps rots from lack of oxygen the very tree it
protects. For what it destroys it’s the reassuring that a white cloak can be stained in the service of others
then preservation becomes a motivation. In divided meaning, perhaps a second or third meaning, the
willing to do what is right is not a personal property; it involves some act even when there is a stake of
your personal integrity which is usually less good than active participation in any endeavor of your
existence. It may suggest a kind of faith in a system or in people who can exercise wisdom or so
expected to do the right thing even it means losing the elections. If we have no faith in others or no
form of connection to their request we created a hole without knowing it, and at inquest as for voting,
we have lost the fans and general citizen. Images of loyalty and common sense would gradually worth
nothing and in the end, such persons as Buhari can be excused in the altar of presidential elections or
given his chance to try. It is a valid point given the strategically unlevered strategy for securing a
people’s vote is in its working process and not in its overnight sensation, in essence, other methods of
seeking votes may apply, to the extent that enough gaps exist between say the Nigerians and Buhari
courting their votes, you may have lost the future altogether.
Boko Haram cannot serve as the mantra to gauge the limits of a Buhari in office, yet it is a Vernier
caliper in breaking to rest some of the problems encountered by these Nigerians in dealing with Islamic
Insurgency. For Buhari, who may or may not have known about the incident of the Boko-Haram since
2001, that the group remained a sect for their right, seeking to emasculate the popularity of new isalmic
conformist and pushing to transform the North into a political anti-party to currency available anywhere
in the Country, described by some as religious institutions in forms and names of revolution. The failure
of Buhari to have taken the mantle of leadership in suppressing the dicta of Boko Haram exposed to
daggers of being a sympathizer, a claim which remains ominous of his religious impresario, that from all
acts performs during and after his 2 year in office still exorcises the apparitions of the terror even it was
not nearly the case.
We are looking at the edge of the deciding political force whose sun has no being let to shine, for yet a
consideration of the nearly acquired meaning is given to this man and his office so far, we would have
not failed to whispers of a struggle to exert himself if a career that was no meant for him. Politics like
engagement it’s a career, and pursuant to the meaning and reward and fulfilling of those is the lack of
debility of the sun. Was his light to shine in politics perhaps it would make some sense when compared
from the premise of his years in office?
Was it Buhari’s luck to advance against a PDP political machine, perhaps it was, most perhaps it was
not? How then shall we begin to present an argument on Buhari as a political force whose gravitas can
fetch the presidency, perhaps he is not a political in career sense of it, perhaps he was part of encyclical
that determines the dimension of revolutions in any society. Played backward, Buhari would not suffer
his career to be understood in the light of a people that see him different, for if the calls of Sarduana of
Sokoto for the new and young co-operative cadre to improve the new look of Muslims.
BUHARI may be argued to have made more public condemnation of militant group ‘Boko Haram’ and is
said to have officially condemned some of the assumptions about the State of Northern leadership and
the interpretations of Islam. It must be clearly stated as well that Nigeria in terms of the resources
available to it and the sensitivity to power deserves all kinds of considerations on who is really working
for the interest of Nigeria and can be trusted with such powers. With or without invoking the past which
taints Buhari in association, the military years during the Nigerian Coups and counter-coups in Nigeria
are no product of personal consideration, they are facts of life.
Since independence, Nigeria still grapple with image and play with straw on the images of a nation
trying to get a grip of itself, it needs not be mentioned that Nigerians and indeed many Africans are
looking to forget some of the names that made to the office of the President. Among the names
Nigerians need to forget; Sani Abacha, Ibrahim B. Babangida, Theophilus Danjuma, includes now and
perhaps for other reasons, Mohammed Buhari. History is fortune to those who remember and those
who observe, but no eye witnessing of exfoliating of the political years of Buhari would have prepared
any Nigeria for the problems of Boko Haram, an insurgency that rings through the fears of the intifada
between the North and the South, though the sea has thawed and day breaks for Nigerians and their
politics, historians struggle and will perhaps struggle to vindicate Buhari on his excellent services.
It will impossible to deny that for nearly half of a century, these names mentioned above have not more
than occupied the central position of Nigerian politics, for better management and not lack of goodwill,
their administrative comradery nearly sunk Nigeria into abyss of incompetency and confusion, riddled
piece by States with confusion and poverty. Instability is the root of all confusion and more than
confusion is the issue of uncertainty, uncertainty welcomes the move to secure a future through a past,
perhaps through wealth already stored or through public funds and embezzlement. If the military
intervention was set to sponsor the culture of stability in Nigeria, this primary duty of the Nigerian
military could not be said to have worked its magic in the military years or could be said to have
engineered a future that puts Nigerians first.
Politics away from power is a nuisance take of a great unraveling, it is fitting to demarcate between
intellectual pursuit from the aggrandizing that ends with no advances for or against the interest of a
motion. It is political to argue for Buhari, political to argue against Buhari, much more political to vote
for either Buhari or against Buhari, perhaps voting against the opponent is one way to widen the broad
stroke of voting landscape. It is not enough to vote for any man or woman interest of choice, it looks
plain enough, that a vote one direction is equal to a vote not in favor of another.
Perhaps their priorities were misplaced for how a new nation could arise from the old without the
difficult challenges of the Chiefs and loyal yeomanry, and the problems of religion and rights of
leadership which for some Nigerians was gifted and donated by bloodline and for others profusion with
the new arrival from Europe and nothing else. Perhaps and only perhaps when these facts and religious
rights are placed within the definitions of property places more faith on wealth, personal wealth above
the property of national interest becomes primary. This is a systemic problem made more sinister with
the age of military powerhouses (Dinka, Murtala Mohammed, Gowon, IBB, Abacha, Buhari) baying the
loss and death by murder of their leader by Amadu Bello who was the Sudauna of Sokoto.
To some extent that many Nigerians are no longer willing to accommodate the past – even for the best
of us that still write back to the empire on the merits of a new society and the rewards from experiences
which Buhari could bring to the Country. We were wrong about Obasanjo and his military and
intellectual reserves for Nigeria, his suppressed personalities during persecution eventually showed up
and we have inherited some of the problems on his administration which brought the new age of
militancy in the North and the renegade self-defenses in Riverine Areas of Nigeria. In South East and
ever so slightly, the victim of these years and Obasanjo unleashed his pejorative behaviors towards
Nigerians who were fooled into consolidation and Aba for the fun suffered in quality and in business and
inherited the issue of kidnapping and reparation which was never part of its existence.
It is this fear of who and how Nigerians preserve of this Buhari, whether or not he seem to have been
cleaner and fairer than his compeers that motivates them towards a fear which then as well now is not
unfounded. Perhaps this is not the case in many parts of the Nigeria especially in the South East, but
little has been done to earn the rights of GEJ re-election in many South East let alone South-South, does
not mean that other parts of the Country is not working hard and less demanding than they, but there
are long standing issues that has not died and need to be handled as a way to bridge the gaps between
the problems of governmental gangsters and the issue of the self-defense which MEND brought itself to
bear.
Amadu Bello presents an inquiry and antiquary into private and personal motivations of Buhari, for in
terms of the man, the meaning and age of corruption, some argument may be made against the long
and intermediate lines of Amadu Bello, who was Sarduana of Sokoto. The problems between him and
Nnamdi Azikiwe and the contentious issues of power and failure of the North to recognize a leader from
the South or the East on the premise of religious devotion of a Muslim who considers the other as
Infidel who should not dictate to the Muslims on how to manage their country. This cannot be argued as
the total reason for Nigerian Military intervention, or that Nzeogwu commitment was not without the
sacking of rail road workers under the orders a young Northern Nigerian leader, leading to a prolong
unemployment and early death of his father.
‘Once There was A Country’ (2012) by Chinua Achebe did not emphasize the total damage this ideology
brought to Nigeria, the book levitate on the influences of Amadu Bello among the Ijaws where they
were split between the loyalty to Nigeria and the first Coup of 1966 which saw the death of Amadu Bello
and on the other Northern reactionary tendencies that mitigated the power complex of the mostly but
consequentially Igbo-led military coup and administration in Nigeria.
Re-considered from elsewhere, between Joseph Akpan and General Gowon, we can understand the
attention of why Amadu Bello inspired hate and love is in-between the Civil Wars. Some MILITARY
experts, including my own dad, described the counter-reaction as almost inevitable, that the North was
not buying the peace which General Aguiyi Ironsi was working for. Information suggested that Amadu
Bello was pocketing money sent by international organization in his Geneva accounts managed by
International Standard Bank, that after his death, the Lebanese who worked Sarduana split the earliest
Nigerian Federal Accounts including members of the army that was loyal to him.
This story is confirmed elsewhere ‘Hot money’ (82), but concerning these men as we come understand it
who includes IBB, Buhari, Abacha, Mohammed, and the rest, produce a long picture of why corruption in
Nigeria remained a foreign legacy and the deep penetration of Lebanese in Nigeria, especially their roles
in exploiting the Niger-Delta and Foreign Federal Accounts, is evident in the death of Ken Saro Wiwa
during the era of Sani Abacha.
We can now supply the answer to some of the issue of Nigeria and corruption during its oil boom,
between the Persons of Buhari and IBB, that it was part of the problems constituted systemically from
the early political years of Nigeria which many still harbor suspicions that it is still in many ways than one
very visible in the life and existence of Buhari who is a last trace of older regime. The Country may have
gotten over these early beginnings but the language of peace and comradery between the North and
South, especially the old East has no produced nothing but unprovoked aggression that the Northern
Nigeria has never understood a society that is ruled by force is a virus that Amadu Bello should have
buried and killed, and he didn’t any more or less than perhaps Buhari who is not Amadu Bello.
There are approaches to power to be given the total and more demanding interpretation; there are very
little gaps between gangs and hoodlums, between the Military Cadre of most auspicious type and
problems of Boko Haram and in limelight, the examples of Riverine reactionary group who took the
amnesty from past Nigerian President. Digging from recent insurgencies in the North which has no merit
towards disposing political transformations from the North as from the aspirations of these Northerners,
such military excesses means harm to the chances of winning the Country for the North as part of the
negotiated interest of Islamic Insurgencies in Northern Nigeria. But if we place the onus on this act from
incidence involving Buhari and the Northern Nigerians, we are victims of our imagination and hopeless
in so far as the wish for a better Nigeria is considered. Yet this disposing of the second meaning of
electing a APC candidate tainted by the past, leads closer to the temptation and judgment of considering
a possible future from personal and individual complexes in Nigeria.
Charles Soludo recently admitted that, “I note that when I assumed office as Governor of CBN, the stock
of foreign reserves was $10 billion. The average monthly oil price during my 60 months in office was
$59, but foreign reserve reached the all-time peak of $62 billion (and despite paying $12 billion for
external debt, and losing over $15 billion during the unprecedented global financial and economic crisis)
I left behind $45 billion….My calculation is that if the economy was better managed, our foreign
reserves should have been between $102 –$118 billion and exchange rate around N112 before the fall
in oil prices. As of now, the reserves should be around $90 billion and exchange rate no higher than
N125 per dollar. Third, the rate of public debt accumulation at a time of unprecedented boom had no
parallel in the world. While the Obasanjo administration bought and enlarged the policy space for
Nigeria, the current government has sold and constricted it. What debt relief did for Nigeria was to
liberate Nigerian policymakers from the intrusive conditionalities of the creditors and thereby truly
allowing Nigeria independence in its public policy”
“Shagari’s NPN had already run out of steam and was near universally detested except of course by the
handful that still benefited from that regime of profligacy and rabid fascism. Responsibility for the
national condition lay squarely at the door of the ruling party, obviously, but against whom was Buharis
coup staged? Judging by the conduct of that regime, it was not against Shagaris government but against
the opposition. The head of government, on whom primary responsibility lay, was Shehu Shagari. Yet
that individual was kept in cozy house detention in Ikoyi while his powerless deputy, Alex Ekwueme, was
locked up in Kiri-kiri prisons. Such was the Buhari notion of equitable apportionment of guilt and/or
responsibility.” Wole Soyinka in an interview in 2014 as re-iterated in a January 2015 interview. Did
Wole Soyinka mention some of the atrocities against the political interest of proclaimers of Biafra
Republic, even if it was a motivation (movie) for something interesting, some of the leaders of the Biafra
Republic were killed and maimed during their meeting, and Professor was cast into a long spell of
Uwechue detention? It is understandable that people should not call for a different nation if that’s they
did, rather having a form of reasonableness of administrative of office is still a conditional process that is
perhaps still questionable but does not call for lethal actions. Under Buhari we could speak of welfare
state or its origins, and like the Americans they was “war of poverty” “war against indiscipline”,
propagandist education for all between 1983 - 1985. There was a form of reconnection to Gowon with a
measure of authority but it looks as if the plan to transform into a Socialist or Communist economy
somehow lingered in your administration. This was the real fear and not the second most dangerously
crime against a society which the military take over on Civil society.
For strong leadership it is impossible to deny that Mohammad Buhari is not a preferred choice over
Jonathan, and for economic prosperity and the issue of discipline, Buhari will go down as one better
Nigerians to have managed the Country. Does that mean President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan it’s any
weak. He’s NOT, his strength however shows up in different forms and less interesting places such as
Campaign for office. If half of the energy is applied to the problems Nigeria is facing, he would emerge
the best president of the Country yet.
At least, the dictatorial leaders of Buhari is not so much a factor as the issue of actual military coup in
Nigeria where he placed the President and his vice in jail and indefinitely. In some measure of academic
reassessment of Buhari during his period office, there was a hint of remonstrations among the Nigerians
on corruption. As such we could be tempted to separate facts from process, that the gaming of Soyinka,
“Those who are intellectually Blind, (2) those who are blinded by ethnicity (3) those who are blinded by
corruption and therefore afraid of the unknown; should power change hands, and finally, (4) those who
are suffering from a combination of the above terminal sickness.” While those who are reading from this
attack will not fail to recognize the persuasion from parsimony or the politics of the late 70’s and early
80’s we suggest that historical re-enactment of this era, cannot show how the injuries of the Civil War
impregnated the understanding of Soyinka or how the whitening of his hair by age and its phenomenon
has labored his reasons.
But he is usually right, for how could anyone forfeit a two year incarceration for his opposition against
the activities of the Nigerian Army in the Eastern Nigeria. If as the saying goes that ‘the man died’, it was
not for the freedom that Democratic freedom brings to Nigeria but perhaps for his two years of
incarceration by mostly Northern Nigerian Army. Elsewhere, the question on who really put in jail and
why it’s still a hung jury, but of course these forces parade the remaining days of his active life, perhaps
like someone’s favorite quote from Soyinka’s book, that “The man dies in him who keeps quiet in the
face of injustice.”, Soyinka, speaks perhaps his mind on Buhari, vaunting against his political
campaigning and Buhari’s voting chances. Perhaps, now unlike then, we consider the dispatch from his
youth as an essential canon, no more relevant than the person who becomes president since ‘the ends’
in office justifies ‘the means’, therefore the history of the persons of authority may assume a new and
fatal meaning when placed in that office and not the other way around it.
Such a position can actually change anyone and power explains its origins in the vessels that wills it and
not by appearance like David and the seven sons of Jesse in nominations by Samuel. To be Frank, what is
going in the Country at this point it’s beyond the badge that we should place on Buhari? It does not
mean that he is a right choice or the right, it does explain why President Jonathan is the right choice
either, and it gives meaning to the Buhari year’s 1983-1985 and GEJ’s of 2000 – 2015
Olusegun Obasanjo
By
Sampson I.M Onwuka
February 16th 2015 is a day of political infamy for Olusegun Obasanjo; perhaps not for people too young
to come to understand why his actions were seriously detrimental to his political life, it was an end he
didn't anticipate perhaps kept as a last minute attempt at Goodluck Jonathan and for stabbing PDP.
With this action which his association with APC in 2013 was not exactly a publicly surprise, pray will
never come when a political Iroko such as Olusegun Obasanjo with all the questions about his past or
history will end with a Political suicide. Either age has gotten the better side of his judgment, or his ill-
advised on this particular move, or perhaps such acts are product of the end, we prove Friedrich
Nietzsche correct that our character the source of all pedigree shows up in the end,"...a man
understands nothing but himself."
This final act of sabotage is the summary of OBJ's political and military life. He may or may see it now,
but then he is active in his more genial years, he is said to be less troubled with his past, he is alive they
say and needed to be supported. For his benefit so many lives were lost and the easy break with
affections makes him incapable of enduring loyalty.
It was PDP and Alex Ekwueme, Ebitu Ukiwo, and others who arranged his release from Federal
protective custody in New York, and when he was released in 1997, it was PDP and mainly Igbos to be
sure who embraced him and welcomed him at the consulate. His face was dry and hungry looking, he
lost many years following the incarceration, he was involved in a coup against Abacha and it worked
against his interest.
It is also the end for Buhari for so it seems that Buhari was innocent of this last acts of betrayal by
Obasanjo, his silence till the end describes the persons of Buhari as not so much a moderate as he is
prudently a calculating man and was therefore involved in the military takeover of 1983. Obasanjo on
the neutral position did his greatest damages on Jonathan by carefully destroying his credential in clear
and destructive spite, may seem to the rest of us that he has already decided to support Buhari since
2013 and was only delaying these final acts.
Someday, he would have wished this action was not taken, for when the death of Muritala Mohammed
occurred 1979, Obasanjo like Buhari in 1983 bloodless coup, was considered innocent. In many coups
that took place in Nigeria, Obasanjo did not participate in them as they argued, not until his final and
unsuccessful attempts at Abacha as head of state was he carefully arrested in Ota farms and imprisoned
in Nigeria. He would slipped silently into history had he killed by Abacha during the interdiction.
He was helped by Nigerians and by friends such as IBB and through friends of amnesty to travel abroad
and when his release from jail became important, Nigerians believed that Obasanjo was the leader they
we’re looking for, a leader with military background and democratic leniency. So they waved their
commitment to Buhari who was equally qualified and also IBB to elect Olusegun Obasanjo as the
President of Nigeria.
The best way to describe Obasanjo’s action very recently it’s that poor judgment and execution of
process has finally caught up with him, perhaps this is not the case, but in spite of all that has come
down to PDP and tearing his membership card in public, there are heavy consequences of this singular
political actions which he should have considered before he took the quantum leap and product of
military cadre and a conspicuous assassin in his own right.
For one, the Party may choose to indefinitely suspend him or terminal removes him from the corridors
of powers for all time. Perhaps this is not the case, perhaps the case is better identified with the issue of
Buruji Kasham, and there is nothing wrong in putting, Obasanjo out on the matter.
“I’d rather tear the PDP membership card than sit down and let Jonathan use PDP and corruption to
tear my beloved country apart.
“I have national and international standard to maintain. For this reason I’d rather standalone than be in
the same political party with Kashamu.”
If this is the case PDP should officially launch their own investigation into the incident and public televise
the Q and A section. But looking at the hour glass of Obasanjo’s staying power in Nigerian politics, it
seems to me to have lacked any genuine issue of national service, it is ridden to political and military
intrigue, though he was mentioned in annals of Nigerian revolutionary Army unit called Biafra as junior
lieutenant, many of these Coupist in the Nigerian Army and eventually Biafran reactionary army were
Communist compassionate handed over to Obasanjo.
President Jonathan @ Enugu Rally
Like some Nigerians once said, we are spectators to a period of uncertainty unfolding before us like new
tree surrounded by violent and pernicious seas. The Eagle cannot beckon and the falcons have found
new homes, only perhaps the ravens may be called to see what future holds, perhaps for PDP, perhaps
for APC, yet it signals an end. The primitive issue is not OBJ’s action but how the man’s past has created
ripples in the government, that he should be placed on a 24 hour watch till the elections are over and
even after given his participation in military coups in Nigeria. Buhari who need not wonder at the public
display of breaking bad with a party in display that has never before been seen never before heard.
This Act of OBJ is not final, there will be more drama, but with all the final Acts performed on either side
of the divide ‘a river will perhaps run through it’, and perhaps the main arguments on the future hopes
of this Nigeria, this diorama giant can now begin. Some may quarrel over the boundaries with
Cameroons, others the issue of Boko-Haram, some may think education is the primary course of
Nigerian future. All of these are equal to one word; poverty.
How do you describe insecurity of poverty from false progress in Nigeria? Should we start from the
beginning of the end of the Colonial Rule in Nigeria, which some considered an occupation which the
people did not ask for? Or do we start at the end of the hostilities in the Civil War? Perhaps the grand
patina of a society bedeviled by its uncertainty, made its means and ways seemingly uncertain. Such talk
may now seem idle, and it is perhaps idle to court such possibility of change (for it seems it/for so it
seems).
It seems clear that our people were not expected by others to have done otherwise as a country. But
nothing in this God given land called Africa and very own Nigeria, has ever being won or accomplished
without struggle, nothing was won without endeavor and without a devotion to the higher calling. If
these same virtues mentioned above are known through history to have exceeded the demands of
poverty - it cannot all of a sudden fade or fail for these Nigerians. These were the product of faith.
That faith now compels us to face to the facts of our poverty and irrelevance as a new round of scramble
begins for Africa. That faith must therefore be proved among these Nigerians by those who their sons
and daughters look up and call fathers and mothers. That country was never that different from the rest
of them and their love for their Children were not fake, and not a lie. That faith must be kept alive that
by our efforts and struggles that by those virtues which once consumed the rest of us in Nigeria, would
by its undying demand prove that its rewards higher than all the tribes combined.
Only then can Nigeria prove its meaning in the world and redeem itself from sinking downwards. How
we, the Nigerians, the Africans feed growing 170 million demographic starved of housing and purpose,
and to some degree hope. Perhaps we can believe like others that the division in the parties and the lack
of inspiration for the elections 'will also pass' then the new issue of growth and new realities of stable
government will become perhaps a second matter.
The New scramble for Africa may have started without our knowing it. Africans are still feigning sleep
from the poison of the previous European enterprises in their backyard but they are not aware that their
lands are gradually and criminally taken from them. They are also locked into a fighting for their future
which is gradually stymied by Africans themselves. They are at war with African of the past and the
legacies of the big man or woman of Africa, acting perhaps with the knowledge of local Chiefs. With OBJ
and Buhari still in corridors of power and IBB looking to return, the challenge of this day it’s how
Nigerian can break with the past, not only how, when and for how long. Africa needs a President and by
consequence the Nigerian President is the man to whom much of Africa is most affectionate. Even if we
say that Charity begins at home, we are not saying that a Portrait of Nigeria and its president should not
be devoted enough to his duty as to absolve the headache of being beneath suspicion. And to use Julius
Caesar immortal epitaph, that The Nigerian President is "beyond suspicion" and in terms of OBJ, a head
of state or a former head of states, should be free from public contamination.
The challenges come from all over and bring in their paper currency to buyout huge and wonderful
places in Africa. This sort of thing reminds of the time and days of the apartheid system in South Africa
when it took Nigerian President to ask Britain and America to end apartheid else the oil business will
end. International Law coalition, International Institute for Environment, UN, have all stated that African
countries such as Sudan, Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, Malawi, Ethiopia, Congo, Zambia, Uganda,
Madagascar, Zimbabwe, Mali, Sierra Leone, Ghana, are places where cronies are gradually expropriating
and many of these places they are in state of limbo.
Obasanjo’s action is not meeting for the portrait of a Nigerian President, officially destroying his PDP
card was no only injury to the system he attempted to create but did not, and it was a sad example of
politics ultimate attempt at sabotage which he will wish in later years he didn’t perform. But the country
is ridden to these discharges, may decide to elect people of their interest and time, may choose to do so
on no other count except….( that of responsibility).
Only then can the 'evidence of things not seen' - the hope of 18th century Black leaders-whose influence
on Ajayi Crowther, Edward Blyden, Johnson, Herbert Macaulay, W.E.D Dubois, George Padmore, Paul
Robeson, Kwame Nkruma and above all, Nnamdi Azikiwe, for the independent Africa capable of
retaining the unbroken chain of endeavor, of the old torching the new, be fulfilled in their dream nation;
Nigeria. Such endeavor should lead us to believe that poverty can be defeated in West Africa. That
'evidence of things not seen' which connect the Old to the New - that invisible bond which has held this
Africa before the formative structure of Nigeria, this West Africa country together for so long - CANNOT
now untie. In electing a president of equal and unquestionable character, we bury the past, how that
past defeats our current manners it's a question of choice, equal to the redeeming burden of carrying on
in spite of it all and carrying through the elections in spite of it all.
WE THE AFRICANS, Peoples of the world.....
S.I.M.O...
April 2015- Nigerian Sovereign Wealth – Can I explain it?
By
Sampson I.M Onwuka
The new political framework of these Nigerians and the new government which begins May 29th, 2015,
may presume to have in its muscles a daunting task of transforming Nigerian economic landscape. But
this is not the case, the in-coming administration would have the shovel handed to them, it is really up
to the new messiahs to apply the spade astutely in nursing the economic fiber of the country. While the
theme of financial transformation in the Nigerian and the wealth of debt in the country from power
based resources and deals will not like fracture, it is a very B category Junk bond investment interest
given what the country will likely to look like in the ten years. At least some of the men and women in
office will no longer be active; some of the principal dogma that has so far defined the economy and the
nation may also require additional offer from the government to cushion effects of new era Nigeria.
The past-present finance and economic minister Ngozi Okonjo Iweala may be remembered for removing
the oil subsidy may be remembered for other incentive involving the NITEL. But there are other legacies
such as the Sovereign Wealth and ECA from excess crude profit which from systems lay down by Soludo
and Aganga that Madam Iweala is to be remembered. Information released by the board of
administration from previous month of March 2015 show a formidable new administrative interest in
new Nigerian Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment that she brought into business and into focus. If the
finance minister chiefly focused on the idea of sovereign wealth, it would have served as legacy for her
years in office and endured longer than issue of subsidy.
Perhaps a lengthy discussion on the need for foreign asset or the need for a credit based economic
agenda for Nigeria and Nigerians is necessary and should toe the received lines of reason for a reason
reserve of foreign wealth. The relevancy is exaggerated or over-simplified at least without analyzing
margin propensity issue----given the frozen desire and trapped momentum and end of flow argument or
the existence of debt. Sovereign Wealth Fund is not new to Nigeria and Nigerians, but in the past the
Country has suffered from a host of financial necromancy – especially in Switzerland where Nigerians
are struggling to keep a new balance despite the autopsy of the financial administration. If the 80's are
anything to consider, the idea of raising and exercising pockets of financial influences around the world
especially the issue of regulating the currency may bury some hopes of attaining financial success, and
this means that Nigerians ought to celebrate the efforts of the financial ministers very well.
According to the statement released by the Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning, “The Chair of
the Board is Alhaji Mahey Rasheed, a member of the Board of First Bank and the members will include
“Mr Uche Orji, Global Coordinator and Head of US Semiconductor Research and Co-Head of US Tech
Sector Research at a prominent global investment bank, UBS has been appointed as Managing
Director/Chief Executive Officer following his top performance in the contest for the position. Mr. Orji
had also previously served as MD at JP Morgan.” The question of supply penetration of these excess
introduction of any currency in Nigeria can be very difficult to manage and may not support long term
view of most investors comfortable with Nigeria. Keeping a flow of these currencies into or removing it
entire may hindered healthy economic growth and may force the rate of return of the Global market.
“Other members of the Board include: Mr. Arnold Ekpe, Mr Jide Zeitlin, Mrs Bili Awosika, Barrister Bisi
Soyebo (SAN), Alhaji Hassan Usman and Mrs. Stella Ojekwe-Onyejeli who will also serve as Chief Risk
Officer.” The report mentioned that, “In all, 730 applications were received for three executive
positions - Chief Executive Officer, Executive Director (Investments) and Executive Director (Risk). 40 of
these were long listed by KPMG which assisted in sourcing suitable candidates, 16 candidates were
shortlisted before the final three were selected.”
Based in part on the selective interest of the President, the under-listed are of interest that the State will
like cover in the narrating some of the basic procedures required for managing Nigerian Sovereign
wealth.
• Build a savings base for future generations of Nigerians;
• Enhance the development of Nigerian infrastructure
• Promote fiscal stability for the country in times of economic stress; and
• Carry out such other matters as may be necessary in furtherance of these objectives
It is interesting that this is not the first and perhaps the last time that Nigeria has given itself over to the
idea of entertainment or production quality, there is something of an original in breaking down of these
four statements above, but it is common sense that the major development in the last few years and
perhaps a long decade should include means of income and accruement, and how on any basic level the
resources could be used to earn some influence in many parts of the world. She provided the following
the examples based on the combined resources of several local government and geo-political sites, that
is “Following the recommendation of the Task Force, an Executive Nomination Committee (ENC)
composed of six Nigerians with integrity, independence, proven qualification and tested market
experience from the six Geo-political zones of the country established. The Committee had the
responsibility to assist with the selection of members of the Board, a key plank of the governance
structure of the institution.”
Although horning the resources may be a permanent fix, but the specific geo-political areas of the
country can achieve a form of internal rate and comparable interest rate independent of the influences
of the central banks, or dance to a form reserve system with due respect to the general resource levels
of the six locations in the country, each tied to their own businesses abroad and accord to the levels of
market expectation, credit quality and function. Creation Regional Reserve Bank is not easily achieved
but the price of Nigerian economic bandwidth and the potentiality of via for better businesses in West
Africa in the derived interest of these alternate regions makes room for future fracture of the resources
net and GDP, each accounting to the general resource pool and federal accounts, each able to create a
net worth environment of competitive pricing and Internal Revenue, each may pretend to buy the
reputation of financial resources elsewhere including with some censor what happens in BRIC nations
and in recent time MINT (S).
The exception should be reduced to the question of ECOWAS and perhaps
elsewhere. Here we can look at the list, and compare in the six zones,
with the CME as chair, that the six ENC members are:
1. Mrs Sola David Borha - (CEO, Stanbic IBTC; South West)
2. Lady Nkoyo Toyo - (Hon. Member, House of Representatives; South South)
3. Mr Uwa Etigwe, SAN - (Partner, Streamsowers & Kohn; South East)
4. Dr. Obadiah Mailafia - (Former Deputy Governor, CBN, North Central)
5. Mr Mahey Rasheed - (Board Member, First Bank; North West)
6. Mr Hassan Usman - (CEO, Aso Savings & Loans; North East)
Among the names and parties of interest include Shamudeen Usman and Dr. Mansur Muhtar and Mr.
Segun Agaanga. These names and those previously mentioned is to look over a nest worth of $1.3 billion
which for many of us is far less than expected or perhaps it reflects a year to year inducement from
Federal Purse or ECA accounts if any. The size of wealth is too small for a Country and its Banks looking
to cover the basic efforts of here and elsewhere. The point of sharing billions of foreign account in
Nigeria to Nigerians elsewhere to foster the long term relationship between these Nigerians and host
country, for instance Nigeria and China, and the strength the health of credit for Nigerians in U.S and
U.K. As much we now very little can be expected in these capital nations saving the culture of credit, in
so far as Nigerians and Africans are concerned, lack of genetic financial pool delay the opportunity to
catch fire with the rest of the world. It is important that stories from America reflecting the business
behaviors of these Nigeria should include other argument about the benefits of returning to the country
with the best business practice in mind, especially in real estate and banking which for Nigerians is not
new and which compensates some of the lapses in the administrative reasons of these Nigerian in the
United States.
In the interest of survival and profit driven by the natural propensity to sale, the issue of abnegation and
questions of elf-denial, do not amount to any major advantage in world markets saving the price of
learning the hard way that comes down to resources, to money and above all – health of credit. If Segun
Aganga is included in the list of overseers in Nigeria and Mansur Muhtar, it is not for fancy or fun to
recall the difficult orchestration of Nigerian sovereign wealth – which unlike China and perhaps unlike
Asian tigers are compulsory for any business interest in United States, Canada, China, U.K and Europe in
all. There are levels of penetration in wealth and currency consideration, for as much as we know, a
market place is devils the buyer – survives an attitude to obtain any amount of good for the least
possible price.
We regard this behavioral aptitude to the culture of savings are adolescent behavior since the buyer is
only a buyer is he or she believes it. We can easily explain the price of sovereign wealth as the common
sense that accompanies advantage psychology of money that a buyer is also selling, more than anything
a unit of exchange or any legal tender is a cost item no different from the store. If Nigeria is looking to
post a new look at how it perceives itself in the larger world, it is accord to consider the lingering and
neglected markets in U.S, U.K, in Canada and Mexico, in Brazil and to a large extent India and China as
opportunity to try the desperate hands of many Nigerians and their business compatriots by dovetailing
a 10% nest of income capacity or GDP of Nigeria – in good and ill return of market to a minimum of 2
billion retinue of year to year income. In this case we hope that the circumstances surrounding this new
requirements by the these nations and Nigeria may be argued to be setting a right tone for these
investment options in U.S and in China - especially for Nigerian business men and women based in these
countries.
While countries like Nigeria and Ghana for instance, may struggle to have their economies
stabilize in the global market, there are arguments that political economies such as China and Russia and
their behavior tendency to world market is perhaps a shift from one economic definition to another and
business interest should force the same argument. For instance, China is shifting from Neo-Communist
economy to capitalism and Russia is doing the same, the exercise of sovereign wealth is a harsh reality
that many countries of world are more than likely to deal on. There other reasons why this is ever the
case, the width of these markets force a given value of a single currencies and its distribution around the
world to remain a supply chain long after the business day is over. By the amount of currency rotation
that shift from Asia to United States and back through Hong Kong in Europe and elsewhere, helps to
regulate the rate of currency appreciation for Chinese Renminbi and Russian Ruble. There is a place
between these West African countries and several parts of the world including – China. The attitude to
economic community of the West African States shy from their commitment to investing in several parts
of West Africa through a currency based transaction. A Ghanaian investment in Nigeria in size larger
than before can ease some of the race to interest rate.
The End of Influence ‘What Happens when other countries have the money’ by Stephen S. Cohen and J.
Bradford De Long, considers the Exxon-Florio Amendment to the Omnibus Trade and Competitiveness
Act of 1998 and pairs this idea to some of the encouragement you are more than likely to obtain from
other circumstances in International Savings rates and the rate of exposure for
various Americans and insurance company around the world. Emphasis on Walt Whitman Rostow,
“Rowtow argued that the world economy went through long-term Kondratiev Cycles of growth and
Development driven by Malthusian processes of resources exhaustion followed by Schumpeterian wave
of innovation and exploration. A decade or two during which resources prices would rise higher and
higher and growth would slow as industrialists economized can expensive natural resource inputs would
be followed by a generation in which technological change or resource discovery would remove a
bottleneck and create the opportunity for a decade or his of rapid
growth.”
$2.5 trillion funds – China…It may seem appropriate to use Dani Rudrik – Recipe - for industrial rapids
growth, here itemized by Stephen S. Cohen, that these following examples are reasons why nations of
the world do better than others. The under-listed are examples for some of
(1) “By attracting “hot money” from rich countries with investors who are subject to fits of
irrational exuberance.
(2) “By exporting Commodities whose prices are rising and by using those prices rises to fuel
expanded domestic consumption”
(3) “By moving labor from low – productivity, near –subsistence agriculture into manufacturing by
adapting and adopting the machine – based manufacturing technologies of the industrial revolution.”
‘The first two roads tend to produce short-term booms by crashes and reversals. Borrowing from
overseas allows a country to feel rich and spend more for a while in domestic consumption and
investment, but does not expand manufacturing and exports. Because the money funding the boom is
hot and foreign investors are fickle, the flow eventually reverses itself. Moreover, the natural channels
for money raised by borrowing from overseas are non-tradable like construction and elite luxury
consumptions. The second raises the requirements for inputs in the long run, and the first does not
expand and exports.”
We revise the assumptions on this piece by narrating and comparing the New Economics of Sovereign
Wealth Funds to the Global markets explains the size of
(A) Current account surplus in Commodity and non-Commodity exporting Countries with SWF’s
(US$ and as a percentage of GDP)
(B) FX reserving in Commodity and non-commodity-exporting (in US World Stock market Capitalization
by geographic areas Comparison between OECD and IMF approach….
(a) KIC – Korea investment Corporation (b) KSA – Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (c) LTCM – Long term
Capital management (d) NBER – National Bureau of Economic Research (e) PIMCO – Pacific
Investment Management Company (f) PIH – Permanent income Hypothesis (g) QIA – Qatar investment
Authority Kuwait investment Authority (KIA) (h) Abu Dhabi investment Authority (ADIA) – China
Investment Corporation (CIC) and to according 13 – F filling has invested $9.6 Billion.
Hilary Clinton – ‘We need to have a lot more control over what they (SWFs) do and how they do it’.
Once appointed, some of the leaders were reduced to taken the presumptive behavior towards the
(SWF) did not (a) CalPERS, or the Alaska Fund or even Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae and in this section and
attitude to marketing and to a great extent the attitude.
Part of the reason is that CIC established $200 billion (later $300 billion) endowment in (2012), with
diversifying investment strategy from China and from Chinese several banks, the Republic as they say,
“….poured several billion dollars into highly publicized acquisitions of minority stakes – prominent
financial players, e.g., Black Stone (US $3 billion in 2007), Morgan Stanley (US $ 5.6 billion also in 2007),
J.C Flowers (U.S $3 billion in 2008), BlackRock – the world’s largest independence money manager (U.S
$713.8 million at an unknown date) APAX Partners LLP, the UK private equity group. (2.3% in 2010 for
an undisclosed price) and in one Canadian Commodity Company Tech resources (where it holds a 17.3%
share) and A Quarter of CIC investment is in exchange traded fund. ETF “CIC in 2009 held a Portfolio
composed of 32% in cash, 36% in global equities, and 26% in fixed incomes securities (71% of which was
in government securities). Of the amount in equities, 43.9% was in North American, 28.4% in Asia Pacific
and 20.5% in Europe.”
There are several ways a bank can raise money, IRA and Mutual Account.
(2)
It can raise money through depositors – lending through interest ‘lower than inflation rates’ as the
economists say.
(3)
From International market – including the intrepid FDI and IMF who colonize the premier political
leaders.
(4)
Banks can raise money by begging for it, either through a reposition on the pyramid requirement or
fund rate, which in this usually accompanies the long term thrust on the currency ratio, a bond market
and the Vanilla which is no longer an affair but lasting 30 years. This may require the unconventional
method of insuring this future usually through tight-budget exercise, the re-invoked partnership and
ownership and state property through debt, through ‘umbrella theory’ or not, Rotary Club and perhaps
Bolsheviks given the participation of the moneyed type. Based on the number of information available
to several system and the Global SWFIs, (1) Reserve Investment Corporations and Stabilization Fund (2)
Saving Funds (3), and Risk Contingent Funds.
(1)
Reserve Investment Corporations and Stabilization Fund; Hong Kong, National Reserve Fund and
National Wealth Fund (Russia) with policy mandate Macro-economic Stability and Investment objective
of Capital preservation in stable and term investment return. The risk level is medium (2) Saving Funds –
Direct Investment, Abu Dhabi investment Authority, China Investment Corporation (China), China
Investment Fund (China), Government Pension Fund Global (Norway), Government of Singapore
Investment Corporation (Singapore), all have a yes Direct Investment Fund Categories, and non-Direct
investment.
Abu Dhabi investment is conspecific to policy mandate – to invest funds on ‘behalf of the government of
the Emirate of Abu Dhabi’, and scores very high on the long-term consideration to risk investing directly
with the company and V for transformation and velocity between Abu Dhabi and say a commune
economy like the United States, and in terms of exposure – they have the diffusion rate manumission as
high as 8.10% with other consideration for Developed equities 3.5 – 4.5%, M.E equities 10 – 20%, Small
Cap 1 – 5 %, Government bonds; 10 – 20 %, Credit 5 – 10%, Alternative 5 -10%, Private equity 2 –8%,
Infrastructure 1 – 3% (2012). These confined investment behavior do not shy away from Nigeria and
compares directly with Ghana or to extent South Africa, saving that investment requirement by long
others are diminished by short others including the success and general capacitance of the traders than
the font for moving funds around the world. The spread in the credit banter is less than perfect but the
fund’s rate – if rated by outsiders may or may not secure additional investment see for Abu Dhubi, but it
is meaning that the Capital City and the nationwide investment strategy is mainly Abu Dhabi’s numbers
as such the proper assessment of the risk is no longer at (3) Risk Contingent Funds; Savings Funds –
China Investment Fund, Government Pension Fund Global, China Investment Corporation (China), Yes,
Government of Singapore Investment Corporation – (Singapore) – Yes. U.S Market funds and Alaska
permanent Fund - (USA) – (Long term), Korea investment Corporation – (South Korea) (Long – term)
(Yes), New Mexico State Investment Council, USA, Government Pension Funds/Direct investment and
Investment profile of Selected SWFs, Domestic equity, 51%, International equity – 10%, private equity;
6%, Hedge funds; 40% (Sources, Castelli, Scacciavillani: 2012).
It is a straight, cut and dry argument, pockets of influences are witnessed by receiving or ending a
booming economy such as Nigeria that has grown an average 9.9% (Bloomberg) for the past 5 years,
may have not cultivated influence elsewhere and as such is still ridden to all kinds of shocks to its system
and to its currency. It falls differently on the priced ownership of individual decision making process,
with or without insurance is equal to credit level and FICO rate. We can emphasis the differences
between Credit based expansion and the Saving Fund expansion, some of which support degrees of
disequilibrium and individual interpretation of the market. Although the appointment of these six
indigenes into the hallmark of the forces responsible for deciding the Nigerian sovereign wealth,
including a six representing a six geographical location of the country; Mrs Sola David Borha - (South
West) (2) Lady Nkoyo Toyo – (South South) (3) Mr Uwa Etigwe, SAN - (South East, (4) Dr. Obadiah
Mailafia - (Former Deputy Governor, CBN, North Central) (5) Mr Mahey Rasheed – (North West) (6) Mr
Hassan Usman and (North East) and best of which is the decision that compares with national averages
and rate of investment which utility complex achieves - as such the inverse relationship of price to bond
market is remediable through the expansion of credit for nations shifting from surplus to debt or
investment to surplus depending on the levels of production curve and employment numbers - for
instance the stimulus end - a surplus which investment achieves or stimulus or proposed tax economy
achieves - possibly through credit to new lines of businesses or towards the new economy.
For a balance of currency rotation to co-exist between Nigeria Naira for instance and the rate of
business interest between Nigeria, Nigerians, and China and United States, the deep and widening
exercises of its functional banks (dynamic banks) and the issue defensive banks which relies almost
exclusively on fund rates and size of money storage - dependable in part on rate of crude oil and other
cash crops for bifurcating. With the loose structure of overnight lending between the three tier markets,
one tier economic frontier such as represented by a central bank and in this examples ECB, almost relies
entirely on what happens to U.S market and Japan's Funds rate which for defensive reasons and reasons
of busting an over-valued currency, force interesting to remain low, diffusion rate to remain low, and
attracting as a way to diffuse value from over sea. Case in point is the rising Mexico Pesos since the
indirectly decoupling of U.S dollars from Crude oil - achieved with Greek Debt and partial European
recovery at low Crude oil prices.
A policy that permission new IPO to enter the Nigerian Stock Exchange even at 1 million naira financial
underlying account received, allows more companies to enter the large industries, may expose these
companies to the Nigerians at large, to perhaps poaching but new model for banking and banking acts
based on national pyramids and perhaps a regional banks, will micro-manage the problems of poaching
at IPO given the familiar waters of regional guarantee of resource allocation. Pushing Nigerian it to 1
trillion dollar market as Bloomberg Financial estimated for 2015 will probably not happen under the
current arrangement.
For instance, South-South Nigeria is the highest grossing region of Nigeria economy, between
Akwaibom, Rivers, Cross-Rivers, Bayelsa, and perhaps on the same pedestal as South-east which
includes Abia, Enugu, Imo, Anambra, Ebonyi, Delta, the error has been to add Delta to South-South, but
in all, these mentioned states in Nigeria are all crude oil producing, and in re-based revenue domestic
grossing especially for new Crude oil magnets such as Imo, Enugu and Anambra, there are more
resources from this part of the Country more than anywhere in Nigeria and West Africa.
If for instance, Delta State reigns in 19 billion dollars from crude oil on behalf of Nigeria alone, Rivers put
in 21 billion from 28 billion given the formalized ceding of Ukwa Region back to Abia State bumping Abia
to 15 billion, it compares backwards from Sokoto with less than 10 billion and Bauchi with only 3 billion
dollars into the Nigerian coffers. The amount of money combined from Abia State and Imo State as part
of the old Imo State is larger than Lagos State at 30 billion and in 2014, 33 billion dollars. Some of these
are mainly from Crude oil let alone other resources from South EAST and from off-shore drilling in
Riverine Nigeria which does not make it to Federal Accounts.
Lagos in spite of Fashola does not contribute 90 billion to Nigerian economy; it has from clearly stated
CIA resources, IBD and European Intelligence, somewhere between 30 billion to 33 billion even as at
2012. Much of the money generated through Federal Chartered industries, especially the Internal
Revenue and Foreign Direct Investment pour into Lagos and do not constitute State property.
The new found crude oil section of the country also adds to the State of Lagos but the net worth of the
State and GDP income is not up to 50 billion yet until the Lekki refineries are fully functional, let alone
the claim of 74 billion which does not come close even with the appropriation of Nollywood business
which originated in Aba and Onitsha whereas the Industries is based in Enugu not Lagos. Aba and
Onitsha does not have the infrastructure to sustain the business but it was Lagos however the chief
market was and eventually began to attract public attention to the film industries. The best it’s yet to
come as far Lagos is concerned, but a total attention a state could receive is a diminishing of other areas
of growth in Nigeria and this is why there are gaps in GEJ’s administration. It does not have the
resources yet and mineral components.
Consider also that the greatest headache of Nigeria in the last few years have come from Bauchi with a
meagre amount of 3 billion dollars, in essence, Bauchi cannot even support the primary basis on the
employer in their region and in their economy, and with the problems of insurgency, Nigeria is basically
wasting their money in a State that is sponsoring terrorism. The retribution of money as I see in Nigeria
can be compared to what is experienced in United States and in many parts of world, for instance
pension and permanent injection of money through a re-distributive process such income tax returns
and social security are chief concerns of the States such as Nigeria and United States.
Corruption gradually enfeebles these Nigerians managing long chain of resources and accounting
standards when they make it to National level, or Federal accounts. But at the chief industries of the
country expands through for instance Nigerian Stock Exchange and its adverted debasing of its currency
through continues injection of foreign investment, we are looking at a country that has a recovery
problem long term with a debt bias that is uncomfortable for the economy in general.
At such instance the issue of Lagos playing center and forward on Nigerian economy widens the issue of
inflation and with expanse driven economy free from competition from the rest of the state; it is false
economy and market to emphasis Lagos as the signs of economy growth when it is not. Yet some
equilibrium is possible and better than one sided economic growth, when each of the regional states
should give account of its resources on a national level, control its destiny and further the role of these
States in their regional development with contribution to national security, national income and
treasury balance sheet and increases in taxes as a means of guaranteeing continues injection of money.
A regional banking act for the six regions in Nigeria may help encourage the issue of salable interest
between these working groups and regions, and intra-state relationship between say Rivers and Abia
State, or between Rivers and Akwa-ibom or Abia to Imo which are landlocked anywhere. These other
neighboring interactive do not have to waste their energies on national guarantee of redistribution of a
national level. As long as money flows into National coffers in pretext of distribution, there will always
be some magnet and chieftain from all corners of the country seeking balloon their private piggy with
what the so called Federal Accounts has to suffer.
Africans were killed in large numbers in Sudan and so killed that Darfur became a portrait of a continent
raped and mutilated by Asia, Arabs, and Europe. The Americans are just as guilty but the issue of
common genocide inside and now land grabbing by Arabs in the name of God, would or would not have
ended without the rise to power of the President of America, Barak Obama and efforts of George
Clooney who America into a different and dream lay pedestal.
With the coming of Obama, all these genocidal headaches of the Sudanese by Arab and Janjaweeds, and
the murderous European adventures in Congo came to an end months before his inauguration. It is the
President of a great nation such as America or any useful European country that make it possible. If such
an individual was black or at least missed, the land and life of these Africans can be restored or
retracted. Yet they stagger or perhaps stumble from their own lack of faith, for we know that our faith in
a country driven purely and ultimately by merit could not have possible in Nigeria given the 'malignant
cancer of tribalism' from its early.
Strangely enough, Nigerian Airways is turf on the new and newly renovated Airports and are managing
the long queues with only 8 operational Air Ports and 2 Heliports, and for the records only 3 of these Air
ports are International and they guzzle their passengers with price. But under this pattern, the long horn
emphasis on others to develop Nigeria or add to its green will not paper out the demands on the
grounds. In essence, it mean seem realistic that the country can only care for its citizenry by the
provisional resource allocation of the new operational groups interest banks are kin on achieving, but a
new currency challenged from 100 paces to 1, there is room to allocate foreign interest nations willing
and able to penetrate the market, and further extend the frontiers of market strategy already
approaching its apex in US and EU and the consumer economies.
These sectors that need more social programs, or would require government expansion and active
supervision to re-open will have to wait unless a new round development begins. It however makes for a
second kind of argument that if we are talking of employment opportunities, we cannot use Lagos or
Abuja to draw conclusion on the rest of the country- It is poor estimate and is occasion for poor and
uneven market…, we must, in particular Mental Health of the patients and doctors or nurses supervision
to expansion of Benefits.
A grid system in terms of the Nigerian Social Service and State I.D or number is another means of
ensuring that newly graduated Nigeria or fairly new Nigerians are successfully - if not dutifully
employed, and these measures if have applied or pursued by the seating government will help to track
down violent activities in any one simple part of the country and will also speed up the hunt for loose
cannon groups anywhere in the country and in West Africa. The Grid System is security deposit on the
future of any economy's widening demographic and will create means that will promote jobs now and
for the future. Such grid system or social identity is not an academic exercise, is far from just a symptom
of what Nigerians have learned over the years in places such as Canada or what some of us can still state
accurately about the highly coveted and challenged U.S health care industry, rather it is a process of
creating work and employment.
There are other benefits of Sovereign Wealth in every nation, that (1) deep Sovereign Wealth
Investment Fund penetration like C.I.C is pushing for Nigerians to stay in these countries, either through
the physical money base increment or through direct Reserve Purse for Nigerian business and those
seeking to enter the markets for the first time. This allows the cultivated rate to withstand the stress of
attracting by lending to U.S banks or to Federal Reserve as a way to guarantee a future comfort with the
long term U.S bond market. Generally we shift in this case from the bond market to Real Estate and as
we have seen, the attraction of foreign capacitance to U.S has weltered down the influence of Federal
Reserve hence a stay at Fund's Rate - at least up to the June 2015 draw down. Natural we have several
key areas of business or requirement such as Physical temporary/Permanent resource base and
Requirements for Credit in trying to ensure the function of any Sovereign Wealth Fund and Sovereign
Wealth Investment Funds.
One of the vast examples of this incident is the premise of Sovereign Wealth of several parts of the
World and global economy is perhaps what historical too place in Yugoslavia and Brazil, it here that rate
of public debt and responsibility for ‘Country crushed by debt’ and the essence of Harsh IMF Rules and
Austerity – Bolsheviks, find other means to secure some control of the cash. The intent is to address the
problem “inequalities of the currency rate’, which is depended on human actions are not subordinate to
it. The root of Nigerian political instability and Economic restlessness is the higher international Hot
money, the Pandora of private Airlines and Ship lines that until recently plowed their games above the
norm. It is a usual form of penetration – when we associate ‘fright capital to high interest rate and
‘debt’, with FDI investment category.
Yugoslavia (H2) Sovereign Debt, ‘Brazil’ South Africa – (b) Experience of Chile under monetarism (c)
Philippines under the ‘World Bank’ programs (d) African Debt problems and IMF (E) ‘South Korean ‘curb’
market’ (f) ‘Crash of the Souq el-Manakh in Kuwait’ (G) The Role of Diamonds of ‘contrabandista’s (h)
Lebanese banking (in “peace and war”) ‘under world of arms’ ‘drugs’ ‘flight capital’ ‘Credit Squeezer’ and
its impact. Other examples of hot money which replaces FDI includes financial product classified as
Service economy, military manufacturing flat, farm economy and payroll using R.T Naylor’s Hot Money
and the Politics of Debt.
Companies or Banks borrowing on the Eurobank – could not be salvaged in the past by member
countries. IMF intent to create international money standard to replace Gold….. This was to be achieved
through a currency basket – between ‘Afghanis and Zlotys’, and then members are allowed to borrow
from the basket past at a higher rate or perhaps as a correlate between rate of return of a State or
system dynamic and existing market condition.
This ideological prologue did not work since it required profit margins higher than most and the
placement of U.S dollar a replacement for international currency….It was most evident in the U.S
Marshall plan and which had the plan to save Europe under the relocating some of the problems of the
saving gluts somewhere. This of course warranted investment in treasury bills and ended been
auctioned at the later process to off-stage deficit. Some of the problems of this exportation of excess
liquidity are the balkanization of local currency and inflation. This is a tight prolegomenon that leads to
IMF Austerity which usually borrowing as a form of investment, but ends up with too currency basket
and a failure to localize the return rate of a specific economy of interest and its correlation to the
foreign markets and Foreign Direct Investment. The risk involved in guesstimating rate of return and
investment risk is usually a junk bond category with expansionary clauses that attempt to mitigate on
the underlining securities of the existing market economy.
When any economy is over-weight with foreign investment which is the same thing as having the rate of
investment over 22 cyclical percentage of new lines of credit for small business administration and new
economy, or the rate of debt servicing to national GDP and due process requirement for serviced debt
and requirement of processing it which usually convert the inflationary pressure to spike in currency
exchange and ends up squeezing the disequilibrium of individual economy. It is especially important
when there is the common .5 diffusion rate from non-VAR housing index, in such an instance, the rate at
which economies improve from small business administration to mid-cap reverts to a 3-month bank
stocks index performance and rate of economy.
Economic advantage includes amounts from private contribution, percentage profit, credit and rate
which have to do with the public. In an argument which reflect the interest of Christopher Jenck’s of
Harvard University and Joseph Minarek -----Brookings Institution < who discovered in 1970’s that
inflation hit the Rich the hardest (drug) who save the most and who invested the most, we are looking at
the culture of savings and the necessity of avoiding the glut viewed side-ways are a system without
growth and without direction – however effective. As we have maintained in respect to the challenge of
resource allocation in Nigeria and poor health of cyclical economic studies in Nigeria and perhaps West
Africa – especially the shocking gap in taking advantage of the available resources in West Africa – to at
least lower some of the expectations involving Super currency, and placing some wealth of resources of
major companies based in U.S or operated differently, could earn Nigeria and West Africans some
stability with the currency especially if the Six geo-political zones are different factored into the system.
Solution A----Regional Requirement---Regional Reserve Bank (System), System Requirement for the
Nigerian Sovereign Wealth Fund Investment, A System Requirement A covers the basis of the
Juris-prudence. The basis of existence and the limits of the actions by the federal government and the
Regulation Requirement, Constitution of the Reserve Requirement as opposed to other foreign U.S
Reserve Regulation A that cover marginal revenue and market rate investment groups, especially
Insurance and International and Corporation of business interest. These are mostly savings funds which
directly invest in specific growth economies in the world, unlike SWFs, that narrow some of their
investments to buying into pre-existing business based on the reports and balance sheet of the
companies.
Dividing two forms of Regional Banking procedure
Dynamic System (Internal); Gold, Silver, precious metal, administrative recourse; endogenous, Defense
System Offence; (external), funds rates, interest rate, exogenous, and the administrative procedures of
Regional Reserve Bank.
Dynamic
System A, Upper Pyramid - ECA
Institutional Pool of finance and Pig Bank, Sources – Federal Sources – Source of disbursement of credit.,
System B
Members; the Constitution, Affectionate Group, Investment Society
System C
Margin Requirements for Banks, RATS System moderation (RATTS) for Banks, Interbank lending - margin
In the place of interest paying accounts, Money Market Mutual Funds, Bank Money Deposit Account,
Certificates of Deposit,
System D
PPP lending and Credit, Revenue base, Mini investor programs, SATTIRE,
System E
IRA teams, extended 401 (K), Insurance and Bank Insurance corporation, KEOGH, Margin SATTIRE (2),
SEP
System F
Investments and rate of return, Line of defense ---- taste of liquidity, Rate of Return, and LIBOR
Pursuant, Bank Stocks, test of process; transparency, test of process; administration of lending rights;
equal lending rights, test of process; short term, termination of process, test of process; stress. Test of
Process, valuation of currency, Repurchase agreement
Defenses
System G
Mutual Funds for Stocks, Ginnie Maes ---open and closed stock options, externalities
System H
Treasury; Income repository; Bonds – replacement bonds, long term association, Corporate Bond,
Munis…etc.,
System I
Investment Funds, Growth Fund,
System J
Agencies, non-for profit organization, Community Investment Act, Saving rate, Highest Yielding Funds,
Government Sponsored Organization,
System K
(U.S) National Bankers Association – pro term Nigeria, Com. West Africa, Africa. National Real Estate
Owners Association, Ranking, requirement for parties, Society of Investors (II), requirements for ETF,
Requirement disbursement, CPI, Credit Corporation, (Dummy Variables)
System L
Hidden measure, special interest, Long term, 30 year vanilla, Loan qualification,
Offensive
System M
(Econometric) CPI, fiscal savings rate; glut, (University of Lagos)
System N
Bankers and Banking Act, CDS and denominations, International Currency Basket>dollar rate,
System O
Commercial Paper “IOU sold by corporation for day to day operating funds”
System P
Eurodollar CDs Dollar “denominated certificates sold by foreign branches of U.S banks or by foreign
banks”
System Q
Treasuries bills and notes – “sold on a periodic basis by the U.S treasury and backed by the “full faith and
credit” of the government, with Nigeria perhaps with primary resource pool such as the NSWIF from ECA
account dominated in US or UK. The proscriptive message of Aganga towards is leadingly misappropriate
System R
Repurchase agreement – (Repos for short) buy-sell deals in which the fund buys securities with a 7 – 14
day repurchase window by seller, coupled to the crude oil prices and the repurchase membership with
interest but outside the original pyramid or funds rate. Must be performed by banks of interest with
underlining interest and securities and not necessarily collateral,
Section S
(a) MMDA, Regional Bandwidth for banks of origination, fund types, money market trophic,
comparative CD rate and money market, types of fund, Certificates issued by U.S branches of foreign
bank
(b) CDs – certificates issued by U.S branches of foreign bank….chartered through the Regional
Reserve Banks
Stable money and Sound money…..
There are also the second benefits of sovereign wealth of Nigeria in the United States, the problem with
the inflation and tendency to surplus theory is that a shift occurs between inflation and inflation curve,
and what happens when there is a COLA – Cost of Living of Adjustments away from CPI with additional
inflationary pressure. The Solution reverts to Credit facilities even for 30 vanilla and estimated growth
rate of any economy, the attempt at jogging his reasonable price range and rate of rate from external
and internal rate, for instance attempt by Chicago to correlate its rate of return – usually return of
investments from debt – hence debt driven credit bracket – illustrate why FDI or Foreign Direct
Investment usually alters local investment rate and send the market to a very different and unusual
ends.
To understand the theory of Austerity from public savings and the role of interest rate in progress based
economic, the two principle monetary based actors; Keynes and can be invoked in the process.
Obviously the argument that men like Hyman Minsky makes for investment with or without government
actions, seem to have descended from Adam Smith and through to John Keynes. In fact, when in recent
times that Joseph Stiglitz argues for re-investment from Asia savings, he was perhaps toeing the lines of
the argument from these authors and actors of investment. The origins of these ideas are not totally
depended on any of the formal founders of modern day economics such as Adam Smith.
Put it differently, the circumstances surrounding the application of that process may have been keen in
Europe and may have worked, whereas Adam Smith was popular in US, his formative ideology of the
role of surplus in investment which Marx used for a different interpretation, explicates on the general
theory of his time and his day in the course of the society’s structural and intellectual evolution. It is
easy to suppose that with money comes the need to exercise a spending option that even if there are
cases of surpluses, that the saving or the conditional injection of money do not really preserve value.
Savings may be equal to value on the short run, long run; savings do not yield money saving for
investment. Money saved is not confined to end of a flow given the issue of co-efficient rate, do not
really catch up to inflation if when we explain it from the problems of acceleration or the earliest and
misfit applications of Laffer’s curve to the end of a flow, which continues into a stock.
Of course Laffer’s curve for taxes can only be applied to taxes, which is a constant not including the
quantity, but has a propensity to a fixed variable and has history given the bias to government bond and
rate of investment and spending, but would not apply at the level of quantity applicable to a running
investment and stock.
Put it differently, Minsky’s investment options from surplus do not meet my argument or a general
trade fair observation, that investment in terms of a flow seem to a large extent closer to Friedman than
Keynes and Minsky, but it need to be said that Friedman did not emphasis investment from debt as a
way to understand the flow or direction of inflation or income; each capable of playing the DNA of
economics, yet Friedman measure of the rate of investment from debt is reasonable stock and flow
option, that in realty, the illustration of aggregate demands by Keynes, did not meet the idea of
spending when there is surplus, rather the ‘demand cave’ as I described in stagflation which is evident in
the stagnation from inflation - hardly the case as I argue elsewhere - and stagnation from deflationary
prices as in the case of Crude oil in Global Market in 2014 which is the really a symptom of stagflation.
This sort of economic condition could have been misdiagnosed in the years leading to what we presently
have, saving for emphasis on surpluses and investment, whereas Keynes argued for de-linking of
investment and savings, he never made to the summation or depth valley of investment from debt. He
must have thought that over-investment is root of inflation which is notionally correct, and on the
underlying fact is the premise perhaps started with Adam Smith and through to Karl Marx, maintained in
Ricardo, that with Surpluses come a re-investment, ameliorated in Efficient Market hypothesis of Harry
Markowitz and ability to expedite risk in any society or under compulsive situation when there are
material concerns of excesses.
We consider the role of investment from economic surpluses as a normative, we categorize this
investment as only applicable to ordinary level, we consider that somehow the idea of circulating
savings through investment in demand and supply, as only possible and profitable at the period when
there conditions of this reserves. It is like this, you are been asked to leave Austin to assuage the angst
of unhealthy and unattractive bed fellows and you wonder what the fruk? It merits the issue of
expansion and contraction, it does not reach or abide with it, for if we put the theory of investment as a
form of expansion, we would have left aside the main event of expansion during economic conditions,
that the evidence of this expansion is re-focus the market through propensity, that here, it is only
investment from debt without necessarily torching losses may fully justify the multiplier effect and the
actual meaning of investment from negative-negative truncation.
When we get into the way of debt from investment, the supply solution fits into the banter of
investment from debt only one condition, the case of future rewards. In a sense, what causes the
problem of depression mentioned by both Adam Smith and Keynes is attributable to high expectations,
for here he looks at flow instead of stock, or stock of value away from flow. In reversal of role
maintained for champions of Adam Smith such as Thomas Malthus, we prey on this
error that the a piece grafting of the price ceiling under the debt condition of a given market is not
justifiable under the nozzle of Austerity and lack of founding, that in surpluses, there are material cases
that the next best alternative is savings, may also only appear to appeal from the issue of the levels and
limits of the application.
Combine this estimable of savings in the terms of surpluses to materiality of production minus labor, we
have a matter of price advantage not competitive advantage, that price advantage in this case is a
function of any market, that re-investment in different market and through a different stock of real
capital is investment from savings. It matters that this can only apply to a certain period of profit –
perhaps during ordinary levels of application, second to this level of application is the issue of profit
margin which needs to be maintained without a diminishing effect on labor. But a true measure of the
investment is the future estimate of its possible rewards, beginning with the applause of a negative
balance when for all probably purposes the flow is come to an end.
Here as I argued elsewhere, the right form of investment is from debt where the propensity may be
reduced to the suppression of the market or the lack of general equilibrium during excessive white noise
leading or falling short of marginal value per execution of stock or a given demand and supply, leads us
into a question of measure, that one, the only time that Joseph Stiglitz advice in 1997 to Asia and China
to expedite of their savings may work is when there is necessarily a standing institution such as United
States, that at the absence of a command value system like the established value system and price
function like the US, is a problem of ensuring a continuity of profit or returns of investment directly
from labor or production based.
In reality, China expanding through CIC investment routes, need not conform to the standards of the
general market that requires a certiorari of an existing market, that a point is reached when the total
amount on invested interest in Chinese or elsewhere, do not conform to any standard and the question
of savings becomes a matter of reverting to metals and stable and non-perishable economic tender
other than cash Debt and Investing---Using Hicks argument
Minsky “Hicks interpreted Keynes as allowing for two sets of interdependent markets, one for
commodities and the other for money or finance (bonds). In each set of markets Hicks derived the
interest rate and level of income combination consistent with equilibria. He identified the problem as
asset up by Keynes as the determination of the simultaneous equilibrium in both sets of markets. Hicks
have aggregate output and interest rates settling at the level that simultaneously satisfies the
equilibrium conditions in the commodity and money sets of market.”
“Hicks therefore t that would treat the determination of aggregate demand as if it were a supply and
demand problem; he argued that there are combinations of interest rates and incomes that would
equate supply and demand in both commodity and money markets. As in Hansen, private domestic
demand for commodities is made up of two parts; the demands for consumption, and the demand for
investment. Consumption demand was taken to be a function of income and the interest rate. The use
of income as a variable is a bow towards Keynes, while the use of the interest rate as a determinative of
consumption is a bow to classical views of savings.”
According to Minsky, “Hicks took investment to be a function of the interest rate and the level of income
(mainly as an afterthought). At this point Hicks made a major step toward forcing Keynes into the
classical model, for he interpreted the relationship between investment demand and interest rates as
reflecting the marginal productivity of capital. This identification of the interest rate – with a production
– function attribute meant that Hicks was implicitly assuming that the economy gravitates to some
unique full employment income level. In an economy in which the level of employed to employable
labor varies, the profits earned by capital assets depends upon the extent to which aggregate demand
leads to scarcity of capital-asset services.’
Wealth and Poverty by George Gilder, a foreword by Steve Jobs ----who is one of the better journalists in
the world and a personal favorite arguing on the merit of wealth and money in the opening brief to the
George Gilder, stated clearly, that “Gilder understands the intangibles of capitalism. Wealth comes from
ever expanding pools of information. The greatest source of wealth-creation is the human mind.
Entrepreneurs don’t need all their money to meet their basic needs. But the reason they should be able
to continue to own the wealth they create is precisely because they are better Stewards at reinvesting
that capital – and thereby multiplying it at for benefit of us all – than government bureaucrats are.”
Education and lots of care ‘have the scopes for free enterprise’ nominated ‘sound money’ and the crying
need for modern society, “Stable money conveys priceless information to entrepreneurs and
consumers. A government that undermines the basic values of money is the equivalent of a hacker
introducing a virus that corrupts information on your computer.”
Surplus is argument centering on both investment and savings. For all we care, there is an effective and
economic separation between resource allocations procured during surpluses that are when there is
more enough reason to accede exogenous recovery rate to endogenous rate of balance. What happens
during surpluses is that the national expectations from year to year balance sheet exceed the balance
sheet. There are generally several reasons why this happens in any economy; perhaps it was due to the
issue of the foreign direct investment, which is argued to have a short-term bias from long term
disadvantage. It could be the effects of new policy and economic theory on a pre-existing economy for
instance the introduction of new rate of taxes, or the introduction of new tariff levels in any society. It
could be the same case with the problems of the migration increase – at least at the onset of the boom
economy which has its ingredients. It could be a result of the presidential years where certain recycling
of money and currency, during perhaps periods of spending including presidential years or as part of the
recovery process of from depression economic when stimulus enters the market.
Although anti-cyclical economics theorist such as John Keynes may have given us some insight into
means and ways of beating the cycle economic paradigms leading to healthy economic advantage, his
theories gives hints of some gaps in the system that has not yet manifested – which can however be
averted through problems of return rate for instance employment on an NAIRU level through to the
land of exporting due to increasing in labor and production but approaching problems high wages
shifting from long term fixed income attached to 10 year notes. In some sense, we experience as a
consequence of boom economics the problem of inflation and balkanization of currency, whereas
money such as mutual funds may just be indicating a shift from local economy to foreign markets due to
shifts in bond prices away from U.S Bank stocks, an inflationary pressure reverts to questions of Savings
or what I describe as price corruption given the burn rate between the new levels of inflation and the
rate of return of profits or banks that give you 1-2% on a every 10-12% interest they charge.
These rate which correlate each other between the Banks offered money market rate and the rate of
returns at the Federal Reserve or Funds Rate which is also correlative to what the banks offer CDO
accounts.
The main issue as it affects our money is that inflation usually go ahead of Bank estimate, as
such price and market volatility do fetch a balance between return rate and the percentage margins
offered by the banks over a period of time. In short, Banks can only increase forecast from year to year
and at rate of lending from 3-montsh period co-joined with Interbank and overnight lending.
In sharp detour to the effects of profits or unexpected bump in the economy it has been the
expectation and practice of most economists since Joseph and the Pharaohs of Africa to defray surplus
through savings for a better day.
There is nothing wrong with this theory, it has been practiced through
and through, it leads to infinite speculations about the exogenous causality, perhaps something is
happening with economy which we do not know, perhaps it has a mere disruption that fades the move
for better years? What is important is that an economic analysis of this period will also guarantee that
Joseph ideological persuasion is first and fore mostly driven by accurate fore-cast which even in
economist and market today is quite important, especially in market. The indications are very present
when from signals in any system dynamic there are signs for new reality and new cycle that these days
of boom or surpluses lead to days of burst. So when in Egypt and in Africa that the economic bubble
busted and their wall street went belly, most economies of the world were able to trade with Egypt
because from all account their stimulus was pre-set 7 years from bust.
We can argue that Joseph’s economic theories regarding surpluses – seemingly logically and
provisionally accurate – is faulty, if not faulty, it is entire restituted to the era when commodities was
the only currency. When we compare livestock and grains and corns from a period no longer at ease
with us, we remove this fear that welcomes the acceptance that harder days are ahead and hedging
may be appropriate. That for I, may discourage this idea on the count of flow and stock, that if the
treasuries of Egypt and Nubia were only meant to store unperishable and end of flow material such as
grains and gold, the alter frozen in its scythe, there are hardly any problems of defraying cost through
cheap production on real time and perpetual economy.
This idea of an ongoing economy and the continues flow, allows to deal with the subject through
ventricles of the currency, it’s a product of free market and without government intervention allows you
to play around the fact that you (buyer/seller) can exchange goods with the next of interest in class of
business and interest using a pre-approved plan and tender called currency. In some required measure,
the shift from surpluses to savings has a future which in Joseph’s case was a period of 7 years guarantee,
a form of investments through savings but tied in retrospect to national economy and bond.
There is something to vitiate the bond; the count that the market will reverse and like the forecast
presaging a boom, that there is additional forecast to make the argument about the Nigerian economic
future and why there is need to embrace their sovereign market. This defense scenario leads into all
forms of understanding, one of which is the case of the defense against the future market well known
and can therefore be mitigated by savings and guarantee of returns absorbing the rate of diffusion.
There is however the issue of currency busts and balkanization when in all estimate that a country is
looking to save the economic condition of its future market by guaranteeing a 10 year bond along the
parameters of utility complex and development of new roads and bridges and they end up creating
more jobs and more credit leading to new growth of the economy – asset allocation – investment – and
permanent money. In this case, the rate may differ when there is a savings glut, when there is money is
saved through treasuries.
Whereas in Joseph and the Africans there are direct demands for products on hand, which may not be?
Diminished and the changes of these commodities expanding was totally diminished by the savings rate
and the building of seemingly bigger treasuries. When there is more money out there in circulation, the
economist says you can raise interest rate, increase additional reserve balance sheet from banks and
above all, create a room for accommodating surplus. One fine example of this scenario is the recent
issue of European system when there are cases of surplus currency flowing in from the Crude oil and
Arab dollars. European banks were saturated with dollars that they began to experience a savings glut.
Whereas we can push that a shift from currency to Gold can help to micromanage the boom and
uncertainty with over-valued currency, there is nothing that can explicate the rate of money base when
it is scoring above the rate of interest and rate of rate.
In this case, a mitigating process like we say with European will be defraying the future problems of
inflation through investment in US and its real estate. By shifting the inflationary pressures from Europe
into America, you allow companies on both sides to reposition themselves through the demands of the
Reserve system and hope they privately investment like many Chinese and Asia countries are doing in
U.S during this period. This process in US put spank on the real estate prices which injured the CPI and
ended forcing the CPI to act ahead of the overall market, removing the mark to market status of
Commercial Banks away from Investment threshold. This case did not pamper well and in explicating,
there was a need for US banks attached to local market and rate of return to perform the frenetic rate
of this hot money and shadow banking from Europe and Asia and the end result was a drastic boom of
the US housing market and then the fall which was expected.
In this case away from the case of Joseph and the Africans, we can see that lack of foresight or poor
planning in the United States proved dangerous for the health of the housing market when there is a
local rate of return that is behind the curtain on the presence of foreign companies in US and Foreign
Direct Investment, there was inflation issue which China entering in the market helped to ease away.
From here, we compare carefully that the attempt of distributing surpluses which is same as risk as we
can better explain, promotes the fractured economic view of that the several markets are required
during any event horizon from surpluses, whereas the advice that the shift is reasonably acceptable and
hedges against the problems of glut from production or savings from reversals, it will take a different
kind of market to absorb the new money, that it will take an economic view with national agenda – even
with the Chicago School and free markets system – to sustain the rate of growth through direct
investment without abnormally injuring any core areas of the economy; Core CPI and by direction, the
VAR.
We may in this case laminate for the records that China or prospective democratic economics of the
world such as those emerging from socialism characteristic of the BRIC or from Communist economies
such as those leading new ground in money and world market; China and Russia to mention, reply
extensively on pre-existing pro capitalist economy to have a chance at survival. Without US and Europe,
majority of Asia economies and politically experiment and economic miracles will more than likely
stagnate. It is not wrong to impose that the frenetic rate of investment from Europe into US was not
from failure to come to grasp the danger in US or the risk from inflation, that it exists from other
principles of economic meaning, that a buried treasure in US through house investment, more like
Joseph’s saving glut of maize and corn, will reap a harvest that will ensure any future years in America by
Asia and European countries hence a future is saved through a desperate mitigating of sales force.
We can be sure that the temptation to shift a surplus earned through savings and through perhaps a
central Reserve System, can distributed even through an efficient market hypothesis, and for a case such
as Joseph and the Africans, these actions were actually taken and that it involves an end of flow or stock,
a commodity and a perishable without technology.
We compare that this scenario is obtuse from European attempt at deficit balance due primarily from
the issue currencies flowing from Asia or any part of the global macro into Europe leading to savings glut
of some proportions and some issues of saturation. It is common place that in Joseph and the Africans,
we notice that there is a forecast involved - away from any theories of modern financing there is a
process involved in this growth of the African economy and in Egypt, that it was endogenous growth
based on utility complexes transferred differently or what they call in advanced money situation
options, that the rate of options available in transferring the risk in spending is deferment based on
running tendencies of the necessary new margins from previous economic cycles – the bump – that the
bump harvest is here deferred a form of mitigation of risk and for term structure with 7-run rate and
year to year agility given the priced mention of maize and corns as the derived year to year to product.
This is the curve, that in terms of European panoply with surpluses during the rise of crude oil and the
forwarding of fund rate, that the –crude oil prizes gouged upwards given the new grounds for money
initiated and sustained by money and by crude oil sales, that these new grounds gave new and newer
meaning to the monetary reality to defer in other hedge against the bad weather. We notice that the
exogenous growth driven mainly foreign direct investment was meeting reason for attempting to diffuse
inflation through investment which the local return of rate was comprised by the rate of influx of foreign
currency hence the funk with ECB’s fund rate. To cut the fund rate inspired all kinds of reaction from
crude oil and as long as Arab dollars flowed in Europe and America received from both Asia and Europe
all savings funds and investment through third party cushioning it can afford, there are emphasis on its
CPI which the Taylor that Alan Blinder was argued was principal in Greenspan’s use of moderation and
its 4% was misled and ridden off.
We notice that US unlike Egypt as Europe not unlike the rest of Africa, permissioned this increase in such
a way that the fixed incomes earners with poor adjustment bureau and tendency, bound to the main
street and the mortgage – its principal target and reason - ballooned up and ended up in bankruptcies
as the lines between the investment banks and creating money from credit and commercial banks and
creating money from nothing or with future market; banks stock depended and bond market driven,
were crossed and the meaning no longer at ease. Barron’s Morningstar estimates (a) Equity (b) Fixed
Income (c) Alternative (d) Multi-Asset Class Equity based; (a) Global style (b) Sector (c) Sector (d) factor
based (e)Analyst Advantage Fixed Income ; (a) Global Investment Grade (b) Emerging Markets Series (c)
U.S Investment Grade (d) European Investment Grade (e) Inflation protected Alternative; (A)
Commodity (b) Hedge Fund (c) Diversified (d) Managed futures Multi-Asset Class (A) Lifetime Allocation
(b) Target Risk (c) REAL Asset (d) Global Allocation (e) 529 College savings…
A Lobby
If Nigeria makes half a trillion dollars mainly from selling Crude Oil that runs from your backyard to your
Heritage or Inheritance Country United States and none of these material gains reach Nigerians in USA,
Europe or Asia, and for a start Nigerians in US and Canada where much of money is realized, then
something is really wrong with the picture. Sometimes some of us try to understand if we Nigerians or
Americans or Nigerians plus Americans or opportunistic ‘beast of no nation’ who are not really wanted
by both parties will ever make it, and wonder how to proceed as a people far from our Africa which we
cannot truly say we are far from home. There are business opportunities which the society of the new
beginning offers but not accessible due in large to the influx of immigrants from other parts of the
world. As the story goes about migrants from several other parts of world, Jewish emigrants from
different parts of Europe had to deal with harsh realities of the new country, that it was persistence in
business ad linking the US to Russia, Europe and the Pacific that made the difference in the financial
navigation.
Nigerians did not arrive to these states by boats or from persecution or expulsion as these Jews were.
They arrived by air and through the plane, with money in their portfolio, with degrees to buttress and
had to stay with their families until further economic enhances. In New York, there are businesses
opportunities Nigerians in United States can get into, besides trying at the top of your shouting lungs to
sell a small prized real estate with the banks signing off on it through a supervisor’s approval, we may
consider other things, that majority of the companies in US have roots elsewhere, and only some level
of long term investment comfort can guarantee partnership and employment in its key resource areas.
It is the question of inheritance and what happens. The question is what now happens to our share of
Nigerian resources from our backyards in Nigeria and sold to our Country called United States. The
answer is that we are cheated from our resources in Nigeria, cheated by denied our birth right in US by
default. Some of us may ask what it should matter that you are failed by Nigerians in your share on your
heritage.
My answer will hardly surprise anyone, it matters that people may not see how well cheated these
Nigerians and Nigerian Americans or Africans of any junior or ranked investment category, who are
living and spending so many years in US and Europe and having nothing to show for it than the money
loaned from Nigeria or Africa except for special cases of those live who also live here and have to
struggle for lack of financial competitive foundation saving exchange a rate’s advantage.
But this should not be the case given the Shawley-Oxley laws in 2002. Above, there is such a thing as
Reinvestment Act in these United States which can be used from the stables of a Reserve System which
is private resources matched by US Federal Govt. to the threshold of at least 25% non-refundable
withholding of transaction receipts between Nigeria tor Corporation of interest coming from Nigeria and
dealing on Crude oil or similar cash product with United States or private and institutional corporation of
interest from US, on a market and real term quotes, year to year, to be rested on their Bank of receipt
and choosing.
This receipt does not mean that Nigerians or Africans who are pretty much struggling from day one in
the States or Canada and who even constitute worker parasites deferred employment certiorari and
qualification (odd jobs), should be given free hands on managing these resources or engage in charity
without losing their formal reasons in being in the States, or have these investments so removed from
US or similar country of interest and domain, without explication to Nigeria or anywhere else without
due recourse to profit meeting for market standards. In essence, U.S can't be forced to train and feed
these Nigerians who irrespective of their standing agreement before coming to these states, bound by
tax paying, or inheritance clause affecting new migrants, are dead set to participate in their new country
and new economy.
That Nigeria or any African country can in respective levels of transactions with United States or any
country of interest, be expected to support the future growth of these Americas and the countries, then
the go-between persons of interest who reside there, here, born here or anywhere, have short and long
term business interest in these United States, should participate in the estimate of these countries.
The Sovereign Wealth of these Nigerians in the United States is separate accounting and should not be
compromised or misunderstood. Nigerians overseas suffer the most due to lack of organizational
structure, rely on public employment or private interest in medicine, for instance, sojourners from Africa
and Nigeria, easily turn their attention to CPA and Medical Careers, public and home health jobs, all of
which are fine American job opportunities to take advantage of but rely mainly on Government benefits
and insurance.
These Nigerians like Caribbean American before them, are happy to be paid peanut wages which by
American Standards is poverty level which ensures without public acknowledgment is a cyclical trap that
makes it difficult for Nigerians or Africans to barely make it into working class Americans. The game play
is to expand the future of the United States through consolidation. Whereas these men and women
from Nigeria or Africa, with serious education background do not mean to take on these jobs or need
not, above all do not furnish any intention of lasting too long on them. In the past, the career move was
to progress from CPA or GNA to Nurse and from Nurse to registered and Licensed Practical Nurse, or so
others will choose, take interest in Medicine and medical studies.
III
The war came to an end in 1970, and from 1970 began the decade of reconstruction which inadvertently
formulated the mindset of Nigerian society. It is in these recovery years that the significant rift between
the Nigerians began to appear, the rift was between those who became the courier of Nigerian Banks
during and after the war, and those who earned their pittance through ‘small cracks’ of lending and
family borrowing, through the ‘inlet’ of trade and trans-border trade, through caveat emptor; the
smaller units of businesses scraping around the larger, the law forbidding the expansion and the ratio in
all things for space and rights which impeded mid cap companies.
Such adverse business environment, largely out of mistrust eventually created a sense of business
management, more like a form of attitude to business and to living which the banks completely
endowed from the 70’s onwards. By the early eighties, few years after the fall of Shah of Iran, the Shell
Company was readying to break in big in Nigeria and there was new and newer necessity of other banks.
The much of Nigerian banking can be described in three categories, one the Government managed, the
Commercial banks which had their horns from the civil war era, and the Investment Banks which began
to respond to the need of change in the larger world. The curtain dividing the east from the rest may
fallen by this time, but the rift was established, so much so that Banks were a quasi-property of certain
people, who may now be called Old economy, the Commercial Markets, the First Banks and the Union
Banks.
In future as better stability of the country is forged, there will likely emerge other banks in the country
that will conduct social Industrial programs and development in many of its forms. But the rise of
military in Nigeria, in an age of oil boom gave birth to Investment Banks, initially and ultimately owned
by Northerners but this time, private families with long roots to the bigger banks gradually emerged.
The expanded nature of the world business in the 80’s at a time when Nigerian oil began to make
headway in the world, enabled Nigerians of the Investment grade to earn their ranks through the stock
market and through international trans-border trade and in end, even attempted with help from
Lebanese business groups to provide interest rate for many francophone countries. Such attempt made
these Nigerians soft targets for the neighbors and in places Cameroun they faced
open hostility.
It also led to the first and formal fracas between Igbos, Ijaws, certain Urhobos, and
Syrians and Lebanese. These Nigerians also warned against the impact of Euro, citing that francophone
countries had very little to earn from the sub-categorization of their West African Markets if the franc is
pulled and but they felt it necessary to outdo these new Nigerians and many of these Nigerians exited
from these areas, poured into Lagos and some parts of the east as at early 90’s. These Lebanese and
others also played a pivotal hand in Investment Banks in Nigeria though private placement in the
Nigerian stock market, but their real strength was the commercial where they supervised the
inflationary curve price of building and real estate. There were others, especially from the far side of
country and from the North. But the success of the older Nigerian banks was a product of military era,
an era that fed on to many Investment banks, many of them entirely reliant on Nigerian federal grants
and contract with few scattered businesses. When the military disappeared, these banks in their many
numbers also disappeared. There was also the issue of insolvency, mainly comatose by non-performing
debt which accumulated in dues by inflationary pressure.
The main thing is that nothing was working aside the business of small administrations, and only a
certain investment type could have supported these Investment banks. They rose so quickly and fail just
as fast, with people losing much of their money. The commercial banks such as First Banks and other
older Banks held out the hopes of other businesses and served as protections for buffer tycoons roving
in and out of federal account. In those years of the 90’s Nigerian banking society began to evolve into a
different dragon.
As much Banks rose and failed, there was a newer group of Nigerians, but this time with an the edge of
Securities placement, with insurance which ones the home make of bigger banks, with newer avenues
for merchant banking, with credit amortization and association, with the degrees of leases not unlike
the commercial banks and where offering credit advisory and futures trading in all respect of investment
management. These new banks acquired the rent prolepsis of micro financing and experimented with
credit technology available in the US. It was these groups that began to chart the contours of Nigerian
business, and began to underwrite for small business almost as the big guys. But their small unit in
several outfits helped these Investment banks to aggregate overtime gainer from Market Nigeria,
though largely commercial but experimenting with quickly experimenting with size and the forms of
businesses involving everyday bank in Nigeria.
The case of banks rising and falling and the case of people doing business through foreign exchange and
parallel market made it easier for alternative to exist. It also made it easier for smaller banks to also fail.
Commercial banks were digging too deep into the country and they had little competition. Commercial
banks became the mother laden of many areas of Nigerian economy as smaller ones failed.
The advert of Obasanjo as President did not change the status quo, in fact he even deepened the vast
resources of these bigger banks in Nigeria, who by market estimate where several in number.
Obasanjo’s privatization scheme enabled some survival of these smaller banks, but the rise of National
debt to 30 billion and clear absence of sovereign wealth and zero foreign reserve led to the appointment
of Prof Charles Soludo.
When he arrived at the office as CBN Chair, it was clear to the business world that business of Nigerian
banking and the stock market would likely change. His idea of bringing several small banks together was
to ensure they were reasonably fitted to compete and that there were too big to fail. What the effort
however did was break the power of the old dominating banks and many of collision began to offer just
as much credibility as the older ones.
This began a certain kind of race, not unlike Lehman and company in US and in Europe, but a race that
almost naturally spike up price, where bankers went out of their way to look for customers even it mean
trading on deposits that they were too thin. The bust was a natural consequence of that era, but more
than anything, it brought down the inner walls of First Bank and their older groups in Nigerian Banking
industry. Those who led the new and Nigerian revolution in Banking were small business administrators
who in the era past struggled against the tide. There was also Nigerian made Tycoons who were willing
and able to stake their profit on Nigerian banks, the era of new banking cleared the sea of bad obstacles
and at once proved an upfront to older.
IV
The balkanization of Nigerian Naira through a unit per unit comparison with dollars through to 140 per
dollar term, may have misguided calculation of actual perform grade on many Nigerian banks. The more
culpable of these Banks are the likes of First Bank who could have shown no sign of internal event
breaking. Another factor is that of Petroleum. Twenty five years ago, crude oil was within the 7 dollars
for a barrel and with the range of years winnowing in 2008, there was a sharp shoot of the gas and
petroleum to about 150 dollars per barrel. This unbound continue of price importation to Nigerian
financial facility should have done enough to congeal any hint of bloodletting or mispricing of Nigerian
Naira.
In a sense, the rate of the rise of oil has been continuous time on wend, a Plateau of graph on the
absorption of rate into Nigerian economy in the place of actual and real time profit. The good and bad
thing about this flat or even keel is that the Naira in lieu of the rising oil should have remained at parry
with local economy, essentially subdued with very little kinetic movement which would have in turn
enabled a better estimate of Bank’s aggregate performance from local perspective. As such there is a
reason why Banks were harvesting big time wealth from Nigeria and why for three decades the only
financial engine that functioned was the banking industry. The reason is quite simply the number
accoutrement and the currency ratio to dollar, had nothing to do with value of Nigerian economy. It
sounds oxymoron but the fall of the Naira was not a Nigerian make, even though it represented Nigerian
Naira. Nigerians were only tilted to earn beyond their means and the numbers made these Bank such as
First Bank look good especially in those high earn years of 2006 – 2008.
The obvious nose dive of First Bank and other Older Commercial banks in Nigeria is attributed to lazes
faire attitude towards raunchy business deals and ‘badonomics’ of the very aggressive 80’s and 90’s and
a forward for 2000s where the false impressions of growth was only the Asides from prized crude oil
which in real time Nigeria did not benefit. The force of money velocity evident in the gap of 1999 – 2008,
largely speaking, from the eve of a newly created force of money called Euro which rocked the US stock
market to the financial debacle of 2008, revolve around money as the pendulum of decay, which note
the corrosion or erosion of value when new function or shift in price function general appeals.
I call this force of new and aggressive price movement on or upon older price, ‘price corruption’. That is
the absence of a levitation force in well leveraged or even de-leveraged money market - however risk
averse - will certainly lead to corruption of value, which naturally collapses any old system since the
older value no longer apply.
The rate at which this price corruption occurs may be linked with the so called failure rate, mainly
probable from an endpoint or probable end point of indexing. Failure rate is hypothetically closer to a
funny kind of draw-down. From the nature of the draw-down in Nigerian economy and its bond market
in the years 2005 - 2009, attention of many risk managers would have been spooked. And by the tall
edge of 2005, there was no clarion call from Sanusi on such problem and why it signified big trouble for
Nigerian banks and Stock market.
So margin risk become a complicating thing for big banks since we can say that a risk portfolio bathtub
of graph is great for many other reasons including the reverse of the life-span in understanding the
reliability of banking system or the markets. A reverse of the bathtub from DFR through CFR through IFR
would have made a short put re-combination possible, thereby useful in mastering the variance of risk in
well-oiled 1999 – 2008 Nigerian market. If foreign agitation of Nigerian economy and investment
remained a put for many years, irrespective of what was happening in terms of real estate in US and in
the world, the general inference is that Nigeria was too risky since Foreigners probable earned more
money from in Nigeria and from Nigerian than Nigerians did, than they probably did in any economy in
the world, hence a put. But with a put, we can pretend that Risk was under control, but the inverse is
the expert's view that something was wrong and Sanusi at First Bank would made 'Real' out of the
condition and I mean understanding that there were no degrees of inevitability in any event.
Ijeoma Nwogwugwu Sept 12, 2012, The Battered Nigerian Naira and Project Cure, “Another argument
that has been raised by the central bank in the last few days to support the introduction of the N5, 000
banknote is that it will curtail the need for people to hold their money in foreign currency notes –
another term for it is “dollarization”. This argument is defective on the grounds that another major
characteristic of money is that it is a store value. If the naira is stable and can serve as a store value,
there will be no need for people to convert the naira to the greenback. It is irrelevant if the CBN prints
the N5, 000, N10, 000 or N20, 000 banknote; insofar as a banknote cannot guarantee value, people will
always convert it to currencies that do so. The primary reason individuals or institutions resort to
dollarization is because, as the reserve currency of the world, it offers the greatest store of value, not for
ease of carriage or portability.
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